sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,093

bernardbulletin

0x1c1…0869@bernardbulletin
SharpWhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$186kvol $6.59M
PnL 30d+$39.1kgains $17.6k · losses $4,995
PnL 7d+$4,862win rate 7d 75.0%
Win rate77.0%adj 75.9% · 30d 82.6%
Open value$231kcash n/a
Positions232 / 2,367open / all-time
Max drawdown−6.8%of equity peak
Account age1.5ylast trade 9h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$247kbelow peak −$4,845Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

85/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale75
Adjusted win rateraw 77.0% · shrunk toward 50%90
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity93

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes120k29.7¢58¢$69.8k+$34.0k+$278
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes609k0.9¢2.4¢$14.6k+$9,199$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes19.6k69¢71.5¢$14.0k+$490$0
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes169k4¢5.1¢$8,514+$1,837$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No14.7k45.1¢57.5¢$8,449+$1,828$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes12.9k51.1¢61.5¢$7,962+$1,340+$346
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No12.6k35.5¢44.5¢$5,606+$1,136+$226
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No14.6k28.7¢37.5¢$5,468+$1,286+$60
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No7,59147.2¢61.5¢$4,669+$1,088+$83
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes327k0.8¢1.3¢$4,086+$1,627$0
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?No3,74293¢98.4¢$3,682+$202$0
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes7,80737.1¢44.5¢$3,474+$574+$203
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes7,18029¢38.5¢$2,764+$682+$169
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-12 House seat?Yes2,79391¢97.4¢$2,719+$177$0
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes200k0.6¢1.4¢$2,696+$1,516$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MS-02 House seat?Yes2,57594¢97¢$2,497+$77+$55
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes7,10027.4¢29¢$2,059+$116+$363
Will Trump say "Dictionary" this week?Yes2,26987.7¢88.5¢$2,008+$19$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.8k9.3¢18¢$1,931+$931$0
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?No2,02081.1¢93.2¢$1,883+$244+$60
Will Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes1,85393.1¢98.6¢$1,826+$102$0
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?Yes2,24066.6¢81¢$1,814+$323+$199
Will the Republican Party win the MS-02 House seat?No1,85794¢97.5¢$1,811+$65$0
Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes1,85989.7¢97.4¢$1,810+$143+$265
Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?No2,06076.6¢80.5¢$1,658+$81$0
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?No24.5k5.9¢6.7¢$1,639+$195$0
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No3,26243.8¢49.5¢$1,615+$187$0
Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?No1,57294.7¢98¢$1,540+$52+$6.77
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?No5,66723.4¢26.5¢$1,502+$178$0
Will Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes1,54294.2¢93¢$1,433−$19+$5.40
Will the Republican Party win the CA-02 House seat?No1,38195¢99.9¢$1,379+$67$0
Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2028?Yes1,62176.7¢84.5¢$1,370+$126$0
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes357k0.6¢0.4¢$1,248−$854$0
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?No1,42182.9¢87.5¢$1,244+$65$0
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes1,37993¢86.5¢$1,193−$90$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?Yes1,16688.3¢95.3¢$1,111+$82$0
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Yes4,17424.5¢26.4¢$1,100+$76$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes4,14728.7¢26¢$1,078−$114+$71
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?Yes5,67824.2¢18.5¢$1,050−$323+$26
Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?No1,04592.9¢95.4¢$997+$26+$5.08
Will the Republican Party win the HI-01 House seat?No1,00296¢96.5¢$967+$5.01$0
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes4,98930.7¢18.5¢$923−$608−$61
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?Yes2,51532.7¢36.5¢$918+$94$0
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?No1,00588¢87¢$874−$10$0
Will Democrats win young men in the midterms?Yes1,00475.9¢85.5¢$859+$97+$4.62
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?Yes4,48222.2¢18.2¢$813−$181$0
Will the Georgia 2026 Senate race be within 1%?No84092.8¢94.9¢$797+$17$0
Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2027?No80793.1¢97.8¢$789+$38$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No1,19539¢65.5¢$783+$317+$178
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2028?Yes1,36166.9¢50.5¢$687−$224$0
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?Yes71395.6¢95.8¢$683+$0.99$0
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes73662.4¢91.5¢$674+$214+$2,790
Will Lauren Boebert drop out of the CO-04 race?No70192.2¢95.8¢$671+$25$0
Will Ohio use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes70690.6¢93.2¢$657+$18$0
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2028?Yes69076.9¢88.1¢$608+$78$0
