sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,544

NotOver

0x177…4822
SharpPnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+CryptoPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$20.4kvol $1.41M
PnL 30d+$1,126gains $4,742 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$579win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate87.7%adj 85.2% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$61.0kcash n/a
Positions20 / 306open / all-time
Max drawdown−27.9%of equity peak
Account age1.7ylast trade 16h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$22.1kbelow peak $0Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

79/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale62
Adjusted win rateraw 87.7% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable83
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity72

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Noopen+$20.9kWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Noclosed+$4,694Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025? · Noclosed+$2,629Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025? · Noclosed+$2,187Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Noclosed+$1,463

Worst markets

Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yesopen−$20.7kWill Ethereum reach $2600 in May? · Noclosed−$2,535MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? · Noclosed−$1,582Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by February 28, 2025? · Noclosed−$1,541Ethereum flipped in 2026? · Noclosed−$1,512

Open positions · 20

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No46.1k50¢97.2¢$44.8k+$21.7k−$862
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No5,00096¢95.5¢$4,775−$25$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No3,00087.7¢97.8¢$2,934+$304$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,50076.1¢95.6¢$1,434+$291−$843
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No1,40992.3¢96.9¢$1,365+$65$0
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes44.0k50¢2.9¢$1,254−$20.7k$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No1,00068¢84.5¢$845+$165$0
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?No1,61683.3¢46.5¢$751−$594−$514
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No50091¢97.2¢$486+$31$0
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No50065.6¢95.5¢$477+$149$0
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?No50082¢95¢$475+$65$0
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?No38195¢97.3¢$370+$8.75$0
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?No25090.3¢98.2¢$246+$20$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No25075¢92.5¢$231+$44$0
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027?No16092.4¢97.3¢$156+$7.70$0
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?No15085¢97¢$146+$18$0
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?No12592.7¢97.5¢$122+$5.92$0
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?No10190.1¢97.5¢$98+$7.47$0
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?No7089.7¢98.7¢$69+$6.29$0
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?No1087¢97.9¢$9.30+$1.04$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?96¢5,000$4,80088%79Sharp
BUY NoWill the Iranian regime fall by September 30?99¢1,817$1,79988%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?97.8¢1,398$1,36788%79Sharp
SELL NoWill Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?97.6¢1,000$97688%79Sharp
SELL NoWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?95¢2,550$2,42288%79Sharp
SELL NoWill Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?96.9¢1,612$1,56288%79Sharp
BUY No9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?93.9¢260$24488%79Sharp
SELL NoWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?96.3¢4,000$3,85288%79Sharp
SELL NoWill Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?47.8¢1,272$60988%79Sharp
SELL NoWill Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?51¢1,500$76688%79Sharp
BUY No9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?94.1¢649$61188%79Sharp
BUY NoWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?99.3¢209$20788%79Sharp
BUY NoWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?97.9¢3,000$2,93788%79Sharp
SELL NoMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?70.2¢5,727$4,02188%79Sharp
SELL NoMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?58¢1,000$58088%79Sharp
BUY NoMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?98.1¢1,727$1,69488%79Sharp
BUY NoWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?98.1¢5,000$4,90588%79Sharp
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?99.7¢7,000$6,97988%79Sharp
BUY NoWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?99.8¢30.0k$29.9k88%79WhaleSharp
BUY NoWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?97.1¢3,000$2,91388%79Sharp