sharpside
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Traders/Rank #14,183

22QAQ

0x169…16a1
<7d old<14d old<30d oldSportCryptoPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$51.0kvol $777k
PnL 30d−$50.2kgains $64.0k · losses $113k
PnL 7d−$50.2kwin rate 7d 37.4%
Win rate37.4%adj 37.9% · 30d 37.4%
Open value$16.5kcash n/a
Positions65 / 654open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age6dlast trade 34m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

Not enough history to draw an equity curve.

SharpScore inputs

35/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 37.4% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable94
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yesclosed+$14.4kWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Noclosed+$7,139Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yesclosed+$5,204Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Noclosed+$3,110Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$3,019

Worst markets

Raptors vs. Timberwolves · Raptorsclosed−$19.5kWarriors vs. Nuggets · Nuggetsclosed−$12.2kWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Noclosed−$8,733Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesclosed−$8,225Thunder vs. Mavericks · Thunderclosed−$6,572

Open positions · 60

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseNo6,04273.9¢76.5¢$4,622+$158−$447
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes2,06272¢70.5¢$1,454−$31$0
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?No3,67429.4¢27.5¢$1,010−$68+$1,016
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes1,23165.1¢71.5¢$880+$79−$500
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?No1,07573.7¢73.5¢$790−$2.47−$312
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes2,20934.1¢28.5¢$629−$124+$70
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo58993.2¢93.5¢$551+$1.96$0
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?No52572.6¢99.6¢$523+$142$0
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No73369¢70.5¢$516+$11$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat?Yes58482.1¢79¢$462−$18$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes1,22941.2¢31.5¢$387−$119$0
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in October?No37197.2¢98.8¢$367+$5.83$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?No45581.7¢80.5¢$366−$5.47−$16
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Yes35687¢93¢$331+$21−$26
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No41872.2¢77.5¢$324+$22$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes46265.6¢62.4¢$288−$15$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?Yes83319.8¢34.4¢$286+$121+$73
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?No26594.5¢99.7¢$264+$14$0
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes32775.3¢79¢$259+$12−$13
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?No36464.8¢62.5¢$227−$8.52−$28
Rockets vs. MavericksRockets31162¢67.5¢$210+$17$0
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe PlayoffsTeam Spirit16292.1¢100¢$161+$13$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes15892¢93.5¢$148+$2.37$0
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in October?No11890.6¢96.2¢$113+$6.54$0
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?No10297¢100¢$102+$3.01$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?No9597.4¢98.4¢$93+$0.90−$95
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?No9887.6¢92.5¢$91+$4.82−$74
Hornets vs. WizardsWizards17650¢51.5¢$91+$2.64$0
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes16056.9¢54¢$87−$4.61$0
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?Yes24331.3¢33.5¢$81+$5.29$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes9982¢82¢$81$0$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat?Yes28532¢27¢$77−$14$0
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes23728¢31.5¢$75+$8.30$0
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerVitality13969¢52.5¢$73−$23$0
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes70613.7¢8.5¢$60−$37$0
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No20021¢26¢$52+$9.98+$57
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes23628¢21.5¢$51−$15$0
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes4984.7¢91.6¢$45+$3.39$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No19924¢22.5¢$45−$2.98$0
Pacers vs. HeatHeat6065¢73.5¢$44+$5.09$0
Will MOUZ Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?Yes13910.7¢28¢$39+$24$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No9635¢28.5¢$27−$6.24$0
Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-10-26?Yes3781¢58.5¢$22−$8.40$0
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?No19914.3¢8.5¢$17−$12$0
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes5025.4¢26.5¢$13+$0.55$0
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Yes1867¢66¢$12−$0.18−$8.92
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest PlayoffsVitality3066¢39¢$12−$8.18$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No70312.2¢1.6¢$11−$75+$48
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes16916.4¢5¢$8.47−$19$0
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?No2732.9¢2.9¢$7.91+$0.02+$52
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2403.4¢2.7¢$6.48−$1.65+$146
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1,41712.2¢0.3¢$4.25−$168+$133
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?Yes6712.9¢6.3¢$4.17−$4.44$0
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes6070.7¢0.5¢$3.34−$0.91$0
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?Up1,64924.5¢0.2¢$3.30−$400$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseYes3870.9¢0.7¢$2.71−$0.77$0
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Yes1224.6¢23.4¢$2.71−$0.15+$12
Ethereum Up or Down on October 30?Up2434.5¢0.7¢$1.70−$9.12$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo634¢29.5¢$1.65−$0.25+$351
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes605¢2.2¢$1.29−$1.71$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?12¢131$1637%35
BUY YesWill Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?87.4¢101$8837%35
BUY NoWill Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?86.7¢70$6137%35
BUY NoWill Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?86¢60$5137%35
BUY Eternal FireCounter-Strike: fnatic vs Eternal Fire (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs32¢99$3237%35
BUY Arthur FilsSwiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Arthur Fils11¢26$2.8937%35
BUY Arthur FilsSwiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Arthur Fils11¢80$8.8437%35
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11AM ET97.3¢55$5437%35
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11AM ET8¢212$1737%35
BUY FURIACounter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner29¢992$28837%35
BUY FURIACounter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner29¢376$10937%35
BUY Holger RuneSwiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot10¢450$4537%35
BUY MOUZMap Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)30.9¢78$2437%35
BUY Eternal FireCounter-Strike: MIBR vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs96.9¢66$6437%35
BUY Eternal FireCounter-Strike: MIBR vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs97¢177$17137%35
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House94¢458$43037%35
BUY NoWill Solana dip to $90 in October?73.6¢98$7237%35
BUY Valentin VacherotSwiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot79¢35$2837%35
BUY Valentin VacherotSwiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot79¢66$5237%35
BUY VitalityCounter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner69¢139$9637%35