sharpside
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Traders/Rank #796

65765757

0x297…9c23
SharpWhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsOtherSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$254kvol $9.96M
PnL 30d+$135kgains $111k · losses $15.6k
PnL 7d+$101kwin rate 7d 82.1%
Win rate84.8%adj 82.9% · 30d 80.2%
Open value$552kcash n/a
Positions51 / 388open / all-time
Max drawdown−47.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 9h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$384kbelow peak $0Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

77/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale77
Adjusted win rateraw 84.8% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable86
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity53

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 51

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes247k52.8¢85.7¢$211k+$81.0k$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No224k69.8¢86.5¢$194k+$37.4k$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No99.6k80.4¢84.5¢$84.1k+$4,072+$36
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes52.4k84.9¢82.5¢$43.2k−$1,252$0
Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes6,34295.1¢96.5¢$6,117+$87+$30
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?No4,57479.3¢79.5¢$3,636+$7.38$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?No3,03795¢96.4¢$2,926+$41$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?No2,24789¢93.5¢$2,101+$101$0
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No1,79883.6¢94.5¢$1,699+$196+$203
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No1,71160.6¢71¢$1,215+$177$0
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Yes4,11217.8¢24¢$987+$257−$2.68
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No65293¢94.5¢$616+$9.78+$697
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?Yes7492.2¢98.5¢$73+$4.67$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Yes32912.8¢18.3¢$60+$18$0
Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?No4085¢93.5¢$37+$3.40$0
Will Leandro Grass win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round?No787¢96¢$7.06+$0.66$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No52.4k70.3¢0¢$0−$36.9k−$330
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?Yes35.8k84.5¢0¢$0−$30.2k$0
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?Yes25.6k76.1¢0¢$0−$19.5k$0
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?Yes23.5k79.9¢0¢$0−$18.8k$0
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?No23.4k56.1¢0¢$0−$13.1k−$665
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Yes20.2k58.6¢0¢$0−$11.9k−$196
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No13.3k69.7¢0¢$0−$9,295−$5,172
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?Yes11.3k80¢0¢$0−$9,038$0
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No11.2k73.6¢0¢$0−$8,270−$126
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?No8,79683.4¢0¢$0−$7,338−$32
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?Yes8,40673¢0¢$0−$6,139$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?No7,99992.1¢0¢$0−$7,368−$23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?No6,87076.5¢0¢$0−$5,255−$47
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?No5,70584.8¢0¢$0−$4,838−$324
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?Yes4,13060.4¢0¢$0−$2,493$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?No3,51589.6¢0¢$0−$3,151−$13
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?Yes3,37333.5¢0¢$0−$1,128$0
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?No1,87273.3¢0¢$0−$1,373$0
Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?Yes1,87286.6¢0¢$0−$1,620−$8.64
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?No1,35271.5¢0¢$0−$967$0
Will Renan Santos win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes1,27226.7¢0¢$0−$340−$9.96
France vs. England: England O/U 2.5Under1,17685¢0¢$0−$1,000−$7.50
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 2.5Under1,13688¢0¢$0−$1,000−$3.60
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?No1,04270.2¢0¢$0−$731$0
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No64784.9¢0¢$0−$549$0
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?No61864.9¢0¢$0−$401$0
Will Carlos Jordy win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?Yes33230.1¢0¢$0−$100−$2.70
Will Mara Rocha win the most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?Yes32231.1¢0¢$0−$100−$2.76
Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?Yes28174.7¢0¢$0−$210−$2.13
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?No20265.5¢0¢$0−$132$0
Will Lula win between 41% and 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes16536.9¢0¢$0−$61−$1.54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of July 20 2026?No15685.4¢0¢$0−$133−$0.78
Will Marina JHC win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?Yes13741.6¢0¢$0−$57−$1.33
Renan Santos participates in debate before first round?Yes365.6¢0¢$0−$2.00−$3.75
Will Moreirense FC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora end in a draw?Yes1062¢0¢$0−$6.00−$0.07

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?84.7¢1,024$86785%77Sharp
SELL NoGianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?95¢920$87485%77Sharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?12.8¢329$4285%77Sharp
BUY YesWill Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?96¢85$8285%77Sharp
SELL YesAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?16.5¢40$6.6085%77Sharp
BUY NoWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?63.3¢174$11085%77Sharp
SELL NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?94¢200$18885%77Sharp
BUY NoWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?63¢14$9.0085%77Sharp
BUY NoWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?60.6¢83$5085%77Sharp
BUY NoWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?58.6¢70$4185%77Sharp
SELL NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?94¢100$9485%77Sharp
BUY NoWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?63.4¢136$8685%77Sharp
SELL NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?94¢100$9485%77Sharp
BUY NoWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?61.9¢551$34185%77Sharp
SELL NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?94¢300$28285%77Sharp
BUY NoWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?60.2¢203$12285%77Sharp
SELL NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?94¢200$18885%77Sharp
BUY NoWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?57.9¢481$27985%77Sharp
SELL YesAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?15.6¢309$4885%77Sharp
SELL YesAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?17.1¢306$5285%77Sharp