| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 482 | 95.8¢ | 96.2¢ | $463 | +$1.73 | +$113 | |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 411 | 99.5¢ | 99.6¢ | $409 | +$0.33 | +$92 | |
| Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 258 | 99.8¢ | 99.9¢ | $257 | +$0.02 | −$166 | |
| Will Minerva Torres Shelton win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election? | No | 225 | 97.5¢ | 95.1¢ | $214 | −$5.51 | −$0.75 | |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? | No | 195 | 92¢ | 95.5¢ | $187 | +$6.84 | +$308 | |
| Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? | No | 175 | 94¢ | 96.1¢ | $168 | +$3.67 | −$10 | |
| Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 161 | 99.9¢ | 99.9¢ | $161 | $0 | −$36 | |
| Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 161 | 99.8¢ | 99.8¢ | $161 | −$0.06 | −$27 | |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 161 | 99.7¢ | 99.3¢ | $160 | −$0.61 | −$31 | |
| Will Waymo operate in 20-23 cities on December 31 2026? | No | 134 | 99.8¢ | 99.7¢ | $133 | −$0.13 | −$97 | |
| Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 121 | 99.8¢ | 99.9¢ | $121 | +$0.04 | −$35 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 112 | 99.7¢ | 99.6¢ | $111 | −$0.11 | −$987 | |
| Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? | No | 100 | 99.3¢ | 97.7¢ | $97 | −$1.61 | −$8.54 | |
| Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond? | No | 100 | 96.2¢ | 96.9¢ | $97 | +$0.66 | −$8.71 | |
| Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | No | 92 | 96.8¢ | 98.5¢ | $91 | +$1.51 | −$0.03 | |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 105 | 88.6¢ | 85¢ | $89 | −$3.78 | +$138 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the NJ-05 House seat? | No | 60 | 95.2¢ | 98.5¢ | $59 | +$1.96 | −$29 | |
| Tom Blyth announced as next James Bond? | No | 50 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $50 | +$0.03 | −$9.90 | |
| Jonathan Bailey announced as next James Bond? | No | 50 | 99.9¢ | 99.9¢ | $50 | $0 | −$8.94 | |
| Richard Madden announced as next James Bond? | No | 50 | 99.7¢ | 99.9¢ | $50 | +$0.07 | −$9.00 | |
| Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond? | No | 50 | 99.9¢ | 99.9¢ | $50 | −$0.02 | −$9.83 | |
| James Norton announced as next James Bond? | No | 50 | 99.8¢ | 99.9¢ | $50 | +$0.03 | −$8.01 | |
| Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond? | No | 50 | 99.8¢ | 99.8¢ | $50 | −$0.02 | −$8.84 | |
| Theo James announced as next James Bond? | No | 50 | 99.5¢ | 99.8¢ | $50 | +$0.13 | −$9.85 | |
| Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings | No | 50 | 82¢ | 99.8¢ | $50 | +$8.88 | +$9.59 | |
| Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond? | No | 50 | 99.6¢ | 99.7¢ | $50 | +$0.05 | −$8.85 | |
| Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond? | No | 50 | 99.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $50 | +$0.07 | −$8.93 | |
| Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond? | No | 50 | 99.4¢ | 99.4¢ | $50 | −$0.03 | −$1.01 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? | No | 69 | 71¢ | 71.5¢ | $49 | +$0.34 | +$24 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? | No | 50 | 98.2¢ | 98¢ | $49 | −$0.10 | −$77 | |
| Tom Francis announced as next James Bond? | No | 50 | 97¢ | 98¢ | $49 | +$0.47 | −$7.93 | |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | No | 50 | 98¢ | 97.9¢ | $49 | −$0.07 | −$124 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | No | 50 | 97.5¢ | 97.5¢ | $49 | $0 | −$78 | |
| Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond? | No | 50 | 97.6¢ | 97.4¢ | $49 | −$0.10 | −$7.20 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? | No | 50 | 98.3¢ | 95.9¢ | $48 | −$1.24 | −$60 | |
| Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? | No | 50 | 91.7¢ | 95.3¢ | $48 | +$1.80 | +$10 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? | No | 50 | 94.7¢ | 93.1¢ | $47 | −$0.84 | +$0.15 | |
| Will Oura not IPO before January 2027? | Yes | 50 | 12.5¢ | 87.8¢ | $44 | +$38 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? | No | 50 | 89.4¢ | 87.9¢ | $44 | −$0.73 | +$27 | |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | No | 50 | 84.9¢ | 87.4¢ | $44 | +$1.25 | +$8.52 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 70 | 20¢ | 61.5¢ | $43 | +$29 | $0 | |
| Tom Holland announced as next James Bond? | No | 43 | 99.5¢ | 99.9¢ | $43 | +$0.17 | −$29 | |
| Will Alex Villanueva win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election? | No | 44 | 96.3¢ | 96.1¢ | $42 | −$0.09 | +$0.04 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | No | 50 | 82¢ | 83.5¢ | $42 | +$0.75 | +$118 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the NJ-12 House seat? | No | 43 | 98¢ | 96.8¢ | $41 | −$0.51 | −$1.98 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MN-02 House seat? | No | 480 | 6¢ | 8.1¢ | $39 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | No | 50 | 71¢ | 76.5¢ | $38 | +$2.75 | +$132 | |
| Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026? | No | 124 | 48.4¢ | 30.4¢ | $38 | −$22 | +$113 | |
| Will Green Bay Packers win the 2026 NFC North? | No | 40 | 94¢ | 92.5¢ | $37 | −$0.60 | −$10 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | No | 50 | 71.5¢ | 69.7¢ | $35 | −$0.93 | +$143 | |
| Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | Yes | 40 | 3¢ | 85.7¢ | $34 | +$33 | $0 | |
