sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #1,725

XieGuangKun

0x25d…e33b
PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+CryptoPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$80.7kvol $2.87M
PnL 30d−$2,696gains $7,617 · losses $6,751
PnL 7d+$1,102win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate53.7%adj 53.6% · 30d 63.2%
Open value$71.8kcash n/a
Positions158 / 1,285open / all-time
Max drawdown−27.9%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 7h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$101kbelow peak −$21.7kOct 10

SharpScore inputs

66/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale70
Adjusted win rateraw 53.7% · shrunk toward 50%34
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity72

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?No3,75858.7¢92.6¢$3,480+$1,274+$1.98
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?No4,28268.6¢70.5¢$3,019+$82+$272
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?No3,08416.2¢96.4¢$2,972+$2,471+$15
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?No2,90149.6¢95¢$2,755+$1,318+$39
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?No2,39137.5¢96.9¢$2,316+$1,419+$39
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No2,41452.8¢92.5¢$2,233+$957$0
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Yes3,14327.5¢66.5¢$2,090+$1,224$0
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?No2,58446.6¢75.5¢$1,951+$748+$5,022
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?No1,91542.7¢95¢$1,820+$1,002−$9.47
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?No2,78145¢64.5¢$1,794+$543$0
Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch?No1,79180.9¢94.5¢$1,693+$244+$0.10
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?No1,85431.7¢90.1¢$1,669+$1,082$0
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No1,73158.9¢95.2¢$1,647+$628$0
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B?No1,62781.4¢95.8¢$1,559+$234$0
Will United Stables hit $3B in 2026?No1,66552.7¢89.5¢$1,490+$612$0
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No1,50056.7¢93¢$1,395+$545$0
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes1,50577¢90.5¢$1,362+$203+$3.23
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?No1,34650.7¢94¢$1,265+$582$0
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?No1,91444.8¢65.5¢$1,254+$395+$4.40
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?No1,48622¢83.7¢$1,244+$916$0
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?No1,23729.1¢92.1¢$1,138+$778+$3.38
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?No1,68063.1¢61.5¢$1,033−$26+$247
Trump out as President before 2027?No1,00083.5¢95.8¢$958+$123$0
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?No1,02238.8¢86¢$879+$482$0
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?No87148.7¢97.1¢$846+$421$0
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?No1,87274.7¢44.5¢$833−$566+$23
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $2B?No95916.3¢85.5¢$819+$663$0
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?No87453.9¢93¢$813+$342$0
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $1M before 2027?No95488.8¢84¢$801−$46$0
Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch?No82284.2¢95.2¢$783+$90+$22
Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch?No1,10968¢70¢$777+$22$0
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?No83742.9¢92.5¢$774+$415+$35
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026?No1,00085.4¢70.5¢$705−$149+$49
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?No71768.9¢95.3¢$683+$189+$184
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?No70589.1¢96.7¢$682+$54+$2.37
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?No79259.4¢83.5¢$661+$191$0
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes67876¢94¢$637+$122−$0.18
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?No1,00035.4¢61.5¢$615+$261$0
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?No63675.8¢89¢$566+$84$0
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?No1,00021¢54¢$540+$330$0
Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch?No56089¢95.9¢$536+$38+$14
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?No54186.3¢97¢$525+$58+$69
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?No54372.2¢95.5¢$519+$126$0
Will Chainlink reach $26 by December 31, 2026?No48586.7¢93.8¢$455+$34$0
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B?No47165.2¢96.3¢$454+$147$0
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B?No45366.7¢95.5¢$432+$130$0
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?No44355.2¢94.7¢$419+$175−$41
Will Aster reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026?No48473.9¢86.5¢$419+$61−$24
Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?No45680.5¢88.9¢$405+$38−$7.60
Tabi FDV above $2B one day after launch?No41891.9¢95.1¢$398+$13+$9.53
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $1B?No49825.8¢78.8¢$392+$264$0
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B?No39817¢95.9¢$381+$314$0
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?No57968.4¢63¢$365−$31$0
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?$1,0001,36844.1¢26.5¢$363−$241$0
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?No35666¢96¢$341+$107$0
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B?No35068.3¢96.4¢$337+$98$0
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No35058.7¢94¢$329+$123$0
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $2M before 2027?No37937.6¢84.5¢$320+$178+$87
Will Aster reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026?No35878.7¢88¢$315+$33−$14
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?No36273.4¢86¢$311+$46+$33
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes4,0005¢7.8¢$310+$110$0
StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?No37172.2¢82¢$304+$36$0
Will Aster reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026?No36738.8¢82.5¢$303+$160$0
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?No33057.8¢90.5¢$299+$108$0
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No30088¢96.3¢$289+$25+$91
USD1 depeg by December 31?No30689.8¢94¢$288+$13$0
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $3M before 2027?No32967.8¢86.8¢$285+$62$0
US recession by end of 2026?No30065¢93.5¢$280+$85$0
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes25918.8¢96.1¢$249+$200$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes3,4783.8¢6.8¢$236+$104$0
Will BNB reach $1500 by December 31, 2026?No24888.1¢95.2¢$236+$17+$56
Will Plasma reach $0.24 by December 31, 2026?No30426¢76¢$231+$152+$0.84
Will Plasma reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026?No25290.1¢91.5¢$231+$3.44+$2.74
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $3B?No27554.9¢83.5¢$229+$79$0
XRP all time high by December 31, 2026?No24472.9¢94.2¢$229+$52$0
Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026?No25082.3¢91.4¢$228+$23$0
Solana all time high by December 31, 2026?No22474.5¢97.1¢$217+$51+$80
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $5B?No22491¢87¢$195−$8.87+$0.15
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?No22527¢86¢$194+$133$0
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?No20682.9¢92.5¢$191+$20$0
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes20031¢89¢$178+$116$0
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?No17983¢93.5¢$167+$19+$45
Will Plasma reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?No19468.8¢79¢$153+$20+$3.09
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1,00020.9¢14.9¢$149−$61$0
Will XRP dip to $0.80 by December 31, 2026?Yes1,33353.5¢11¢$147−$567$0
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?No17657.2¢77.5¢$137+$36$0
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?$6031358.6¢41¢$128−$55$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No20065¢62.5¢$125−$5.00$0
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Yes1,27545.8¢9.5¢$121−$462−$367
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?Yes1,70047.6¢7.1¢$121−$689$0
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $6B?No12993¢87¢$113−$7.76$0
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?No12248¢89.5¢$110+$51$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,1382.2¢4.6¢$97+$50$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No10084¢97¢$97+$13$0
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 18,000 in 2026?No10090¢96.5¢$96+$6.45$0
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes1,00021¢9.5¢$95−$115$0
Tabi FDV above $500M one day after launch?No9675.7¢94.5¢$90+$18$0
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?No10049¢90.3¢$90+$41$0
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?No9086¢92.5¢$83+$5.85$0
Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026?No8487.3¢97.4¢$82+$8.52+$13

