sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

boring999

0x214…5790
WR 60+1y+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$8,481vol $371k
PnL 30d−$392gains $2,092 · losses $111
PnL 7d−$751win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate61.4%adj 60.6% · 30d 71.4%
Open value$22.0kcash n/a
Positions55 / 315open / all-time
Max drawdown−46.3%of equity peak
Account age1.0ylast trade 3d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$8,245below peak −$5,502Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

62/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale56
Adjusted win rateraw 61.4% · shrunk toward 50%52
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable83
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d88
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity54

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 55

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes9,43363.6¢58.5¢$5,518−$482$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No1,90383.3¢82.3¢$1,565−$20$0
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?No1,42816¢98.1¢$1,401+$1,173$0
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?No2,53866¢52.5¢$1,332−$343$0
OpenAI IPO before 2027?No1,36462.7¢96.6¢$1,318+$462$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No1,16593.3¢97.8¢$1,139+$52$0
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No1,05772¢91.5¢$967+$206$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No73076¢93.5¢$683+$128$0
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?No53976.8¢95.9¢$517+$103$0
No one announced as next James Bond?Yes1,67421.7¢30.5¢$510+$146$0
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No51684¢95.5¢$492+$59$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No49476¢93.7¢$463+$87$0
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No44187¢89.5¢$395+$11$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes2,05827¢18.5¢$381−$175$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No50970¢74.5¢$379+$23$0
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No34390¢96.8¢$332+$23$0
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes2,38210¢13.9¢$331+$93$0
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No1,65123¢19.5¢$322−$58$0
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes1,07233¢28.5¢$305−$48$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No1,00536¢29.5¢$296−$65$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No77449¢37.5¢$290−$89$0
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes25053.9¢98.4¢$246+$111$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes47964¢48¢$230−$77$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No2,36313¢9.5¢$224−$83$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No26077¢85.5¢$222+$22$0
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?No27379¢78.5¢$214−$1.36$0
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No30245¢63.5¢$192+$56$0
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No20558¢93.5¢$192+$73$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes2,16114¢8.5¢$184−$119$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No1,29571¢13.2¢$170−$749$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes40931¢41.5¢$170+$43$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No18540¢85.5¢$158+$84$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No18181¢82.5¢$149+$2.72$0
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No39050.9¢33.8¢$132−$67$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No96526.3¢11.9¢$115−$139$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No11679¢99.2¢$115+$23$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes61227.8¢15.5¢$95−$76$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes44947¢17.5¢$79−$132$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No26752¢24.5¢$66−$74$0
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes74843.5¢8.3¢$62−$264$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes55146¢4.1¢$23−$231$0
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes34343¢5.9¢$20−$127$0
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?No32444¢4.5¢$15−$128$0
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No1661¢89¢$14+$4.52+$494
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No1554¢58.5¢$8.74+$0.67+$38
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No2,79815¢0¢$0−$420$0
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No2,17927¢0¢$0−$588$0
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Yes1,5218¢0¢$0−$122$0
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?No1,32849.9¢0¢$0−$663−$1.73
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?Yes1,06338¢0¢$0−$404−$18
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No77241.9¢0¢$0−$324$0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No71737¢0¢$0−$265−$6.68
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes59134¢0¢$0−$201$0
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes4539.9¢0¢$0−$18$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No719¢0¢$0−$1.39$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?66¢264$17461%62
BUY NoWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?83.3¢1,903$1,58561%62
BUY YesWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?63.6¢9,433$6,00061%62
BUY NoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?52¢267$13961%62
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?76¢730$55561%62
BUY YesWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?10¢2,382$23861%62
BUY YesChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?33¢1,072$35461%62
BUY NoWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?70¢509$35661%62
BUY YesMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?27¢2,058$55661%62
BUY YesNo one announced as next James Bond?21.7¢1,674$36361%62
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?31¢409$12761%62
BUY NoClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?76¢494$37661%62
BUY NoWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?36¢1,005$36261%62
BUY NoUS ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?36¢1,471$53061%62
BUY NoWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?87¢441$38461%62
BUY YesWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?8¢1,521$12261%62
SELL NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?98.8¢1,225$1,21061%62
BUY YesWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?73¢3,176$2,31961%62
BUY NoRussia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?43¢176$7661%62
BUY NoOpenAI IPO before 2027?81¢562$45561%62