sharpside
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Traders/Rank #921

rainbowlilies

0x210…4dea
PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$222kvol $82.1M
PnL 30d−$75.5kgains $148k · losses $103k
PnL 7d−$4,442win rate 7d 37.3%
Win rate39.1%adj 39.6% · 30d 39.1%
Open value$49.1kcash n/a
Positions825 / 9,776open / all-time
Max drawdown−13.8%of equity peak
Account age1.2ylast trade 36s ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$769kbelow peak −$1,679Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

61/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale76
Adjusted win rateraw 39.1% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity86

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No12.0k50¢82.1¢$9,846+$3,846+$2.87
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?Yes22.0k30.2¢28.5¢$6,273−$373−$201
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes15.5k15.7¢15.5¢$2,405−$28+$593
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes17.3k2¢13.5¢$2,333+$1,988+$6,969
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes12.0k50¢18¢$2,154−$3,846+$76
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes10.7k1.5¢18.5¢$1,983+$1,817+$1,082
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes20.8k2.7¢6.5¢$1,351+$793+$2,895
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes750k0.1¢0.2¢$1,124+$390+$132
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes738k0.1¢0.2¢$1,107+$382+$31
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes11.2k8.8¢6.5¢$729−$260−$94
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?No2,05739.3¢28.5¢$586−$222+$27
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes8,9651.4¢6.5¢$583+$462+$91
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes11.2k1.6¢4.5¢$506+$322+$2,200
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes11.0k1.9¢4.5¢$495+$281+$1,632
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes2,00050¢22.5¢$450−$550−$2,509
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?Yes1,00050¢43.5¢$435−$65+$2,979
Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Yes3,7643.8¢11.5¢$433+$290+$168
Will the Dallas Stars be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes6,6551.4¢5.5¢$366+$276+$193
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No2,10117.1¢16.5¢$347−$14−$238
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes6,9675.3¢4.9¢$341−$30+$60
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Cup?No37581¢87¢$326+$22$0
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes2,0001.9¢14.5¢$290+$252+$8,672
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes2,0001.4¢12.5¢$250+$221+$4,675
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes10.8k2.8¢2.3¢$247−$58−$4.61
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes9,0003.2¢2.7¢$238−$45+$2.02
Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by October 31?No24891.2¢95.5¢$237+$11−$127
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes157k0.1¢0.2¢$236+$79+$968
Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?No40065.2¢57¢$228−$33+$1.40
Will Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Yes1,00824¢22.5¢$227−$15$0
Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?No49252.6¢45.5¢$224−$35+$0.48
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?No30075¢74.5¢$224−$1.50$0
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes1,9691.4¢11.1¢$218+$189+$1,857
Will the Washington Capitals be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes5,1571.4¢4¢$204+$133+$141
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Yes3,5738.8¢5.5¢$197−$116−$13
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes8005.6¢24.5¢$196+$152+$164
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Yes4,13510.6¢4.5¢$186−$253$0
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?Yes4862.9¢33.5¢$163+$148+$4.57
Will Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Yes1,09814.9¢14.5¢$159−$4.51$0
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?No50341.6¢31.5¢$159−$51−$28
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Yes1,00016¢15.5¢$155−$5.00+$10
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes307k0.1¢0.1¢$153−$158−$50
Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?No30055¢51¢$153−$12+$44
Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes18.0k3.6¢0.9¢$153−$491+$59
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes1,2201.9¢12.5¢$152+$129+$4,627
Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by November 30?No16182.9¢91¢$147+$13+$4.82
Will the San Antonio Spurs be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?Yes40850¢35.5¢$145−$59−$13
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes5005.6¢28.2¢$141+$113+$227
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes62225.7¢22.5¢$140−$20−$136
Will the Philadelphia Flyers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes8,9901.4¢1.6¢$139+$18+$5.27
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Yes3,0167.2¢4.5¢$136−$80−$0.17
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?No41133.1¢33¢$135−$0.37−$18
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Yes59122¢22.5¢$133+$2.68+$14
Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?No26557.8¢48.5¢$128−$25−$0.35
Will Nicole Cherlet win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?No12294¢99¢$120+$6.02$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No20155.5¢58.5¢$118+$6.03+$73
