Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?

ends 3mo · Jan 1 ’27 04:59 UTCid 0x4b7b21a5…Trade on Polymarket Live trades

Δ 24h0.0¢0.0%

Volume 24h$4415 trades

Volume total$392k

Open interest$232k

Liquidity$84.6k

Spread1.0¢bid–ask

Traders 24h50 sharp

Whales 24h0 / 0$0 / $0

Price · Yes

Yes5.5¢−0.5¢ rangeOct 9 12:15

net $ by window

Winsell ◂ net ▸ buyNetB / S

30m$00/0

1h$00/0

6h$00/0

12h$00/0

24h$00/0

Net USD bought minus sold on Yes by wallets with SharpScore ≥ 70. B / S = distinct sharp buyers / sellers.

WhalesBuysSellsBuy $Sell $30m00——1h00——6h00——12h00——24h00——

hourly · last 24h

Oct 9 12:00 UTC vol $0 traders 0trades 024h total $441

Oct 8 13:0001:00now

No flags in this marketNo position here combines a new account, outsized size, low entry and late timing strongly enough to flag.

No whale positionsNobody holds a position here large enough to count as a whale yet.

#	Trader	SharpScore	Outcome	Shares	Avg price	PnL
1	DFK	80	No	34.8k	91.8¢	+$954
2	keribit	78	No	30.0k	92.3¢	+$651
3	kevtp	74	No	35.0k	93.3¢	+$425
4	whig	77	No	20.0k	93.2¢	+$250
5	ED99999	78	No	7,890	93.3¢	+$98
6	i400	67	No	2,500	93¢	+$38
7	Donny.T	64	No	50	94¢	+$29
8	DEGENKHAN	80	No	1,769	93.3¢	+$22
9	Ahpo	86	No	1,000	92.5¢	+$20
10	smellyEllie	73	No	1,000	93¢	+$15