sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

rjpoly

0x21f…da90
PnL 10k+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$18.2kvol $1.31M
PnL 30d+$267gains $1,034 · losses $62
PnL 7d+$69win rate 7d 25.0%
Win rate63.1%adj 62.6% · 30d 76.5%
Open value$11.5kcash n/a
Positions49 / 789open / all-time
Max drawdown−34.8%of equity peak
Account age2.4ylast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$19.0kbelow peak −$203Oct 11

SharpScore inputs

66/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale61
Adjusted win rateraw 63.1% · shrunk toward 50%57
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable97
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d91
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity65

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? · Noclosed+$1,230Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · Yesclosed+$1,140Will XRP reach $2.70 in April? · Noclosed+$1,132Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence? · Yesclosed+$1,049Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Noclosed+$921

Worst markets

Ethereum all time high before 2026? · Noclosed−$6,327US recession in 2025? · Yesclosed−$432Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31? · Noclosed−$344Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yesclosed−$343Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance · Netherlandsclosed−$334

Open positions · 49

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Yes1,16289.7¢95.9¢$1,115+$72$0
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes70.0k1.4¢1.4¢$945−$19$0
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes90093.9¢96.1¢$864+$20$0
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?No84382¢95.3¢$803+$112+$11
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No1,30045.6¢51.6¢$670+$77$0
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?No70080.7¢95.4¢$667+$102$0
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?Yes50091¢95.5¢$477+$22$0
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?No50890.6¢93.1¢$473+$12$0
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No42670¢96.7¢$412+$113+$69
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?No41182.9¢95.3¢$392+$51+$34
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Yes50070¢77¢$385+$35$0
Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?No32093.4¢94.7¢$303+$3.84$0
AI bubble burst in 2026?No30074.7¢94¢$282+$58$0
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes80.0k0.5¢0.4¢$280−$120$0
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?Yes29979¢90.5¢$270+$34$0
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?No29986¢85.5¢$256−$1.50$0
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?No26291.8¢96.4¢$253+$12$0
Will the Democrats win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?Yes26092.3¢96.8¢$252+$12$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?Yes25091.2¢87.6¢$219−$9.20$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Yes20092¢93.9¢$188+$3.70$0
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes20093¢93.5¢$187+$1.00$0
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?No20890.8¢87.8¢$183−$6.28$0
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes20072¢80.5¢$161+$17$0
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?No16093¢93.9¢$150+$1.44$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes20137.5¢71.6¢$144+$69+$378
Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2027?No15092.2¢92.7¢$139+$0.68$0
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2028?Yes17374.3¢76.5¢$133+$3.85$0
Will the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026?Yes13392.8¢98.3¢$131+$7.31+$0.78
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?No13091.2¢96.9¢$126+$7.37$0
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5,0001.3¢2¢$98+$33$0
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes30.0k0.4¢0.3¢$75−$33$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No20041¢36.5¢$73−$9.00$0
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes6,0000.8¢0.9¢$51+$5.01$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No10043¢41.5¢$42−$1.50$0
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?No5075¢82¢$41+$3.50$0
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2028?Yes6457¢62.5¢$40+$3.52$0
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?No4087¢95.8¢$38+$3.48$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes10135.4¢37.5¢$38+$2.15+$2.97
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No10039¢37.5¢$38−$1.50$0
Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?Yes2192¢97¢$20+$1.05+$2.17
Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027?No2064¢86¢$17+$4.40$0
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027?Yes3686.6¢2.9¢$10−$14$0
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes2007¢2.6¢$5.20−$8.80$0
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2028?No1049¢45.5¢$4.55−$0.35$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes10011¢2.1¢$2.10−$8.90$0
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes5000.3¢0.3¢$1.50$0$0
Tim Walz in jail by December 31?Yes2006¢0.3¢$0.60−$11$0
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes5000.3¢0.1¢$0.25−$1.25$0
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes5000.3¢0.1¢$0.25−$1.25$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?43¢100$4363%66
SELL NoWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?56¢10$5.6063%66
BUY NoWill Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2028?49¢10$4.9063%66
BUY NoWill Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2027?92.2¢150$13863%66
SELL NoWill "Brazil" be in the headlines this week?0.7¢14$0.1063%66
SELL NoWill "Brazil" be in the headlines this week?1.1¢6$0.0663%66
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?58¢10$5.8063%66
BUY YesWill "Prize" be in the headlines this week?22¢20$4.4063%66
BUY NoWill Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?93.3¢40$3863%66
SELL NoXi Jinping out before 2027?97.4¢10$9.7363%66
BUY YesWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2028?72.8¢73$5363%66
BUY NoWill Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?90.8¢208$18963%66
BUY NoWill Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?93.6¢200$18763%66
SELL NoWill Rivian announce bankruptcy before 2027?96.3¢37$3563%66
SELL NoWill Lucid announce bankruptcy before 2027?95.1¢50$4863%66
SELL YesWill Donald Trump visit Utah in 2026?11¢100$1163%66
BUY NoWill Donald Trump visit Washington in 2026?45¢105$4763%66
SELL NoWill Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?98.6¢10$9.8663%66
SELL YesWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?98¢1$0.9863%66
SELL NoWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?97.8¢100$9863%66