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Yes2,57511.2¢4.5¢$115−$174−$157
Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Yes7020.8¢15.5¢$109+$103−$703
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes93827.9¢11.5¢$108−$154+$87
Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes30.5k1.9¢0.4¢$107−$473−$1,244
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Yes1,0001.2¢10.5¢$105+$93+$24
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?No20059.7¢52.5¢$105−$14+$0.15
Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes1,6122.4¢6.5¢$105+$65+$336
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?Yes45650¢22.5¢$103−$125−$68
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes8005.6¢12.8¢$102+$58+$52
Will Fenerbahçe win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes40.2k1.2¢0.3¢$101−$383−$442
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes40.1k1.6¢0.3¢$100−$554−$177
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes18.2k1.3¢0.5¢$100−$129−$37
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Cup?No11182¢88.5¢$98+$7.22$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes5005.6¢19.5¢$98+$70+$157
Will the Carolina Hurricanes be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes1,0001.4¢9.5¢$95+$81+$611
Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?No15468.1¢61¢$94−$11+$55
Will Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?Yes50050¢18¢$90−$160−$248
Will the Florida Panthers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes1,0001.4¢8.5¢$85+$71+$442
Will the Edmonton Oilers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes1,0001.4¢8.5¢$85+$71+$631
Will the Vegas Golden Knights be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes1,0001.4¢8.5¢$85+$71−$1,857
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes13.0k1.6¢0.7¢$85−$128−$295
Will the Los Angeles Kings be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes4,5711.4¢1.9¢$85+$23+$37
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?No50016.4¢16.5¢$83+$0.50−$35
Will the New York Knicks be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?Yes4212.9¢19.5¢$82+$70+$14
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?No10075.3¢79.3¢$79+$3.95−$0.61
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?No10084¢78.5¢$79−$5.50−$37
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes20050¢38.5¢$77−$23−$351
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Yes3117.1¢24.1¢$75+$53+$5,403
Will Galatasaray win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes29.8k2¢0.3¢$74−$522−$485
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes21.2k1.9¢0.4¢$74−$325−$3,674
Will Chen Su-yueh win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?No98215.5¢7.5¢$74−$78−$54
Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes147k0.4¢0.1¢$74−$546−$12
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?No15945.6¢45¢$72−$1.01+$4.42
Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?No15054¢47.5¢$71−$9.75$0
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?Yes2,4927.5¢2.9¢$71−$117$0
Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes47.2k1.6¢0.2¢$71−$698−$109
Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes47.0k1.6¢0.2¢$70−$689−$150
Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes136k0.5¢0.1¢$68−$549−$7.00
Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes10.4k2.2¢0.7¢$68−$161−$38
Will Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes45.1k1.6¢0.2¢$68−$673−$123
Will Juventus win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Yes50050¢13.5¢$68−$183+$97
Will Houthis target Syria by December 31, 2026?No10077¢67¢$67−$10$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes2,0003¢3.3¢$66+$5.04+$205
Will Benfica win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Yes5001.2¢13¢$65+$59+$82
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes2,0001.4¢3.3¢$65+$36+$827

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Houthis target Syria by December 31, 2026?75¢30$2339%61
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?19¢475$9039%61
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?19¢1,387$26439%61
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?64¢300$19239%61
BUY NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?25¢462$11539%61
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?18¢2,985$53739%61
BUY NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?35¢50$1839%61
BUY NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?25¢168$4239%61
SELL YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 12%-16%?7¢8$0.5739%61
BUY YesHouthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?6.8¢50$3.4039%61
BUY YesHouthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?6.8¢50$3.4039%61
BUY YesSaudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?26¢100$2639%61
BUY YesWill Isaias make landfall in Louisiana as a hurricane?5¢245$1239%61
BUY YesMilitary action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?37¢70$2639%61
BUY YesMilitary action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?36¢40$1439%61
BUY YesMilitary action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?37¢155$5739%61
BUY YesUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?37¢311$11539%61
BUY YesUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?25.3¢163$4139%61
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?55¢370$20339%61
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?65¢207$13539%61