sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #7,063

Donintello

0x1d3…2078
WR 70+WR 60+OtherPoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,118vol $407k
PnL 30d−$125gains $255 · losses $176
PnL 7d+$19win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate75.0%adj 71.5% · 30d 92.3%
Open value$1,870cash n/a
Positions41 / 165open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 4d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$57below peak −$1,874Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

50/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale44
Adjusted win rateraw 75.0% · shrunk toward 50%79
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable74
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d86
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 41

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No1,27344.1¢24¢$305−$255−$59
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Yes1,04518.4¢23.5¢$246+$54+$153
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes1,17018.1¢20.8¢$243+$31+$414
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No42046.2¢37.9¢$159−$35+$25
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Yes2,3938.8¢6¢$144−$66+$2.89
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No25354.3¢51¢$129−$8.42$0
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes3,2004.9¢3.5¢$110−$48$0
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No21730.1¢41.5¢$90+$25$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No14061¢57.5¢$81−$4.90$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No13059.6¢58.2¢$76−$1.86$0
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes27040.1¢26¢$70−$38$0
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes17.4k1.6¢0.4¢$61−$216+$0.42
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?No6073.8¢79.5¢$48+$3.40+$6.92
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes2,56814.9¢1.8¢$46−$336+$6.68
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,8003.2¢0.7¢$12−$46+$137
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes4,0151.8¢0.3¢$10−$62+$7.96
Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes20.0k0.2¢0.1¢$10−$25$0
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes15316¢5.5¢$8.41−$16−$3.78
Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes689¢9.5¢$6.44+$0.34$0
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes3,6000.2¢0.2¢$5.40−$1.80$0
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes10.8k0.7¢0.1¢$5.38−$71+$39
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes5,3570.4¢0.1¢$2.68−$19+$8.88
Will Vitinha finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes583.9¢2.1¢$1.20−$1.08$0
Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2994.3¢0.4¢$1.20−$12+$3.43
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes10.9k0.6¢0¢$0−$68+$23
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes1,56818.9¢0¢$0−$297+$128
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No1,20829.4¢0¢$0−$355+$16
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes1,1729.9¢0¢$0−$116$0
Will DeepSeek be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes6563¢0¢$0−$20−$0.01
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? Yes60920.5¢0¢$0−$125+$13
Will Baidu be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes5954.2¢0¢$0−$25$0
Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes5823.2¢0¢$0−$18$0
Will SpaceXAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes5682.9¢0¢$0−$16+$0.65
Will Moonshot be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes4414¢0¢$0−$18+$0.97
Will Desire Doue finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes4003¢0¢$0−$12$0
ITF Chacabuco: Berta Bonardi vs Victoria BosioBerta Bonardi38513¢0¢$0−$50−$2.18
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes2687.9¢0¢$0−$21+$1.03
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No12642.7¢0¢$0−$54$0
ITF Londrina: Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Carlos Maria ZarateCarlos Maria Zarate10382.7¢0¢$0−$86−$16
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes8814.9¢0¢$0−$13$0
ITF M25 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Men: George Lazarov vs Gabriele PennafortiGabriele Pennaforti2970.1¢0¢$0−$21−$48

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?88¢50$4475%50
SELL NoWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?48¢9$4.4475%50
BUY NoWill Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?55¢85$4775%50
BUY NoWill Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?54¢62$3475%50
BUY NoWill Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?54¢106$5775%50
BUY NoWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?57.3¢100$5775%50
SELL YesWill Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?23¢35$8.0575%50
BUY YesWill a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?14¢200$2875%50
BUY YesWill a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?14¢300$4275%50
SELL YesWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?8.4¢315$2675%50
SELL YesWill Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?5.8¢61$3.5275%50
BUY YesWill François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?40.8¢190$7875%50
SELL YesWill Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?14¢140$2075%50
SELL YesWill Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0.8¢22.9k$18375%50
SELL YesWill Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0.4¢2,241$8.9675%50
SELL YesWill Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?2.5¢203$5.0775%50
SELL YesWill Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?2.5¢897$2275%50
BUY YesWill Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0.7¢2,004$1475%50
BUY YesWill Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?14.5¢40$5.8075%50
SELL YesWill Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?2.6¢206$5.3575%50