sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,245

Predictandbreathe

0x270…0afa
1y+SportPoliticsCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$144kvol $20.8M
PnL 30d+$10.7kgains $37.9k · losses $12.2k
PnL 7d+$15.8kwin rate 7d 64.6%
Win rate45.2%adj 45.4% · 30d 71.4%
Open value$11.2kcash n/a
Positions96 / 3,160open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2.1ylast trade 8m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$114kbelow peak −$142kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

28/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 45.2% · shrunk toward 50%13
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 96

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes6,34517.9¢98.4¢$6,241+$5,106+$4,446
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes25.0k16¢13.5¢$3,375−$626−$519
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes2,00029¢29.5¢$590+$10$0
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?Yes1,00029¢29.5¢$295+$5.00$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9?Yes1,6507.9¢7.4¢$122−$7.89$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes8709¢10.5¢$91+$13$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Yes15813.3¢15.5¢$24+$3.48$0
Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?Yes20053¢11¢$22−$84$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?Yes5003.1¢4.3¢$21+$5.73$0
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?No3950¢31¢$12−$7.41$0
Will Leandro Grass win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?Yes50010.1¢1.3¢$6.50−$44$0
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Yes24.2k25.7¢0¢$0−$6,206−$2,737
Will Gabriel Souza win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?Yes16.7k2.7¢0¢$0−$451−$24
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?Yes11.4k8.1¢0¢$0−$922−$15
Will England win on 2026-07-15?Yes10.0k62.8¢0¢$0−$6,284−$117
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 2?Yes10,00011.6¢0¢$0−$1,160−$28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 27?Yes9,99513.7¢0¢$0−$1,371$0
Will Tereza Cristina finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes7,9870.1¢0¢$0−$8.00−$0.32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 29?Yes6,7003.5¢0¢$0−$234−$16
Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 6.5Under6,51860.1¢0¢$0−$3,917$0
Will Sandro Alex win the Governor of Paraná election?Yes6,45017.3¢0¢$0−$1,115−$8.06
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?Yes6,28321.8¢0¢$0−$1,369−$23
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Yes4,00019¢0¢$0−$761−$26
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Yes3,6416.8¢0¢$0−$247−$16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 4?Yes3,00011.2¢0¢$0−$337−$21
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?Yes2,5007.4¢0¢$0−$185−$8.58
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?Yes2,46044.7¢0¢$0−$1,099$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 27?Yes2,3581.6¢0¢$0−$37$0
Will Gabriel Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Yes2,2143.1¢0¢$0−$68−$1.37
Patriots vs. SeahawksPatriots2,20057¢0¢$0−$1,255−$27
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-08-06?Yes2,11528¢0¢$0−$592$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 29?No2,0008.8¢0¢$0−$176−$11
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?Yes2,00030.5¢0¢$0−$609−$18
Will Marconi Perillo win the Governor of Goiás election?Yes2,0002.4¢0¢$0−$48−$1.84
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?Yes1,80034.4¢0¢$0−$619−$9.92
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 10?Yes1,7504.1¢0¢$0−$72−$4.82
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes1,6477.8¢0¢$0−$128−$1.05
Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by less than 5%?Yes1,57832.8¢0¢$0−$517−$13
Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?Yes1,50055.6¢0¢$0−$834−$15
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes1,50037.9¢0¢$0−$569−$14
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Yes1,50017.3¢0¢$0−$260$0
Ravens vs. Cowboys: O/U 62.5Under1,45848¢0¢$0−$700$0
Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain1,21812.3¢0¢$0−$150−$6.58
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 31?Up1,20025¢0¢$0−$300$0
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?Yes1,19019¢0¢$0−$226−$1.13
Spread: Rams (-7.5)Rams1,17049.6¢0¢$0−$580$0
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?Yes1,1229¢0¢$0−$101−$4.60
Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 52.5Over1,05242.8¢0¢$0−$450−$7.72
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs1,04248¢0¢$0−$500−$7.80
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?Yes1,04036.7¢0¢$0−$382−$12
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?Yes1,03141.7¢0¢$0−$430−$12
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes1,03010.3¢0¢$0−$106−$2.85
CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5Under1,02749¢0¢$0−$503−$13
Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Internacional: O/U 3.5Under1,00550.3¢0¢$0−$505−$13
Will André do Prado win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Yes1,00215.5¢0¢$0−$156−$1.96
Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes1,00053.8¢0¢$0−$538−$9.93
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?Yes1,00042.5¢0¢$0−$425−$12
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?Yes1,00025¢0¢$0−$250$0
Rams vs. Broncos: O/U 43.5Under1,00052¢0¢$0−$520$0
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on August 27?Yes1,0006.6¢0¢$0−$66−$4.32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?Yes1,00025¢0¢$0−$250−$13
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on August 28?Yes1,00017¢0¢$0−$170−$0.12
Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Yes9063.2¢0¢$0−$29−$0.39
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Yes80018.4¢0¢$0−$147−$2.37
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará?Yes70011.4¢0¢$0−$80−$1.64
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs69656¢0¢$0−$390−$5.14
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-07-25?Yes62755¢0¢$0−$345−$7.76
FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5Under62548¢0¢$0−$300−$7.80
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?Yes60029¢0¢$0−$174−$6.18
Will Guilherme Derrite win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Yes56822.8¢0¢$0−$130−$4.00
Will Marina JHC win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?Yes50517.5¢0¢$0−$89−$51
FC Porto vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Under50053¢0¢$0−$265−$6.23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 26?No50035¢0¢$0−$175$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 4?Yes50043.7¢0¢$0−$218−$8.61
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 10?Yes50018¢0¢$0−$90−$3.03
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?Yes50015¢0¢$0−$75$0
India vs. Brazil: O/U 5.5Over50027.8¢0¢$0−$139−$5.02
Will FC Porto vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?Yes50034¢0¢$0−$170−$3.89
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?Yes43945.6¢0¢$0−$200−$5.35
Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?Yes40152.4¢0¢$0−$210−$3.96
Coritiba FBC vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 1.5Under39538¢0¢$0−$150−$4.65
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No3722¢0¢$0−$7.27−$0.29
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-09-02?Yes33330¢0¢$0−$100−$3.50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 9?Yes30026.7¢0¢$0−$80−$4.11
Will Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?Yes25233.2¢0¢$0−$84−$1.23
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9?Yes25013¢0¢$0−$33+$22
Will Filipe Barros win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?Yes25025.2¢0¢$0−$63−$1.89
Will São Paulo FC vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?Yes21735¢0¢$0−$76−$2.47
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No20022¢0¢$0−$44$0
Exact Score: CR Flamengo 0 - 0 São Paulo FC?Yes18913.2¢0¢$0−$25−$0.62
Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?Yes18514.1¢0¢$0−$26+$59
Will Rigotto win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?Yes10014.5¢0¢$0−$15−$0.50
Will Domingos Sávio win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?Yes10025¢0¢$0−$25−$0.75
Will UPB hold the second-most seats in the 2026 Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election?Yes8843.3¢0¢$0−$38−$0.83
Will Patrus Ananias win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Yes606.1¢0¢$0−$3.64$0
Will SC Internacional vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?Yes5048¢0¢$0−$24−$0.62

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9?8¢375$3045%28
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9?7.8¢1,275$10045%28
BUYSE Palmeiras vs. EC Bahia: O/U 3.5 AND Buccaneers vs. Cowboys: O/U 44.5 AND Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.526.1¢901$23545%28
BUYWill Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw? AND Will SE Palmeiras vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?5.3¢1,433$7645%28
BUYSpread: Cowboys (-6.5) AND SE Palmeiras vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5 AND Buccaneers vs. Cowboys: O/U 44.517.8¢541$9645%28
SELL YesWill Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?55¢1,200$66045%28
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?11¢5,000$55045%28
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?11¢3,000$33045%28
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?11¢3,000$33045%28
BUY YesWill Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?93.6¢207$19345%28
BUY YesWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?29¢1,000$29045%28
BUY YesWill Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?43¢1,200$51645%28
BUY NoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8?16.3¢785$12845%28
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?29¢1,000$29045%28
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?29¢1,000$29045%28
SELL NoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 7?4¢891$3645%28
BUY NoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 7?7.1¢1$0.1045%28
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?3.1¢396$1245%28
BUY NoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 7?7¢100$7.0045%28
BUY NoWill Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?50¢39$2045%28