sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,105

agagyu

0x213…ee56
SharpWhalePnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$32.2kvol $1.64M
PnL 30d+$1,569gains $5,054 · losses $198
PnL 7d+$184win rate 7d 83.3%
Win rate90.3%adj 86.2% · 30d 96.2%
Open value$80.7kcash n/a
Positions28 / 204open / all-time
Max drawdown−26.0%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 5h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$33.5kbelow peak −$301Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

79/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale64
Adjusted win rateraw 90.3% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable77
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity74

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 28

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No16.5k82.3¢84.5¢$13.9k+$359$0
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No13.0k88.1¢89.1¢$11.6k+$123+$39
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No9,93784.7¢83.5¢$8,297−$124$0
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No5,79796.3¢97.4¢$5,646+$62$0
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?No5,86188.9¢89.5¢$5,246+$38+$43
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?No4,92880.2¢80.5¢$3,967+$16+$9.49
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo4,30693¢91.5¢$3,940−$64$0
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?No4,23184.2¢90¢$3,808+$246$0
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?No3,17685.8¢87.5¢$2,779+$53$0
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No3,40078.6¢81¢$2,754+$81$0
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?No2,85285.9¢93.5¢$2,667+$218+$294
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?No2,74188.1¢92.5¢$2,535+$120$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No3,51367¢63.5¢$2,231−$123$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes2,94170¢56¢$1,647−$412$0
Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026?No1,67687.3¢88¢$1,475+$11$0
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?No1,72982.3¢83.5¢$1,444+$21$0
Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp?No1,35381.4¢90.5¢$1,225+$123$0
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?No1,35088.7¢87.5¢$1,181−$16+$67
Halle Berry as Storm?No1,39778.6¢83¢$1,160+$62$0
Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by December 31, 2026?No1,19088.8¢85.5¢$1,018−$40+$6.87
Will Egypt join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?No90488.4¢91.5¢$827+$28+$9.58
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No43091.5¢92.5¢$398+$4.43+$490
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?No31689.8¢90.5¢$286+$2.29$0
Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by June 30, 2027?No36475.5¢70.5¢$257−$18+$32
Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027?No20483.3¢87¢$177+$7.64+$44
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No17778.9¢78.5¢$139−$0.76+$1.82
Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027?No6689.9¢74¢$49−$11$0
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No2387.7¢83.5¢$19−$0.94+$12

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House92¢108$9990%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027?78¢20$1690%79Sharp
SELL NoWill Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?93¢370$34490%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?86¢14$1290%79Sharp
SELL NoWill Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?82¢1,077$88390%79Sharp
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84¢406$34190%79Sharp
SELL NoWill Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027?89¢187$16790%79Sharp
SELL NoWill SoundHound AI announce bankruptcy before 2027?93.9¢187$17590%79Sharp
BUY NoHalle Berry as Storm?83¢410$34090%79Sharp
BUY NoEvangeline Lilly as the Wasp?82.5¢924$76290%79Sharp
SELL NoWill Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?92¢432$39890%79Sharp
SELL NoWill Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?93¢193$17990%79Sharp
SELL NoFetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms?96.3¢556$53690%79Sharp
BUY NoFetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?88¢72$6390%79Sharp
SELL NoWill Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027?91.3¢70$6490%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?96.1¢228$21990%79Sharp
SELL NoWill Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?93¢235$21990%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?96.1¢150$14490%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?86¢40$3490%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Trump meet with Elon Musk by October 31, 2026?79.9¢68$5490%79Sharp