PnL all-time+$4,027vol $159k
PnL 30d+$917gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$115win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate80.0%adj 56.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$56.6kcash n/a
Positions3 / 8open / all-time
Max drawdown−11.5%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 1mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$9,600below peak −$57Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
26/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale51
Adjusted win rateraw 80.0% · shrunk toward 50%40
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable30
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity89
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Noopen+$5,563Xi Jinping out in 2025? · Noclosed+$3,900Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs · Team Spiritclosed+$184Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8? · Yesclosed+$24Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · Noopen+$3.43
Worst markets
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 57.3k | 88¢ | 97.8¢ | $56.0k | +$5,563 | $0 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | No | 686 | 92¢ | 92.5¢ | $635 | +$3.43 | $0 | |
| Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 33 | 82¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$27 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s
| Time | Side | Market | Price | Shares | Value | Trader WR | Sharp | Flags | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUY Team Spirit | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | 62¢ | 500 | $310 | 80% | 26 | |||
| BUY No | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | 89¢ | 30 | $27 | 80% | 26 | |||
| SELL Yes | Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8? | 99.9¢ | 79 | $79 | 80% | 26 | |||
| SELL No | Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8? | 30¢ | 181 | $54 | 80% | 26 | |||
| BUY No | Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8? | 60¢ | 181 | $109 | 80% | 26 | |||
| BUY No | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | 92¢ | 50.0k | $46.0k | 80% | 26 | Whale |