| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in October 2026? | No | 2,305 | 99.9¢ | 99.9¢ | $2,301 | −$0.83 | −$17 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | Yes | 2,949 | 3¢ | 31.9¢ | $941 | +$852 | −$63 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | Yes | 2,942 | 3.4¢ | 28.7¢ | $846 | +$746 | −$53 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in October 2026? | No | 832 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $832 | +$0.42 | −$14 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | Yes | 5,611 | 3¢ | 14.4¢ | $808 | +$641 | −$51 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 715 | 91.1¢ | 92.5¢ | $662 | +$10 | +$211 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | Yes | 5,604 | 3.5¢ | 11.3¢ | $633 | +$438 | −$15 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 600 | 56.2¢ | 97.7¢ | $586 | +$249 | +$0.40 | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 600 | 93.8¢ | 97.4¢ | $584 | +$22 | −$4.30 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026? | Yes | 749 | 9¢ | 75.5¢ | $566 | +$498 | +$16 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | Yes | 5,617 | 3.7¢ | 10¢ | $559 | +$352 | −$9.90 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | Yes | 5,466 | 3.8¢ | 9.9¢ | $538 | +$333 | +$19 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | Yes | 5,546 | 3.8¢ | 8.5¢ | $469 | +$259 | −$35 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | Yes | 5,137 | 3.4¢ | 9¢ | $465 | +$288 | +$154 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | Yes | 2,928 | 2.7¢ | 15.5¢ | $452 | +$375 | −$103 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 364 | 99.7¢ | 99.7¢ | $363 | −$0.28 | −$930 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | Yes | 2,946 | 3.8¢ | 11.4¢ | $334 | +$221 | −$89 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | Yes | 5,656 | 3.9¢ | 5.6¢ | $317 | +$98 | −$19 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | Yes | 4,962 | 4¢ | 6.2¢ | $305 | +$106 | +$247 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 330 | 91.6¢ | 91¢ | $300 | −$2.24 | −$129 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | Yes | 5,519 | 3.8¢ | 5.3¢ | $290 | +$79 | −$8.58 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | Yes | 5,171 | 3.6¢ | 5.5¢ | $282 | +$97 | −$41 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 243 | 99.1¢ | 99.1¢ | $241 | +$0.04 | −$587 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | Yes | 4,524 | 4¢ | 4.8¢ | $215 | +$36 | +$418 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 210 | 97.4¢ | 97.3¢ | $204 | −$0.39 | −$331 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 200 | 96.2¢ | 95.8¢ | $192 | −$0.96 | −$1.96 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 170 | 93.7¢ | 93.9¢ | $160 | +$0.18 | −$196 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in October 2026? | No | 148 | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | $148 | +$0.94 | −$2.40 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 159 | 92.4¢ | 90.1¢ | $144 | −$3.65 | −$9.72 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 150 | 95.6¢ | 95.3¢ | $143 | −$0.47 | −$350 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | Yes | 4,722 | 3.5¢ | 2.8¢ | $130 | −$36 | +$529 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 140 | 93.4¢ | 90.1¢ | $126 | −$4.69 | −$2.85 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 123 | 91.6¢ | 88.7¢ | $109 | −$3.57 | −$2.03 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | Yes | 2,972 | 3.8¢ | 3.5¢ | $104 | −$10 | −$83 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | No | 100 | 98.6¢ | 96.7¢ | $97 | −$1.95 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 100 | 94.7¢ | 94.8¢ | $95 | +$0.05 | −$2.85 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 100 | 96.3¢ | 94.6¢ | $95 | −$1.75 | −$1.85 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 100 | 95.7¢ | 94.4¢ | $94 | −$1.30 | −$4.69 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | No | 100 | 91.5¢ | 87.5¢ | $88 | −$4.00 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 100 | 93.1¢ | 85.6¢ | $86 | −$7.50 | −$4.69 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 77.5¢ | 85.5¢ | $86 | +$8.00 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 92 | 92¢ | 92.6¢ | $85 | +$0.50 | +$8.90 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? | No | 78 | 88.7¢ | 92¢ | $72 | +$2.54 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 17, 2026? | No | 70 | 92¢ | 99.1¢ | $69 | +$4.93 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | No | 70 | 97.3¢ | 97.3¢ | $68 | −$0.04 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 72 | 89.8¢ | 94.5¢ | $68 | +$3.40 | +$30 | |