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoAbstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?95.9¢1,015$97354%66
SELL NoAbstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?96.6¢1,164$1,12454%66
SELL NoAbstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?97.1¢1,105$1,07354%66
SELL YesWill Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?97¢143$13954%66
SELL NoUS x China Military clash before 2027?97.1¢1$0.7754%66
SELL NoOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?97.2¢200$19454%66
SELL NoLedger IPO before 2027?96.4¢472$45554%66
SELL NoWill Rabby launch a token by September 30, 2026?98.4¢59$5854%66
SELL NoPacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?96¢2$1.9354%66
SELL NoPacifica FDV above $2B one day after launch?97.5¢31$3054%66
SELL NoStandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?97.4¢26$2554%66
SELL NoVariational FDV above $1B one day after launch?26.7¢1,311$34954%66
SELL NoWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?97.8¢200$19654%66
SELL YesWill Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?77.1¢12$9.0754%66
SELL YesWill Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?66¢8$5.0654%66
SELL NoSolana all time high by December 31, 2026?95.8¢382$36654%66
SELL NoWill Solana reach $220 by December 31, 2026?89.4¢76$6854%66
SELL NoWill Chainlink reach $20 by December 31, 2026?80¢99$7954%66
SELL NoWill Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026?72¢60$4454%66
SELL NoWill Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026?90.5¢685$61954%66