PnL all-time−$67vol $135k
PnL 30d+$2.83gains $2,094 · losses $2,090
PnL 7d+$2.60win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate52.4%adj 51.2% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$2,200cash n/a
Positions8 / 30open / all-time
Max drawdown−8.0%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$71below peak −$36Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
30/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 52.4% · shrunk toward 50%28
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable49
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity92
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Noclosed+$2,094Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Noclosed+$980Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? · Yesclosed+$39Will Luke Littler win the PDC World Darts Championship? · Yesclosed+$3.98Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31? · Noclosed+$3.68
Worst markets
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Yesclosed−$2,090Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yesclosed−$981Will Heidi Reichinnek be the next Chancellor of Germany? · Yesclosed−$57Will another cat memecoin reach $1b first? · Yesclosed−$35US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025? · Yesclosed−$11
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 1,024 | 97.7¢ | 97.7¢ | $1,000 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 615 | 97.6¢ | 97.8¢ | $601 | +$0.92 | $0 | |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 310 | 96.8¢ | 96¢ | $297 | −$2.63 | $0 | |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 254 | 98.3¢ | 98.4¢ | $250 | +$0.13 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 59 | 85¢ | 84.5¢ | $50 | −$0.29 | $0 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 15 | 34¢ | 15.5¢ | $2.27 | −$2.73 | $0 | |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 26 | 19¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | Yes | 3 | 29¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 |
Recent trades
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