PnL all-time−$15.9kvol $339k
PnL 30d−$19.5kgains $3,384 · losses $23.0k
PnL 7d−$10.5kwin rate 7d 66.7%
Win rate83.2%adj 78.2% · 30d 72.7%
Open value$8,010cash n/a
Positions4 / 117open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age2.1ylast trade 3d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
Not enough history to draw an equity curve.
SharpScore inputs
56/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 83.2% · shrunk toward 50%96
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable69
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d90
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Senate control after 2024 election? · Republicansclosed+$2,024Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesclosed+$956Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates? · Noclosed+$647Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting? · Yesclosed+$632Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET · Upclosed+$574
Worst markets
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesclosed−$12.5kWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · Yesclosed−$9,781Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting? · Yesclosed−$1,492Will Saquon Barkley be the top Fantasy Running Back? · Yesclosed−$500Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Noclosed−$439
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? | Yes | 8,705 | 91¢ | 92¢ | $8,009 | +$87 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 2 | 75¢ | 63.5¢ | $1.03 | −$0.19 | $0 |
Recent trades
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