| No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 50 | 74¢ | 67.1¢ | $34 | −$3.45 | +$102 | |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 201 | 15¢ | 16.5¢ | $33 | +$3.02 | +$1,027 | |
| Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Yes | 60 | 2¢ | 53.2¢ | $32 | +$31 | $0 | |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | No | 50 | 63.4¢ | 62.6¢ | $31 | −$0.42 | +$274 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-25 House seat? | No | 32 | 96.7¢ | 98.1¢ | $31 | +$0.45 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-03 House seat? | No | 30 | 95¢ | 97¢ | $29 | +$0.58 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 90 | 39¢ | 30.5¢ | $28 | −$7.67 | +$300 | |
| Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North? | No | 40 | 78¢ | 68¢ | $27 | −$4.00 | −$0.09 | |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | Yes | 40 | 11.1¢ | 66.5¢ | $27 | +$22 | $0 | |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | No | 27 | 96.7¢ | 96.3¢ | $26 | −$0.11 | −$12 | |
| Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2026 NFC North? | No | 40 | 64¢ | 61.5¢ | $25 | −$1.00 | +$15 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-37 House seat? | No | 21 | 95¢ | 99¢ | $21 | +$0.84 | $0 | |
| Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | No | 20 | 99.7¢ | 99.9¢ | $20 | +$0.03 | −$4.74 | |
| Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | No | 20 | 99.1¢ | 98.1¢ | $20 | −$0.21 | −$4.19 | |
| Will the 49ers win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 40 | 50¢ | 49¢ | $20 | −$0.40 | +$5.87 | |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Yes | 20 | 3.3¢ | 95¢ | $19 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | No | 39 | 56¢ | 47.5¢ | $19 | −$3.34 | +$483 | |
| Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | No | 20 | 93.5¢ | 90.4¢ | $18 | −$0.63 | −$2.90 | |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? | No | 23 | 63.6¢ | 73.5¢ | $17 | +$2.25 | −$33 | |
| Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026? | No | 293 | 8¢ | 5.5¢ | $16 | −$7.47 | +$67 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | No | 34 | 42¢ | 45.5¢ | $15 | +$1.17 | +$25 | |
| Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | No | 15 | 99.7¢ | 99.9¢ | $15 | +$0.02 | −$61 | |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 449 | 0¢ | 2.8¢ | $13 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | No | 140 | 9.1¢ | 8.5¢ | $12 | −$0.84 | +$596 | |
| Will Michael Dell be 2nd richest person on December 31? | Yes | 40 | 2.7¢ | 29¢ | $12 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026? | No | 12 | 95.9¢ | 95.2¢ | $11 | −$0.08 | −$0.91 | |
| Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 22.5k | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $11 | −$242 | $0 | |
| Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 22.5k | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $11 | −$242 | $0 | |
| Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 22.5k | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $11 | −$242 | $0 | |
| Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 22.5k | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $11 | −$242 | $0 | |
| Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 22.5k | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $11 | −$242 | $0 | |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 1,578 | 1.8¢ | 0.7¢ | $11 | −$17 | +$8.08 | |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? | No | 20 | 46¢ | 55¢ | $11 | +$1.80 | +$3.72 | |
| Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 20.9k | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $10 | −$225 | $0 | |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | No | 85 | 11¢ | 10.5¢ | $8.93 | −$0.43 | +$2,216 | |
| Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 17.7k | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $8.83 | −$190 | −$1.18 | |
| Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 9 | 95.5¢ | 93.5¢ | $8.41 | −$0.18 | +$17 | |
| Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 16.1k | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $8.03 | −$172 | −$1.18 | |
| Will Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | Yes | 50 | 3.2¢ | 15.8¢ | $7.88 | +$6.26 | $0 | |
| Will Sergey Brin be 2nd richest person on December 31? | Yes | 20 | 2.7¢ | 37.9¢ | $7.57 | +$7.03 | $0 | |
| Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 14.2k | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $7.08 | −$152 | +$26 | |
| Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1,051 | 0¢ | 0.7¢ | $6.83 | +$6.83 | $0 | |
| Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Yes | 595 | 1.6¢ | 1.1¢ | $6.54 | −$2.75 | $0 | |
| Will Cristina Fernández de Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Yes | 595 | 1.6¢ | 1¢ | $5.65 | −$3.64 | $0 | |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 449 | 0¢ | 1.2¢ | $5.16 | +$5.16 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold 32 or more governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | 99.4¢ | $5.15 | −$0.02 | −$2.09 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 30 or 31 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 5 | 99.4¢ | 99.3¢ | $5.14 | −$0.01 | −$2.04 | |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 106 | 20.5¢ | 4.7¢ | $5.00 | −$17 | +$275 | |
| Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | No | 19 | 95.7¢ | 26¢ | $4.91 | −$13 | −$0.23 | |