| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | No | 18.0k | 83.8¢ | 92.1¢ | $16.5k | +$1,484 | +$0.53 | |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027? | No | 14.3k | 83.3¢ | 95¢ | $13.6k | +$1,666 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 14.0k | 84.4¢ | 84.5¢ | $11.8k | +$20 | −$78 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 12.1k | 90.4¢ | 97.2¢ | $11.8k | +$815 | +$650 | |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | No | 9,715 | 85.5¢ | 94.2¢ | $9,152 | +$841 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 7,643 | 91¢ | 94.5¢ | $7,223 | +$268 | +$276 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 7,050 | 91.6¢ | 90.5¢ | $6,380 | −$75 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 5,000 | 90.4¢ | 91.5¢ | $4,575 | +$55 | $0 | |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | No | 5,000 | 92.2¢ | 91¢ | $4,550 | −$60 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 4,000 | 91.5¢ | 90.5¢ | $3,620 | −$40 | $0 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 3,366 | 92¢ | 94.5¢ | $3,181 | +$85 | +$121 | |
| Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 3,474 | 89.2¢ | 87.5¢ | $3,040 | −$59 | $0 | |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | No | 2,960 | 91.8¢ | 97.5¢ | $2,886 | +$168 | +$2.83 | |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Anthropic | 3,000 | 94.3¢ | 96.1¢ | $2,881 | +$54 | $0 | |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 3,000 | 94.9¢ | 96¢ | $2,880 | +$34 | $0 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 3,500 | 69.9¢ | 69.4¢ | $2,429 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,416 | 94.2¢ | 98.6¢ | $2,381 | +$104 | +$3.29 | |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,128 | 95.2¢ | 96.5¢ | $2,054 | +$28 | $0 | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 2,000 | 94.3¢ | 97.4¢ | $1,947 | +$61 | $0 | |
| Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 2,208 | 87.1¢ | 87¢ | $1,921 | −$1.83 | $0 | |
| Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 2,009 | 91.7¢ | 95.6¢ | $1,921 | +$78 | +$92 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 2,000 | 94.5¢ | 95.8¢ | $1,915 | +$25 | +$98 | |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | No | 2,000 | 87.7¢ | 95.4¢ | $1,907 | +$153 | $0 | |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 2,000 | 93.5¢ | 94¢ | $1,880 | +$10 | +$87 | |
| Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31? | No | 1,855 | 91.6¢ | 93¢ | $1,724 | +$26 | $0 | |
| Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026? | No | 1,605 | 95.4¢ | 97.3¢ | $1,562 | +$30 | $0 | |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? | Yes | 1,507 | 92¢ | 93.5¢ | $1,409 | +$23 | $0 | |
| Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? | No | 1,358 | 88.3¢ | 95¢ | $1,290 | +$90 | +$56 | |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | 2,025 | 68¢ | 62.5¢ | $1,266 | −$112 | $0 | |
| Will Palmer Luckey attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,299 | 95¢ | 97.3¢ | $1,264 | +$29 | $0 | |
| Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027? | No | 1,160 | 87.6¢ | 94.5¢ | $1,096 | +$80 | $0 | |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? | No | 1,137 | 93.2¢ | 96.4¢ | $1,096 | +$36 | $0 | |
| Plague pandemic in 2026? | No | 1,041 | 96.1¢ | 96.1¢ | $1,000 | +$0.25 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-03 House seat? | Yes | 1,000 | 98.2¢ | 98.9¢ | $989 | +$7.00 | $0 | |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | No | 1,000 | 86¢ | 97.5¢ | $975 | +$115 | $0 | |
| Will Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027? | No | 1,000 | 92¢ | 96.5¢ | $965 | +$45 | $0 | |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 1,000 | 86¢ | 95.5¢ | $955 | +$95 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? | No | 1,000 | 92¢ | 87.5¢ | $875 | −$45 | $0 | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 85¢ | 85.5¢ | $855 | +$5.00 | +$180 | |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 1,000 | 87¢ | 79.5¢ | $795 | −$75 | $0 | |
| Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2028? | No | 802 | 94¢ | 96.3¢ | $772 | +$18 | +$0.19 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 1,000 | 72¢ | 73.5¢ | $735 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 726 | 94.6¢ | 96.6¢ | $701 | +$15 | +$4.88 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? | No | 743 | 92.3¢ | 93.6¢ | $695 | +$8.99 | +$0.18 | |
| Will "Primetime" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m? | Yes | 659 | 98.2¢ | 99.5¢ | $655 | +$8.23 | $0 | |
| Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 633 | 94.7¢ | 99.2¢ | $628 | +$28 | $0 | |
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | No | 623 | 89.9¢ | 98.1¢ | $611 | +$51 | +$177 | |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026 | No | 476 | 94¢ | 92.4¢ | $440 | −$7.62 | $0 | |
| Jonathan Majors as Kang? | No | 452 | 88.4¢ | 92.5¢ | $418 | +$18 | +$2.46 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 377 | 94.3¢ | 93.4¢ | $352 | −$3.39 | $0 | |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | No | 483 | 62.9¢ | 72¢ | $348 | +$44 | $0 | |
| Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31? | No | 316 | 95¢ | 94.5¢ | $298 | −$1.58 | $0 | |
| Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? | No | 316 | 91¢ | 91.6¢ | $289 | +$1.74 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | No | 296 | 93.6¢ | 93.5¢ | $276 | −$0.32 | $0 | |
| Will "Avengers: Doomsday" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 292 | 91.6¢ | 90.9¢ | $266 | −$1.98 | $0 | |
| Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 314 | 82.9¢ | 80¢ | $251 | −$8.98 | +$9.44 | |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 276 | 92¢ | 82.5¢ | $227 | −$26 | $0 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 230 | 91.3¢ | 97¢ | $223 | +$13 | +$36 | |
| Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 230 | 95.5¢ | 95¢ | $218 | −$1.26 | $0 | |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 217 | 95¢ | 97.5¢ | $212 | +$5.43 | +$359 | |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026? | No | 211 | 95¢ | 94.4¢ | $199 | −$1.26 | $0 | |
| Will Chase Infiniti be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | No | 193 | 92¢ | 98.4¢ | $190 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027? | No | 149 | 92.6¢ | 97.6¢ | $145 | +$7.37 | +$13 | |
| Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027? | No | 134 | 91¢ | 99¢ | $133 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will George Clooney be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | No | 132 | 89.2¢ | 99.4¢ | $132 | +$13 | −$68 | |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 136 | 94.1¢ | 94.8¢ | $129 | +$0.95 | +$14 | |
| Iran coup attempt by December 31? | No | 139 | 86¢ | 89¢ | $123 | +$4.16 | $0 | |
| Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 124 | 93¢ | 97.3¢ | $121 | +$5.33 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-19 House seat? | Yes | 120 | 94.5¢ | 98¢ | $118 | +$4.14 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? | No | 155 | 93.9¢ | 70¢ | $109 | −$37 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat? | Yes | 111 | 88¢ | 85.5¢ | $95 | −$2.77 | $0 | |
| Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? | No | 97 | 93¢ | 97.2¢ | $94 | +$4.06 | +$0.06 | |
| Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? | No | 137 | 93.2¢ | 68¢ | $93 | −$35 | $0 | |
| Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026? | No | 108 | 92.7¢ | 84.2¢ | $91 | −$9.17 | $0 | |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? | No | 90 | 87¢ | 91¢ | $82 | +$3.60 | +$40 | |
| Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | Yes | 92 | 95¢ | 85.6¢ | $79 | −$8.65 | +$2.64 | |
| Dario Amodei arrested by December 31? | No | 75 | 95.1¢ | 96.7¢ | $72 | +$1.16 | $0 | |
| Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? | No | 78 | 95.6¢ | 92.6¢ | $72 | −$2.38 | $0 | |
| Greenland snap election called by December 31? | No | 76 | 94¢ | 94.9¢ | $72 | +$0.68 | $0 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2,000 | 3.6¢ | 3.3¢ | $66 | −$5.36 | −$7.35 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the GA-07 House seat? | No | 1,000 | 5¢ | 6.5¢ | $65 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will Trump nationalize elections? | No | 64 | 91¢ | 90¢ | $57 | −$0.64 | $0 | |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | No | 52 | 93.4¢ | 94.3¢ | $49 | +$0.47 | $0 | |
| Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 34 | 93.5¢ | 96.5¢ | $33 | +$1.00 | $0 | |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31? | No | 33 | 92¢ | 96.3¢ | $32 | +$1.39 | $0 | |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? | No | 31 | 91¢ | 98.3¢ | $31 | +$2.28 | +$9.79 | |
| Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 28 | 94.7¢ | 97.1¢ | $27 | +$0.67 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 28 | 95¢ | 95.4¢ | $27 | +$0.10 | $0 | |
| Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards? | No | 18 | 80¢ | 92.5¢ | $16 | +$2.19 | $0 | |
| Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027? | No | 13 | 92.6¢ | 98.1¢ | $12 | +$0.69 | +$68 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the AZ-03 House seat? | Yes | 1,000 | 0.5¢ | 1.1¢ | $11 | +$6.00 | $0 | |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 10 | 92¢ | 97.7¢ | $9.77 | +$0.57 | $0 | |
| Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | No | 5 | 95¢ | 97.8¢ | $5.08 | +$0.14 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the AL-06 House seat? | No | 82 | 3¢ | 4¢ | $3.28 | +$0.82 | $0 | |
| Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 3 | 92.6¢ | 96.9¢ | $2.43 | +$0.11 | −$18 | |
| Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026? | No | 2 | 96.1¢ | 97.7¢ | $1.92 | +$0.03 | $0 | |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | No | 1 | 82¢ | 80¢ | $0.80 | −$0.02 | $0 | |
| Will Mistral have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 21 | 7¢ | 3.6¢ | $0.76 | −$0.71 | $0 | |
| Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026? | Yes | 20 | 5¢ | 3.2¢ | $0.64 | −$0.36 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the IN-01 House seat? | Yes | 140 | 3¢ | 0.4¢ | $0.56 | −$3.64 | $0 | |