PnL all-time+$12.2kvol $833k
PnL 30d+$1,066gains $1,939 · losses $27
PnL 7d+$174win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate96.6%adj 84.8% · 30d 75.0%
Open value$51.3kcash n/a
Positions8 / 67open / all-time
Max drawdown−57.6%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 19d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$13.0kbelow peak $0Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
53/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale58
Adjusted win rateraw 96.6% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable61
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d36
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity42
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$2,577Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$2,304Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Noclosed+$1,337Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Noclosed+$1,015Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Noclosed+$950
Worst markets
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 28.7k | 95.7¢ | 97.8¢ | $28.0k | +$612 | $0 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | No | 11.1k | 98.4¢ | 98.9¢ | $11.0k | +$50 | $0 | |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 6,667 | 94.6¢ | 96.1¢ | $6,407 | +$100 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October? | No | 3,333 | 99.2¢ | 99.3¢ | $3,310 | +$3.33 | $0 | |
| Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 1,111 | 98.1¢ | 98.9¢ | $1,098 | +$8.33 | $0 | |
| Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | Yes | 764 | 99¢ | 99.5¢ | $760 | +$3.82 | $0 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 520 | 94.9¢ | 95¢ | $494 | +$0.26 | $0 | |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 246 | 91¢ | 92.5¢ | $228 | +$3.69 | $0 |
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