sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #4,046

smartpreset

0x168…490d
WR 70+WR 60+SportPoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$30.5kvol $1.58M
PnL 30d−$19.9kgains $64.9k · losses $16.5k
PnL 7d+$5,877win rate 7d 77.9%
Win rate76.2%adj 75.2% · 30d 77.2%
Open value$3,721cash n/a
Positions344 / 955open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2molast trade 2h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$17.1kbelow peak −$25.8kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

42/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 76.2% · shrunk toward 50%88
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable99
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $860 in October?No36386¢91.5¢$332+$20−$0.12
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?No33788.3¢93.5¢$315+$17+$7.89
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes37869¢75.5¢$286+$25+$65
Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?Yes34861.6¢78.5¢$273+$59−$1.23
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in October?No27087.9¢81.5¢$220−$17−$0.54
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?No20083¢88¢$176+$9.92−$0.26
Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Yes18977.5¢85.5¢$162+$15+$0.38
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?No13089.2¢93¢$121+$4.82+$0.03
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No13460.9¢86.5¢$116+$34+$0.95
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes13363¢85.7¢$114+$30−$1.41
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes52628.3¢21.5¢$113−$36−$75
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes12283.4¢81.5¢$100−$2.31−$0.02
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Yes14685¢68¢$99−$25−$17
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes10585¢87¢$91+$2.09−$0.08
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $880 in October?No9788¢93.5¢$90+$5.32−$0.04
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $195 in October?No10374.7¢86¢$88+$12+$0.10
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $620 in October?No9986¢82.5¢$82−$3.46$0
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?No8885.1¢88.5¢$78+$3.01+$0.01
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?No8592¢88.5¢$76−$2.99$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes36147.7¢19¢$69−$104−$114
Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Watermelon?No6787¢88.5¢$59+$1.00$0
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Yes6289.6¢89.5¢$56−$0.03−$0.12
Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Yes6367¢86.5¢$54+$12+$0.23
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes73037.6¢7¢$51−$223−$228
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?Yes1,4115.9¢3.5¢$49−$34−$52
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?No4985.4¢96¢$47+$5.22$0
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in October?No4692¢94¢$43+$0.91$0
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?No5672.3¢73.5¢$41+$0.69−$0.97
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $840 in October?No4389¢86¢$37−$1.28$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8844.1¢41.3¢$36−$2.52$0
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes5158.3¢69¢$35+$5.49$0
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No4175.8¢77.5¢$32+$0.68−$13
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes3453.7¢76.9¢$26+$7.92+$1.16
Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs Blitzkrieg (BO3) - CCT South America Series 5 Group StageBlitzkrieg3450¢50¢$17$0−$0.44
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.75T?No1882.5¢91.5¢$16+$1.60−$11
Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by October 31?No2076¢78.5¢$16+$0.51+$0.77
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?No2075.6¢72.5¢$14−$0.61−$0.08
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No1854.7¢65.5¢$12+$1.97$0
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 16, 2026?Yes4836¢22¢$11−$6.78$0
ITF W50 Prague Women: Anna Siskova vs Aneta KucmovaAneta Kucmova2050¢50¢$10$0−$0.26
Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?No1857¢54.5¢$9.56−$0.44$0
Will Brent Ingraham be the next confirmed Army Secretary?No1086¢91.5¢$9.44+$0.57+$0.05
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S?Yes3824¢20.5¢$7.69−$1.31$0
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 4 WinnerJD Gaming1451¢50¢$6.86−$0.14−$0.18
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes866¢82.5¢$6.25+$1.25$0
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?Yes593¢98.5¢$4.92+$0.28$0
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes3616¢11¢$3.91−$1.78−$0.53
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?No2980¢12¢$3.45−$20$0
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?Yes293¢98.5¢$2.12+$0.12$0
OpenAI resumes training by October 15, 2026?Yes1048¢20¢$2.08−$2.92$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes531.7¢25.5¢$1.16−$0.28+$16
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Yes714¢7.5¢$0.54−$0.46$0
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Yes14648.3¢0.1¢$0.07−$70+$80
Carbajal vs. Cosano: Match O/U 23.5Under17.1k14.1¢0¢$0−$2,413−$106
Carbajal vs. Cosano: Match O/U 22.5Under12.7k18.7¢0¢$0−$2,369−$99
Carbajal vs. Cosano: Match O/U 21.5Under12.6k15.5¢0¢$0−$1,952−$84
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)Vici Gaming10.0k50¢0¢$0−$5,000−$130
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere6,68439.5¢0¢$0−$2,641−$81
