| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | No | 548 | 73.2¢ | 99¢ | $542 | +$141 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 531 | 94.1¢ | 99.6¢ | $529 | +$29 | $0 | |
| Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 710 | 67.5¢ | 71.6¢ | $508 | +$29 | $0 | |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12? | Yes | 500 | 99¢ | 99.9¢ | $500 | +$4.50 | $0 | |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 500 | 88.7¢ | 97.3¢ | $486 | +$43 | $0 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | No | 421 | 93.3¢ | 92.5¢ | $390 | −$3.50 | $0 | |
| Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30? | No | 365 | 82.3¢ | 99.4¢ | $362 | +$62 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 495 | 84¢ | 71.5¢ | $354 | −$62 | +$1.56 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 400 | 80¢ | 85.5¢ | $342 | +$22 | +$4.00 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | No | 348 | 86.3¢ | 96.5¢ | $335 | +$35 | −$4.00 | |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15? | No | 354 | 79.7¢ | 91.5¢ | $324 | +$42 | $0 | |
| Amazon announces a training pause by October 31? | No | 321 | 93.5¢ | 97.6¢ | $313 | +$13 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 402 | 76.2¢ | 66.5¢ | $267 | −$39 | +$6.33 | |
| Will Ryan Posselt win the next Hobart mayoral election? | No | 238 | 84.1¢ | 97.3¢ | $231 | +$31 | $0 | |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? | No | 241 | 83¢ | 93.2¢ | $224 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Will CNN fly with Trump by October 15? | No | 226 | 88.4¢ | 97.6¢ | $221 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will XXXTentacion be featured on GTA VI: The Album? | No | 233 | 85.7¢ | 86.5¢ | $202 | +$1.86 | $0 | |
| Will Werner Graf be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | No | 200 | 91¢ | 99.1¢ | $198 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 250 | 80.2¢ | 77.5¢ | $193 | −$6.63 | $0 | |
| Will Muse be available on Meta glasses by October 31, 2026? | No | 200 | 76¢ | 84.5¢ | $169 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 172 | 81.7¢ | 95.7¢ | $164 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | Yes | 200 | 81¢ | 81.5¢ | $163 | +$1.00 | +$14 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 139 | 92¢ | 93.5¢ | $130 | +$2.09 | $0 | |
| Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? | No | 131 | 76.1¢ | 95.9¢ | $126 | +$26 | $0 | |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | Yes | 150 | 75¢ | 76.5¢ | $115 | +$2.25 | $0 | |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? | No | 122 | 82¢ | 93.5¢ | $114 | +$14 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 119 | 84¢ | 93.5¢ | $111 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15? | No | 109 | 91.9¢ | 98.2¢ | $107 | +$6.83 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15? | No | 108 | 93¢ | 98.3¢ | $106 | +$5.65 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 118 | 84.8¢ | 87¢ | $103 | +$2.55 | −$3.16 | |
| Will Ledger announce compensation or reimbursement for affected users by October 16? | No | 104 | 95.8¢ | 97.7¢ | $102 | +$1.92 | $0 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | No | 108 | 93¢ | 93.5¢ | $101 | +$0.54 | $0 | |
| Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31? | No | 119 | 59.4¢ | 82.5¢ | $98 | +$28 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | Yes | 100 | 94¢ | 97.2¢ | $97 | +$3.15 | $0 | |
| Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? | No | 100 | 80¢ | 94.6¢ | $95 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 90¢ | 92¢ | $92 | +$2.00 | $0 | |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 81¢ | 86.5¢ | $87 | +$5.50 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 100 | 81¢ | 84.5¢ | $85 | +$3.50 | $0 | |
| Will Reliance Industries Ltd be the largest Indian company? | Yes | 95 | 70.7¢ | 88.5¢ | $84 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? | No | 90 | 71¢ | 90.5¢ | $81 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027? | Yes | 100 | 78¢ | 76.5¢ | $76 | −$1.50 | $0 | |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 153 | 48.6¢ | 47.5¢ | $73 | −$1.63 | $0 | |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 100 | 73¢ | 71.5¢ | $72 | −$1.50 | $0 | |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 71 | 74.9¢ | 95¢ | $67 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? | No | 100 | 59¢ | 63¢ | $63 | +$4.00 | $0 | |
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | No | 61 | 82.7¢ | 94.2¢ | $57 | +$7.04 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 58 | 79.9¢ | 95.8¢ | $56 | +$9.19 | $0 | |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 | No | 51 | 97.2¢ | 96.8¢ | $50 | −$0.24 | $0 | |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 60 | 83.3¢ | 75.9¢ | $46 | −$4.44 | $0 | |
| US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | 58¢ | 88¢ | $44 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 40 | 86.5¢ | 99.8¢ | $40 | +$5.30 | $0 | |
| Will Werner Pretorius be the next mayor of Mangaung? | No | 45 | 66.9¢ | 66¢ | $30 | −$0.39 | $0 | |
| US government bans an open source AI model in 2026? | No | 30 | 80¢ | 94.5¢ | $28 | +$4.35 | $0 | |
| Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026? | No | 30 | 81¢ | 88¢ | $26 | +$2.10 | $0 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 25 | 82.1¢ | 87.9¢ | $22 | +$1.44 | $0 | |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $8B by December 31? | No | 30 | 80¢ | 65.5¢ | $20 | −$4.35 | $0 | |
| Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | 48¢ | 97.6¢ | $20 | +$9.92 | $0 | |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 20 | 84¢ | 96.5¢ | $19 | +$2.49 | $0 | |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? | No | 20 | 80¢ | 90¢ | $18 | +$2.00 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? | No | 20 | 88¢ | 89.4¢ | $18 | +$0.28 | $0 | |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 20 | 71¢ | 89¢ | $18 | +$3.60 | $0 | |
| Will Pluralis launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 30 | 61¢ | 57.5¢ | $17 | −$1.05 | $0 | |
| US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026? | No | 20 | 80¢ | 85.5¢ | $17 | +$1.10 | $0 | |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | No | 20 | 76¢ | 82¢ | $16 | +$1.20 | $0 | |
| Base FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 44 | 68¢ | 37¢ | $16 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Will AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 31? | No | 106 | 24.6¢ | 14.5¢ | $15 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 20 | 72¢ | 75.5¢ | $15 | +$0.70 | $0 | |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 11 | 77.6¢ | 96¢ | $11 | +$2.02 | $0 | |
| Will AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 15? | No | 20 | 65¢ | 52.5¢ | $11 | −$2.50 | $0 | |
| Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? | No | 10 | 87.1¢ | 82.7¢ | $8.27 | −$0.44 | $0 | |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? | No | 10 | 52¢ | 79.5¢ | $7.95 | +$2.75 | $0 | |
| Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | Yes | 5 | 81¢ | 90.5¢ | $4.53 | +$0.47 | $0 | |
| Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? | No | 3 | 80¢ | 93¢ | $3.02 | +$0.42 | $0 | |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? | No | 1 | 91¢ | 92.5¢ | $1.10 | +$0.02 | $0 | |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1? | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.05 | |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.05 | |
| Over $45M committed to the Jumper public sale? | No | 959 | 70.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$672 | −$13 | |
| Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026? | No | 748 | 14.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$111 | −$169 | |
| Will Matthew Boyle be the next White House Press Secretary? | Yes | 667 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.04 | |
| Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? | Yes | 534 | 1.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.99 | −$0.20 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.05 | |
| Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August? | No | 218 | 7.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$17 | −$0.78 | |
| Will JD Vance say "Working Class" or "Middle Class" during his remarks in Maine? | Yes | 212 | 38.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$82 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | Up | 186 | 64.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$120 | −$2.84 | |
| Will Bessent say "Shadow" during press conference? | Yes | 160 | 38.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$62 | $0 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31? | Yes | 125 | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.81 | −$0.05 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | Down | 116 | 86¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$0.98 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | Yes | 116 | 4.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | −$0.24 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | Up | 106 | 47¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | −$7.66 | |
| Will Trump say "Tax" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska? | No | 102 | 57¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$58 | −$1.00 | |
| Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale? | No | 100 | 32¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$32 | −$18 | |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 71¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$71 | $0 | |
| Will Google have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026? | Yes | 100 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 5, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 13¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Over $30M committed to the Jumper public sale? | No | 100 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by August 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 31¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$31 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026? | Yes | 100 | 16.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 27.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$28 | +$8.22 | |
| Grok 4.6 released by August 12, 2026? | No | 94 | 48¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$45 | −$0.93 | |
| Ukraine strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 8, 2026? | No | 90 | 44.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$40 | +$0.15 | |
