PnL all-time+$89vol $134k
PnL 30d+$4.06gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$15win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate52.3%adj 52.1% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$199cash n/a
Positions22 / 266open / all-time
Max drawdown−30.2%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 5mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$213below peak −$84Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
43/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale28
Adjusted win rateraw 52.3% · shrunk toward 50%30
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable81
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity70
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025? · Yesclosed+$258Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026? · Noopen+$127Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in November 2025? · Noclosed+$123Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025? · Yesclosed+$98Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? · Noclosed+$72
Worst markets
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yesclosed−$199Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season? · Yesopen−$98Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75%? · Noclosed−$82Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$72Will Trae Young be traded this season? · Noclosed−$59
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026? | No | 308 | 19¢ | 59.3¢ | $182 | +$124 | +$2.86 | |
| Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 14 | 76¢ | 89.2¢ | $12 | +$1.85 | −$3.11 | |
| Will Extended launch a token by June 30 2026? | No | 1 | 15¢ | 100¢ | $1.00 | +$0.85 | $0 | |
| NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026? | No | 1 | 93.6¢ | 100¢ | $1.00 | +$0.06 | +$0.56 |
Recent trades
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