PnL all-time−$50.0kvol $625k
PnL 30d+$627gains $0 · losses $278
PnL 7d−$298win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate81.0%adj 65.9% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$53.7kcash n/a
Positions9 / 30open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age1.6ylast trade 12h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
Not enough history to draw an equity curve.
SharpScore inputs
29/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 81.0% · shrunk toward 50%65
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable49
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · Noopen−$38.6kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · Noclosed−$15.8kRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · Noopen−$15.7kWill Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election? · Yesclosed−$2,000Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 · Noclosed−$278
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 19.0k | 84¢ | 95.4¢ | $18.1k | +$2,166 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 17.4k | 90.4¢ | 91.5¢ | $16.0k | +$184 | $0 | |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | No | 11.9k | 94.3¢ | 94.9¢ | $11.3k | +$62 | $0 | |
| France declares state of emergency by October 21, 2026? | No | 4,252 | 98.1¢ | 99.4¢ | $4,226 | +$54 | $0 | |
| France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? | No | 3,574 | 81.9¢ | 88¢ | $3,145 | +$219 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21? | Yes | 990 | 97.4¢ | 98.1¢ | $970 | +$6.43 | $0 |
Recent trades
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