| Manchester City punishment announced by October 9? | No | 60 | 85.8¢ | 99.1¢ | $59 | +$7.95 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 58 | 95.5¢ | 95.7¢ | $55 | +$0.12 | $0 | |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day? | No | 57 | 97.6¢ | 92.1¢ | $52 | −$3.14 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in October 2026? | Yes | 769 | 3¢ | 6.5¢ | $50 | +$27 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | 96.7¢ | 99.5¢ | $50 | +$1.40 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | 97.6¢ | 99.5¢ | $50 | +$0.93 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | 96.2¢ | 99.4¢ | $50 | +$1.60 | $0 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | No | 50 | 98.8¢ | 99.2¢ | $50 | +$0.17 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | 95¢ | 99.2¢ | $50 | +$2.08 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | 96¢ | 99¢ | $49 | +$1.48 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 50 | 98.9¢ | 98.9¢ | $49 | −$0.01 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | 94¢ | 98.7¢ | $49 | +$2.33 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 50 | 98.1¢ | 98.6¢ | $49 | +$0.25 | −$2.85 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | 90¢ | 98.6¢ | $49 | +$4.30 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | 97.2¢ | 98¢ | $49 | +$0.36 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | No | 50 | 98.7¢ | 97.4¢ | $49 | −$0.67 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | 96.9¢ | 97.3¢ | $49 | +$0.20 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in October 2026? | No | 50 | 85.4¢ | 97.2¢ | $49 | +$5.89 | +$23 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 50 | 96.2¢ | 97.2¢ | $49 | +$0.47 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in October 2026? | No | 50 | 86.5¢ | 96.9¢ | $48 | +$5.18 | +$18 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | 96¢ | 96.7¢ | $48 | +$0.33 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 50 | 93¢ | 95.9¢ | $48 | +$1.43 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | Yes | 5,225 | 3.5¢ | 0.9¢ | $47 | −$134 | +$744 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in October 2026? | No | 43 | 96.9¢ | 99.1¢ | $42 | +$0.95 | +$0.71 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 40 | 98.7¢ | 98.9¢ | $40 | +$0.08 | −$1.27 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | Yes | 339 | 3.8¢ | 9.5¢ | $32 | +$19 | +$35 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | Yes | 736 | 3.4¢ | 4.3¢ | $32 | +$6.35 | +$1.74 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | Yes | 400 | 11.9¢ | 7.5¢ | $30 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in October 2026? | No | 30 | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $30 | +$0.06 | −$9.12 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets in October 2026? | No | 28 | 98.6¢ | 99.8¢ | $28 | +$0.33 | −$0.78 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | Yes | 321 | 6¢ | 8.5¢ | $27 | +$7.94 | +$12 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in October 2026? | Yes | 851 | 3.7¢ | 3.1¢ | $26 | −$5.35 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | Yes | 477 | 3¢ | 5.2¢ | $25 | +$10 | +$4.89 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | Yes | 235 | 4.8¢ | 10.5¢ | $25 | +$13 | +$6.58 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | Yes | 245 | 3.9¢ | 9.7¢ | $24 | +$14 | +$47 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in October 2026? | Yes | 831 | 3.6¢ | 2.8¢ | $23 | −$6.53 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | Yes | 250 | 3.8¢ | 8.8¢ | $22 | +$12 | +$100 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in October 2026? | Yes | 621 | 3.3¢ | 3.4¢ | $21 | +$0.52 | +$11 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | Yes | 2,951 | 3.8¢ | 0.7¢ | $21 | −$93 | −$82 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in October 2026? | No | 21 | 93.6¢ | 98.6¢ | $20 | +$1.04 | +$6.72 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in October 2026? | Yes | 787 | 3.4¢ | 2.6¢ | $20 | −$6.42 | +$2.39 | |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 20 | 98.1¢ | 98.8¢ | $20 | +$0.13 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | Yes | 5,404 | 3.4¢ | 0.4¢ | $19 | −$167 | +$990 | |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%? | No | 20 | 91.6¢ | 93.7¢ | $19 | +$0.41 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in October 2026? | Yes | 699 | 2.2¢ | 2.5¢ | $17 | +$2.28 | +$0.83 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in October 2026? | No | 17 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $17 | +$0.01 | −$14 | |
| Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.2M and 7.3M in September? | No | 20 | 85.2¢ | 87¢ | $17 | +$0.35 | −$14 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in October 2026? | No | 17 | 88.2¢ | 97.5¢ | $17 | +$1.61 | +$19 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | Yes | 548 | 3.7¢ | 3.1¢ | $17 | −$3.32 | −$4.67 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | Yes | 299 | 4.7¢ | 5.5¢ | $16 | +$2.49 | +$41 | |
| Will "Blinding Lights" by The Weeknd be on the radio in GTA VI at launch? | No | 20 | 80¢ | 81¢ | $16 | +$0.20 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | Yes | 366 | 1.7¢ | 4.3¢ | $16 | +$9.33 | +$11 | |
| Will "God's Plan" by Drake be on the radio in GTA VI at launch? | No | 20 | 84¢ | 76.5¢ | $15 | −$1.50 | $0 | |
| Will "XO Tour Llif3" by Lil Uzi Vert be on the radio in GTA VI at launch? | No | 20 | 88¢ | 74¢ | $15 | −$2.80 | $0 | |