sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,453

QMG-SCALAR

0x1d6…d76b
SharpPnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$17.6kvol $1.74M
PnL 30d+$22.8kgains $48.8k · losses $26.8k
PnL 7d+$106win rate 7d 80.0%
Win rate83.3%adj 79.9% · 30d 56.3%
Open value$38.7kcash n/a
Positions25 / 200open / all-time
Max drawdown−18.0%of equity peak
Account age1.5ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$19.0kbelow peak −$921Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

79/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale61
Adjusted win rateraw 83.3% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable77
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity82

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 25

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
New pandemic in 2026?No10.2k93.9¢94.5¢$9,634+$61+$2,107
Iran Nuke before 2027?No10.0k95.7¢96.3¢$9,631+$56+$300
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No10,00093.5¢94.5¢$9,450+$100$0
US recession by end of 2026?No7,64991.1¢93.5¢$7,152+$181$0
Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?Yes1,52398¢96.8¢$1,474−$18$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes1,00011.3¢85.8¢$858+$745$0
Will Alan Rick win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial second round?No35697¢97¢$345+$0.14$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes9003.1¢13.5¢$122+$93$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes56.0k20¢0¢$0−$11.2k$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes4,00020¢0¢$0−$800−$4,518
Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes2,0002.9¢0¢$0−$59$0
Will Yabloko win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes2,0002.9¢0¢$0−$59$0
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes2,0002.9¢0¢$0−$59$0
Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes2,0002.9¢0¢$0−$59$0
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes2,0002.9¢0¢$0−$59$0
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes9003.1¢0¢$0−$28$0
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes9003.1¢0¢$0−$28$0
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes9003.1¢0¢$0−$28$0
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes9003.1¢0¢$0−$28$0
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes9003.1¢0¢$0−$28$0
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes9003.1¢0¢$0−$28$0
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes9003.1¢0¢$0−$28$0
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes9003.1¢0¢$0−$28$0
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes9003.1¢0¢$0−$28$0
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes9003.1¢0¢$0−$28$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?98¢1,523$1,49383%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Alan Rick win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial second round?97¢356$34583%79Sharp
BUY NoZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?94¢70$6683%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?84.8¢100$8583%79Sharp
BUY NoIran Nuke before 2027?96.4¢220$21283%79Sharp
BUY NoIran Nuke before 2027?96.4¢1,147$1,10683%79Sharp
SELL NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?97.2¢5,000$4,86183%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?99.7¢3,000$2,99183%79Sharp
SELL NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?97.3¢478$46583%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?99.6¢1,265$1,26083%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?99.7¢967$96483%79Sharp
BUY NoIran Nuke before 2027?96¢1,355$1,30183%79Sharp
BUY NoIran Nuke before 2027?95.9¢777$74583%79Sharp
BUY NoZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?93¢2,786$2,59183%79Sharp
BUY NoUS recession by end of 2026?91¢4,200$3,82283%79Sharp
BUY NoUS recession by end of 2026?89¢814$72483%79Sharp
BUY NoIran Nuke before 2027?95.8¢370$35483%79Sharp
BUY NoIran Nuke before 2027?95.7¢1,000$95783%79Sharp
BUY NoIran Nuke before 2027?95.5¢3,632$3,46783%79Sharp
SELL NoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?99.4¢2,500$2,48583%79Sharp