| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 7,000 | 78.4¢ | 83.5¢ | $5,845 | +$355 | +$892 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 3,127 | 99.3¢ | 99.9¢ | $3,123 | +$16 | +$20 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 1,800 | 97.4¢ | 97.7¢ | $1,758 | +$5.03 | +$16 | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 1,400 | 64.7¢ | 70.5¢ | $987 | +$81 | +$284 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 85.9¢ | 90.5¢ | $905 | +$46 | +$5.24 | |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,347 | 69.5¢ | 63.5¢ | $855 | −$81 | +$124 | |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? | No | 900 | 88.3¢ | 91¢ | $819 | +$24 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 1,000 | 72¢ | 77¢ | $770 | +$50 | $0 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | No | 1,000 | 72.1¢ | 76.5¢ | $765 | +$44 | +$172 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 700 | 97.1¢ | 97.2¢ | $680 | +$0.35 | +$382 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,200 | 56.4¢ | 48.7¢ | $584 | −$92 | $0 | |
| U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 586 | 91.8¢ | 92.7¢ | $543 | +$4.72 | $0 | |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 600 | 86.7¢ | 86¢ | $516 | −$4.50 | $0 | |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | No | 700 | 56.6¢ | 73.5¢ | $515 | +$118 | −$7.51 | |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 296 | 90.4¢ | 94¢ | $278 | +$11 | +$9.23 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 400 | 70.3¢ | 67.5¢ | $270 | −$11 | +$11 | |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 600 | 59.2¢ | 43.5¢ | $261 | −$94 | +$73 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 780 | 33.8¢ | 32.5¢ | $253 | −$10.00 | +$0.50 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 616 | 31¢ | 34.5¢ | $212 | +$22 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 15.8k | 0.7¢ | 1.3¢ | $198 | +$88 | +$257 | |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? | No | 200 | 93¢ | 93.5¢ | $187 | +$1.00 | +$22 | |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | No | 200 | 70¢ | 88.5¢ | $177 | +$37 | $0 | |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 400 | 64.3¢ | 43.5¢ | $174 | −$83 | −$1.11 | |
| EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31? | Yes | 153 | 91¢ | 91.5¢ | $140 | +$0.76 | $0 | |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | No | 226 | 60.4¢ | 61¢ | $138 | +$1.29 | $0 | |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027? | No | 164 | 64¢ | 78.5¢ | $129 | +$24 | −$22 | |
| Will Russia capture Myropillia by December 31? | No | 150 | 75.7¢ | 81.5¢ | $122 | +$8.75 | $0 | |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) | Yes | 600 | 42.7¢ | 19.5¢ | $117 | −$139 | +$99 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | Yes | 300 | 28.7¢ | 39¢ | $117 | +$31 | +$6.00 | |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 232 | 58.9¢ | 49.5¢ | $115 | −$22 | +$4.48 | |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes | 701 | 31.3¢ | 15.5¢ | $109 | −$111 | +$4.99 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | Yes | 546 | 23.9¢ | 19¢ | $104 | −$27 | −$43 | |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027? | No | 100 | 93¢ | 96¢ | $96 | +$3.00 | $0 | |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Yes | 100 | 75¢ | 95.5¢ | $96 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 94¢ | 94.5¢ | $95 | +$0.50 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 67¢ | 91.5¢ | $92 | +$25 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 71¢ | 91¢ | $91 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 61.5¢ | 90.5¢ | $91 | +$29 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 250 | 34.6¢ | 36¢ | $90 | +$3.50 | +$14 | |
| Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by December 31? | No | 100 | 70¢ | 88.5¢ | $89 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 77¢ | 88.5¢ | $89 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 93 | 21¢ | 94.5¢ | $88 | +$69 | +$4.82 | |
| Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? | No | 100 | 59¢ | 87.5¢ | $88 | +$29 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? | No | 100 | 71.6¢ | 86.9¢ | $87 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 65¢ | 85¢ | $85 | +$20 | −$0.10 | |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 80¢ | 84.5¢ | $85 | +$4.50 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 400 | 23.2¢ | 20.5¢ | $82 | −$11 | +$144 | |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? | No | 100 | 36¢ | 79.5¢ | $79 | +$43 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? | No | 100 | 63¢ | 77¢ | $77 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 69¢ | 76.5¢ | $77 | +$7.50 