PnL all-time−$12.2kvol $128k
PnL 30d−$5,660gains $3,495 · losses $7,837
PnL 7d−$4,402win rate 7d 75.0%
Win rate71.4%adj 58.8% · 30d 75.0%
Open value$15.9kcash n/a
Positions2 / 16open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 3d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$10.9kbelow peak −$12.1kOct 9
SharpScore inputs
16/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 71.4% · shrunk toward 50%47
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable40
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d88
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Noclosed+$1,726Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · Yesclosed+$1,700Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? · Noopen+$997Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? · Noopen+$925Will Trump cut off trade with Spain? · Noclosed+$154
Worst markets
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesclosed−$7,837Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? · Noclosed−$6,495Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on April 17, 2026? · Noclosed−$1,113Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on April 17, 2026? · Yesclosed−$620
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | No | 12.2k | 76.4¢ | 84¢ | $10.3k | +$925 | $0 | |
| Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? | No | 5,850 | 79.1¢ | 96.1¢ | $5,622 | +$997 | $0 |
Recent trades
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