sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

0xf27dc

0x274…648c
PnL 10k+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$13.6kvol $356k
PnL 30d+$2,697gains $888 · losses $1,329
PnL 7d+$3,180win rate 7d 60.0%
Win rate58.4%adj 57.8% · 30d 71.2%
Open value$7,456cash n/a
Positions101 / 373open / all-time
Max drawdown−15.7%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 8h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$17.3kbelow peak $0Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

70/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale59
Adjusted win rateraw 58.4% · shrunk toward 50%44
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable86
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity84

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No2,00039¢38.5¢$770−$10+$10.00
Will Democrats win the Iowa Governor election and Republicans win the Iowa Senate election?Yes1,19141.1¢47¢$560+$70+$11
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes1,00056.3¢52¢$519−$43$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-08 House seat?Yes46396.2¢96.8¢$448+$2.55$0
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No46695.7¢96¢$447+$1.34$0
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No1,00042¢41.5¢$415−$5.00$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NH-02 House seat?Yes41293¢94.9¢$391+$7.85$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-01 House election by 3%-6%?No40075¢82¢$328+$28+$17
Will the Virginia 2026 Senate race be within 1%?No20094¢97.3¢$195+$6.50$0
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?Yes20092.1¢93.2¢$186+$2.12$0
Will Republicans win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats?No18291.3¢98.2¢$178+$13+$11
Will the Democratic Party win the VT-AL House seat?Yes18097¢98.1¢$177+$1.84$0
Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?No19370.4¢91.6¢$176+$41$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 3%-6%?Yes7029.1¢23¢$161+$98$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 25%-30%?Yes4276.5¢26.5¢$113+$86+$52
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 6%-9%?Yes5547.6¢19.5¢$108+$66$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 20%-25%?Yes6209¢17¢$105+$50+$18
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 15%-20%?Yes5907.2¢17.2¢$101+$59−$0.09
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 0%-3%?Yes6489¢15¢$97+$39$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 0%-3%?Yes6797.7¢14¢$95+$43+$0.24
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-01 House election by 10%-15%?Yes34213.5¢27.5¢$94+$48$0
Will Republicans win the Kansas Governor election and Democrats win the Kansas Senate election?Yes35623¢24.6¢$87+$5.52$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 10%-15%?Yes35210.6¢24.5¢$86+$49$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 9%-12%?Yes5547.6¢14¢$78+$35$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes1,5075¢5.1¢$76+$0.75−$74
Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Yes12860.5¢54.5¢$70−$7.68$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-01 House election by 5%-10%?Yes38010.2¢18.3¢$69+$31+$0.70
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%?Yes4938.6¢13.4¢$66+$24−$5.38
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 20%-25%?Yes2328.2¢24.5¢$57+$38$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 35%-40%?Yes2018.4¢27.5¢$55+$38$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-01 House election by 15%-20%?Yes29011.2¢19¢$55+$23$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 5% or more?No6289.1¢88.5¢$55−$0.36$0
Will Republicans win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?No6577.1¢83¢$54+$3.86$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 25%-30%?Yes2018.4¢26¢$52+$35$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 15%-20%?Yes2328.2¢22.5¢$52+$33$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-06 House election by 30%-35%?Yes23813.8¢18.8¢$45+$12$0
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WA-03 House election by 9% or more?No6494¢63¢$40−$20$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes30011¢12.5¢$38+$4.50$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 30%-35%?Yes2018.4¢18.5¢$37+$20$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 10%-15%?Yes5476.5¢6.7¢$37+$1.29−$0.07
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-06 House election by 25%-30%?Yes23710.9¢15.1¢$36+$9.98$0
Will Democrats sweep the Iowa Senate and Governor elections?No6057¢59.5¢$36+$1.50$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 4%-8%?Yes4726.4¢7.5¢$35+$5.18−$0.38
Will Democrats win the Ohio Governor election and Republicans win the Ohio Senate election?Yes24513.1¢12.5¢$31−$1.50$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 20%-25%?Yes2018.4¢15¢$30+$13$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 12% or more?Yes5547.6¢5¢$28−$15$0
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?No20012¢13.5¢$27+$3.00$0
Will Democrats win the Minnesota Governor election and Republicans win the Minnesota Senate election?Yes2705¢9.9¢$27+$13$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 3%-6%?Yes5547.6¢4.5¢$25−$17$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?Yes13019¢19¢$25$0$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes10010.8¢21¢$21+$10$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 12% or more?No2575¢77.5¢$19+$0.61−$15
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?Yes20010¢9.5¢$19−$1.00$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-06 House election by 35%-40%?Yes1016.3¢18.3¢$18+$12$0
Will Democrats win the Ohio Senate seat, and Republicans win Iowa and Maine?Yes1702.7¢10.6¢$18+$13$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 25%-30%?Yes10018¢18¢$18$0$0