Will Democrats sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections?Yes83666.8¢72.5¢$606+$48$0
Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 1%?No62284.3¢90¢$560+$36$0
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?No7,2628.2¢7.5¢$545−$48$0
Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?No54996¢98.4¢$540+$13$0
Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes57972.5¢91.5¢$530+$110$0
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?Yes50196¢97.9¢$490+$9.27$0
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes108k0.2¢0.5¢$488+$243$0
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?Yes1,76037¢27.5¢$484−$167$0
Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?Yes44992.5¢97.6¢$439+$23$0
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes2,74310.5¢15.5¢$425+$137+$118
Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?No51870.7¢81¢$420+$53+$119
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?Yes1,55525.5¢26.5¢$412+$16$0
Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026?Yes40593¢98.1¢$397+$20$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No41391¢94.8¢$391+$16$0
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes40393.3¢96.2¢$387+$11$0
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?No5,1597¢7.5¢$387+$23$0
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No50070¢76.5¢$382+$32$0
Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?Yes37995¢97.9¢$371+$11$0
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes4,2419.3¢8.5¢$360−$35$0
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No50071¢71¢$355$0$0
Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 1%?No36390.5¢97.6¢$354+$26$0
Will Georgia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?No36695.8¢96.8¢$354+$3.53$0
Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?Yes36193.2¢96.8¢$349+$13$0
Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Yes50065.1¢69.5¢$347+$22$0
Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?No3450¢98.9¢$341+$341$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes2,50054.4¢13.5¢$337−$1,022−$100
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Yes9,1877.6¢3.7¢$335−$365−$28
Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Yes53161.1¢63¢$335+$10$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-49 House seat?Yes34795¢96¢$333+$3.47$0
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes4,50410.3¢6.8¢$304−$158$0
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes60833.7¢47.5¢$289+$84$0
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2028?Yes35778.6¢76.3¢$273−$8.50$0
Will the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 1%?No28094.6¢96.4¢$270+$4.88$0
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?Yes2,15311¢12.5¢$269+$32$0
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10,0000.5¢2.6¢$255+$202$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No27092¢93¢$251+$2.70$0
Will the Michigan 2026 Senate race be within 1%?No30578.6¢78.3¢$239−$0.99$0
Blue wave in 2026?Yes27576¢84.5¢$232+$23$0
Will the New Hampshire 2026 Senate race be within 5%?No28457¢67.5¢$192+$30+$26
Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?No30161¢61.5¢$185+$1.48$0
Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?No17797.2¢97.6¢$173+$0.79$0
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by October 31, 2026?Yes4,7924.9¢3.5¢$165−$67$0
Closer Senate Race: Michigan or New Hampshire?Michigan22572¢72¢$162$0$0
Will the Democrats win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?Yes14893¢96.6¢$143+$5.27$0
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2028?No23353.9¢60.5¢$141+$15$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?86¢1,238$1,06477%85Sharp
BUY YesWill Donald Trump publicly praise Andy Burnham by October 31, 2026?99.9¢70$7077%85Sharp
BUY YesWill Donald Trump publicly praise Kevin Warsh by October 31, 2026?98.9¢269$26677%85Sharp
BUY YesWill Trump say "Dictionary" this week?90¢982$88477%85Sharp
BUY YesWill Trump say "Dictionary" this week?85.8¢1,230$1,05577%85Sharp
BUY YesWill Trump say "Intel" in October?99¢141$14077%85Sharp
BUY YesWill Trump say "Uber" in October?99¢431$42777%85Sharp
BUY YesWill Trump say "Dell" in October?99.6¢487$48577%85Sharp
BUY YesWill Trump say "Secret Service" this week?99.3¢30$3077%85Sharp
BUY YesWill Trump say "American Dream" in October?99.6¢408$40677%85Sharp
BUY YesWill Trump say "Caravan" in October?99.3¢276$27477%85Sharp
BUY YesWill Donald Trump publicly praise Andy Burnham by October 31, 2026?99¢110$10977%85Sharp
BUY YesWill Donald Trump publicly praise Kevin Warsh by October 31, 2026?95.6¢198$18977%85Sharp
BUY YesWill Donald Trump publicly praise Byron Donalds by October 31, 2026?99.7¢254$25377%85Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?25.9¢1,855$48177%85Sharp
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?25¢10$2.5077%85Sharp
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?24¢3,750$90077%85Sharp
SELL NoWill the Michigan 2026 Senate race be within 5%?31.8¢466$14877%85Sharp
BUY MichiganCloser Senate Race: Michigan or New Hampshire?72¢225$16277%85Sharp
SELL NoWill the Republicans win Clark County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?90.9¢67$6177%85Sharp