Valorant: JD Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerJD Gaming6,14526.3¢0¢$0−$1,619−$61
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No5,8750.8¢0¢$0−$47−$1.91
US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Borna GojoBorna Gojo5,84844.9¢0¢$0−$2,626−$75
US Open, Qualification WTA: Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie HavlickovaMoyuka Uchijima5,45168.1¢0¢$0−$3,710−$63
Will a 6.0+ earthquake occur in Japan by August 31?No5,44853.2¢0¢$0−$2,899−$562
US Open, Qualification ATP: Joel Schwaerzler vs Gustavo HeideGustavo Heide5,33251.3¢0¢$0−$2,737−$0.42
US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Iatcenko vs Julie StruplovaJulie Struplova5,13318.1¢0¢$0−$931$0
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons5,08559¢0¢$0−$3,000−$65
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance QualifierGamerLegion4,85836¢0¢$0−$1,749−$58
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 2 WinnerFnatic4,84257.3¢0¢$0−$2,776$0
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 WinnerInvictus Gaming4,78449.5¢0¢$0−$2,368−$175
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerSpirit4,75554.7¢0¢$0−$2,600−$62
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 5star - Map 1 WinnerAstralis4,58481¢0¢$0−$3,713−$39
US Open, Qualification WTA: Vendula Valdmannova vs Aliaksandra SasnovichAliaksandra Sasnovich4,53758¢0¢$0−$2,631−$58
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 4 WinnerAurora Gaming4,52935.3¢0¢$0−$1,599−$53
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026Yes4,3596.2¢0¢$0−$272−$35
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 WinnerHanwha Life Esports4,02442¢0¢$0−$1,690−$51
LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids - Game 3 WinnerFURIA Esports3,83570.8¢0¢$0−$2,716−$42
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 WinnerJD Gaming3,70650.7¢0¢$0−$1,877−$73
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 WinnerHanwha Life Esports3,57444.6¢0¢$0−$1,595−$46
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 WinnerNatus Vincere3,52724¢0¢$0−$848−$33
LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL PlayoffsLOUD3,51543.8¢0¢$0−$1,540−$45
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 WinnerYakult Brothers3,44233.3¢0¢$0−$1,148−$41
Jaguars vs. BroncosJaguars3,40717.1¢0¢$0−$583+$21
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere3,38122.8¢0¢$0−$771−$31
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 WinnerKT Rolster3,32464.7¢0¢$0−$2,152−$40
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming3,17540.2¢0¢$0−$1,276−$39
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 WinnerOG3,08534.5¢0¢$0−$1,063−$39
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group AXtreme Gaming3,04140.5¢0¢$0−$1,233−$38
Trump out as President by August 31?Yes3,0000.4¢0¢$0−$12−$0.49
Chicago White Sox vs. Houston AstrosHouston Astros2,98749.3¢0¢$0−$1,473−$39
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo VarillasJuan Pablo Varillas2,90733.4¢0¢$0−$969−$0.89
US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Kilian FeldbauschKilian Feldbausch2,88548.9¢0¢$0−$1,411−$0.86
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 WinnerTeam WE2,73243.8¢0¢$0−$1,195+$1.10
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 3 WinnerSentinels2,46052¢0¢$0−$1,279−$31
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 - Map 2 WinnerM802,42138.2¢0¢$0−$925−$30
Dota 2: Level UP vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLevel UP2,38124.7¢0¢$0−$589−$23
US Open, Qualification WTA: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Himeno SakatsumeJazmin Ortenzi2,35020.2¢0¢$0−$474$0
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 WinnerTeam WE2,34443.1¢0¢$0−$1,009−$48
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 WinnerHANJIN BRION2,34047.2¢0¢$0−$1,105−$30
LoL: Shifters vs SK Gaming - Game 2 WinnerShifters2,28744.3¢0¢$0−$1,013−$29
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 WinnerInvictus Gaming2,06847.6¢0¢$0−$984−$16

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?84¢49$4176%42
SELL NoWill SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $195 in October?81¢1$0.9376%42
SELL YesWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?86¢1$1.0076%42
SELL YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?82¢1$1.1276%42
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?83.9¢1$1.2276%42
SELL NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?84¢1$1.2276%42
SELL YesNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?22¢6$1.2376%42
SELL NoWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?77¢2$1.2976%42
SELL NoWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?92.1¢1$1.3476%42
SELL YesWill Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?85¢2$1.7576%42
SELL YesMeta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?76¢4$2.8376%42
SELL NoWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in October?71¢3$2.1476%42
SELL YesWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?75¢4$2.9876%42
SELL NoIran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?93¢4$3.4276%42
SELL NoWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $860 in October?90¢4$3.6676%42
BUY NoWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $620 in October?86¢99$8576%42
BUY NoWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?89¢70$6276%42
BUY NoWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in October?88¢47$4176%42
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?84¢49$4176%42
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?83¢75$6276%42