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 148 | 51.6¢ | 50.5¢ | $75 | −$1.60 | +$16 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? | No | 100 | 62.7¢ | 73.5¢ | $74 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 70¢ | 73.5¢ | $74 | +$3.50 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 49¢ | 72.5¢ | $72 | +$23 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027? | No | 100 | 73¢ | 69¢ | $69 | −$4.00 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Kindrativka by December 31? | No | 100 | 69.2¢ | 68.5¢ | $69 | −$0.70 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 70 | 80.9¢ | 97.1¢ | $68 | +$11 | +$47 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? | No | 100 | 49¢ | 67.5¢ | $67 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | No | 100 | 64¢ | 67¢ | $67 | +$3.00 | $0 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 600 | 10.5¢ | 11¢ | $66 | +$3.00 | −$16 | |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 51.7¢ | 65.5¢ | $66 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 47.4¢ | 65¢ | $65 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? | No | 100 | 58¢ | 62¢ | $62 | +$4.00 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31? | No | 60 | 75.5¢ | 90¢ | $54 | +$8.71 | $0 | |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | Yes | 513 | 31.6¢ | 10.5¢ | $54 | −$108 | $0 | |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? | No | 52 | 92¢ | 95.9¢ | $50 | +$2.04 | −$6.13 | |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 295 | 16.6¢ | 17¢ | $50 | +$1.21 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026? | No | 70 | 65¢ | 65¢ | $46 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | 78¢ | 88¢ | $44 | +$4.99 | $0 | |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? | Yes | 14.0k | 1.8¢ | 0.3¢ | $42 | −$208 | −$158 | |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026? | No | 50 | 85¢ | 82.5¢ | $41 | −$1.25 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 60 | 65.5¢ | 63.5¢ | $38 | −$1.22 | +$7.32 | |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027? | No | 100 | 36.5¢ | 37.5¢ | $38 | +$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by December 31? | No | 35 | 82.7¢ | 94.7¢ | $33 | +$4.14 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 500 | 20.2¢ | 6.5¢ | $33 | −$69 | −$174 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? | No | 100 | 57¢ | 29.5¢ | $30 | −$28 | $0 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 300 | 10.8¢ | 9.5¢ | $29 | −$3.96 | +$2.03 | |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | No | 30 | 46¢ | 94¢ | $28 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 220 | 13¢ | 12.5¢ | $28 | −$1.10 | $0 | |
| Will Trump nationalize elections? | Yes | 273 | 11¢ | 10¢ | $27 | −$2.79 | +$5.99 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | Yes | 100 | 21¢ | 26.5¢ | $27 | +$5.50 | $0 | |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 100 | 22¢ | 23.5¢ | $24 | +$1.50 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | No | 24 | 95.1¢ | 97.4¢ | $23 | +$0.54 | +$9.60 | |
| Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by December 31, 2026? | No | 30 | 60¢ | 75¢ | $23 | +$4.50 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027? | No | 60 | 27.5¢ | 36.5¢ | $22 | +$5.40 | $0 | |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | Yes | 374 | 6.7¢ | 5.5¢ | $21 | −$4.42 | −$9.49 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | Yes | 200 | 9¢ | 10¢ | $20 | +$2.00 | $0 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 600 | 6.7¢ | 3.3¢ | $20 | −$20 | +$18 | |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 57¢ | 19.5¢ | $20 | −$38 | $0 | |
| EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31? | No | 100 | 10¢ | 18.5¢ | $19 | +$8.50 | −$1.87 | |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 50 | 31¢ | 36.5¢ | $18 | +$2.75 | $0 | |
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | Yes | 250 | 21.7¢ | 6.5¢ | $16 | −$38 | −$4.66 | |
| Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 100 | 13.5¢ | 16¢ | $16 | +$2.50 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | Yes | 100 | 16¢ | 15.5¢ | $16 | −$0.50 | $0 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | Yes | 180 | 13¢ | 7.5¢ | $13 | −$9.90 | −$0.78 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 100 | 20.3¢ | 12.7¢ | $13 | −$7.60 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 200 | 7¢ | 5.5¢ | $11 | −$3.00 | $0 | |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026? | Yes | 80 | 18.5¢ | 10¢ | $8.00 | −$6.80 | $0 | |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | Yes | 45 | 43.3¢ | 17.5¢ | $7.82 | −$12 | −$38 | |
| Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by December 31? | No | 8 | 63¢ | 81¢ | $6.86 | +$1.53 | $0 | |
