sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,873

Humble-Monk

0x220…0f2d
PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$50.3kvol $6.33M
PnL 30d+$22.4kgains $47.3k · losses $1,793
PnL 7d+$16.9kwin rate 7d 77.8%
Win rate49.8%adj 49.8% · 30d 69.0%
Open value$5,461cash n/a
Positions77 / 882open / all-time
Max drawdown−86.3%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 4d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$59.5kbelow peak −$97.2kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

49/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale67
Adjusted win rateraw 49.8% · shrunk toward 50%24
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable98
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d86
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity14

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 77

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No6,75740.5¢42.1¢$2,841+$105$0
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No2,08545.9¢49¢$1,022+$65$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No6,75016.1¢14.2¢$955−$132$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes6,46119¢6.5¢$420−$808+$694
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes2,75615¢4.9¢$135−$278+$76
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?No11.2k5.8¢0.4¢$45−$603$0
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes7,1121.6¢0.5¢$32−$82$0
Will The Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes7,1121.6¢0.1¢$3.56−$111$0
Will Shas win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes7,1121.6¢0.1¢$3.56−$111$0
Will Otzma Yehudit win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes7,1121.6¢0.1¢$3.56−$111$0
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No29.0k37.8¢0¢$0−$11.0k+$102
Will AfD win less than 39% of all valid second votes?Yes20.7k14.3¢0¢$0−$2,969−$7.53
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?No18.3k3¢0¢$0−$548−$9.77
Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?No17.8k8.1¢0¢$0−$1,449−$49
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Yes13.5k11¢0¢$0−$1,480−$1.52
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes12.1k1.5¢0¢$0−$181−$3.80
Will BSW win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes12.1k1.5¢0¢$0−$181−$3.80
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes12.1k1.5¢0¢$0−$181−$3.80
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes12.1k1.5¢0¢$0−$181−$3.80
Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes12.1k1.5¢0¢$0−$181−$3.80
Will FW win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes12.1k1.5¢0¢$0−$181−$3.80
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?No11.2k5.1¢0¢$0−$566−$2.72
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Liquid10.2k34.7¢0¢$0−$3,550−$0.47
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes9,1785.4¢0¢$0−$494−$13
Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?No8,5104.5¢0¢$0−$380−$0.03
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No8,04112.7¢0¢$0−$1,020$0
Will Pamela Evette be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes7,5650¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Joe Wilson be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes7,5650¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Paul Dans be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes7,5650¢0¢$0$0$0
Will William Timmons be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes7,5650¢0¢$0$0$0
Will André Bauer be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes7,5650¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes7,5650¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Nancy Mace be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes7,5650¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Sheri Biggs be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes7,5650¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Alan Wilson be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes7,5650¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Trey Gowdy be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes7,5650¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Mark Lynch be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes7,5650¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Scott Bessent be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes7,5650¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes7,5650¢0¢$0$0$0
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes6,85134.3¢0¢$0−$2,347+$13
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsIron Wing6,70041.5¢0¢$0−$2,782−$81
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes6,1213.1¢0¢$0−$190$0
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsLegacy5,66723¢0¢$0−$1,303−$17
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win less than 16% of all valid votes?Yes5,5453.2¢0¢$0−$177−$0.01
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No5,35811.4¢0¢$0−$611−$225
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?No5,29937.9¢0¢$0−$2,009−$2,481
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesLos Angeles Dodgers5,00010¢0¢$0−$500$0
Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?Yes4,78844.8¢0¢$0−$2,146−$36
Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes4,0000.8¢0¢$0−$31−$0.17
Will Helder Barbalho finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes4,0000.8¢0¢$0−$31−$0.17
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes4,0000.8¢0¢$0−$31−$0.17
Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes4,0000.8¢0¢$0−$31−$0.17
Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes4,0000.8¢0¢$0−$31−$0.17
Will Tereza Cristina finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes4,0000.8¢0¢$0−$31−$0.17
Will Eduardo Leite finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes4,0000.8¢0¢$0−$31−$0.17
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena RybakinaElena Rybakina4,00018¢0¢$0−$720−$30
Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes4,0000.8¢0¢$0−$31−$0.17
Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes4,0000.8¢0¢$0−$31−$0.17
Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes4,0000.8¢0¢$0−$31−$0.17
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes4,0000.8¢0¢$0−$31−$0.17
Will Aldo Rebelo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes4,0000.8¢0¢$0−$31−$0.17
Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes4,0000.8¢0¢$0−$31−$0.17
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes4,0000.8¢0¢$0−$31−$0.17
Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes4,0000.8¢0¢$0−$31−$0.17
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes4,0000.8¢0¢$0−$31−$0.17
49ers vs. RaidersRaiders4,00050.5¢0¢$0−$2,020−$25
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes3,6677¢0¢$0−$257$0
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes3,3516.8¢0¢$0−$227−$113
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes1,98011.4¢0¢$0−$225$0
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes1,87328.9¢0¢$0−$541+$5,014
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes1,5185.4¢0¢$0−$82$0
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (Middleweight, Main Card)Nursulton Ruziboev1,50035¢0¢$0−$525−$17
Will AfD win 34-37 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes1,35610.9¢0¢$0−$148−$5.26
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?Yes1,0387¢0¢$0−$73$0
Will AfD win between 39% and 42% of all valid second votes?Yes18739¢0¢$0−$73$0
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes11411¢0¢$0−$13−$0.45
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No3546¢0¢$0−$16−$0.35

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?83¢82$6850%49
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?82¢11$9.2050%49
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?49.6¢477$23750%49
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?45.8¢185$8550%49
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?9.8¢330$3250%49
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?46¢205$9450%49
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?44¢751$33050%49
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?43.4¢113$4950%49
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?42.9¢194$8350%49
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?11¢91$1050%49
BUY NoWill Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?43¢78$3450%49
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?39¢958$37350%49
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?34.8¢642$22350%49
BUY NoWill Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?47¢763$35950%49
SELL NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?1.1¢2,183$2450%49
SELL NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?1.2¢716$8.5950%49
SELL NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?1.3¢267$3.4750%49
SELL NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?1.3¢885$1250%49
SELL NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?1.9¢1,239$2450%49
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?29.2¢4,048$1,18250%49