Will Brian Bengs win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?Yes2065.5¢7.2¢$15+$3.30$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 40%-45%?Yes2018.4¢7¢$14−$2.74$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 25%-30%?Yes1328.2¢10.5¢$14+$3.06+$11
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-01 House election by 0%-5%?Yes2108.9¢6¢$13−$6.04+$0.14
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 0%-5%?Yes2328.2¢5.3¢$12−$6.69$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election?Yes2328.2¢5.1¢$12−$7.04$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 15%-20%?Yes2018.4¢5.7¢$11−$5.35$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 0%-10%?Yes5476.5¢2¢$11−$25$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 5%-10%?Yes2328.2¢4.4¢$10−$8.78+$0.26
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Yes1017.5¢9.3¢$9.34+$1.73$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-06 House election by 10%-20%?Yes1016.3¢9.1¢$9.19+$2.82$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 40% or more?Yes3376.5¢2.7¢$8.93−$13−$13
Will Republicans win the Ohio and Iowa Senate seats, and Democrats win Maine?Yes1473¢6¢$8.85+$4.42$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 9%-12%?Yes5547.6¢1.5¢$8.04−$34$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 6%-9%?Yes5547.6¢1.4¢$7.76−$34$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 35% or more?Yes1128.2¢6.2¢$6.94−$2.22−$8.71
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 8%-12%?Yes1536.6¢4.5¢$6.87−$3.25−$2.48
Will Republicans sweep the Iowa Senate and Governor elections?Yes605¢11¢$6.60+$3.60$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes2027¢33¢$6.60+$1.20$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 35%-40%?Yes3376.5¢1.9¢$6.40−$15−$11
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-01 House election by 20%-25%?Yes1208.9¢5.3¢$6.30−$4.35+$6.99
Will Republicans win the Ohio Senate seat, and Democrats win Iowa and Maine?Yes1410.5¢4.5¢$6.29+$5.58$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NH-01 House election by 0%-5%?Yes1618.9¢3.7¢$5.88−$8.41−$4.93
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 10%-15%?Yes2018.4¢2.6¢$5.13−$12$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes1016.3¢5.1¢$5.10−$1.27$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-04 House election?Yes1200.7¢3.8¢$4.50+$3.64$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 0%-3%?Yes594.7¢7.4¢$4.37+$1.62$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 0%-10%?Yes2018.4¢2.1¢$4.22−$13$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 3%-6%?Yes1082.6¢3.8¢$4.09+$1.26$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election?Yes3376.5¢1.1¢$3.70−$18−$13
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 30%-35%?Yes805.6¢3.5¢$2.80−$1.70$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 6%-9%?Yes605.6¢4.6¢$2.76−$0.62$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MD-01 House election by 3%-6%?Yes386¢7.1¢$2.70+$0.42$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?Yes664.1¢3.2¢$2.08−$0.64−$0.23
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 3%-6%?Yes1512¢11¢$1.65−$0.15$0
Will Hilton win the 2026 California gubernatorial election?Yes1980.3¢0.8¢$1.58+$1.00$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 9%-12%?Yes385.9¢3.4¢$1.29−$0.97$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 0%-3%?Yes198¢6.3¢$1.20−$0.33+$1.32
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-11 House election?Yes630.3¢1.7¢$1.06+$0.87$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election?Yes2018.4¢0.5¢$1.00−$16$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-01 House election by 3% or more?Yes123.6¢7.5¢$0.90+$0.47$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-06 House election by 0%-10%?Yes1016.3¢0.9¢$0.86−$5.51$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-01 House election by 0%-3%?Yes161.3¢2.6¢$0.42+$0.21$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NH-02 House election?Yes540.8¢0.7¢$0.35−$0.08$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%?9.7¢131$1358%70
BUY YesWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 25%-30%?18¢100$1858%70
BUY YesWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 30%-35%?5.6¢80$4.5058%70
SELL YesWill Democrats win the Iowa Governor election and Republicans win the Iowa Senate election?52¢8$4.1658%70
SELL YesWill Democrats win the Iowa Governor election and Republicans win the Iowa Senate election?53.7¢93$5058%70
SELL NoWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-02 House election by 5%-10%?70.2¢81$5758%70
SELL NoWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-02 House election by 5%-10%?71.8¢106$7658%70
BUY NoWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-02 House election by 5%-10%?70¢271$19058%70
BUY YesWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-02 House election by 15%-20%?10.8¢100$1158%70
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 20%-25%?21¢180$3858%70
SELL NoWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-01 House election by 3%-6%?88¢20$1858%70
SELL NoWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-01 House election by 3%-6%?84.3¢180$15258%70
BUY YesWill the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?55¢40$2258%70
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-01 House election by 3%-6%?75¢600$45058%70
BUY YesWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%?9¢20$1.8058%70
BUY YesWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%?9.3¢20$1.8658%70
BUY YesWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 4%-8%?5.2¢150$7.8158%70
BUY YesWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?19¢110$2158%70
BUY YesWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?19¢20$3.8058%70
BUY YesWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 8%-12%?4.8¢10$0.4858%70