sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

WholeFawn1278

0x2a9…7cad
CultureSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$48vol $72.2k
PnL 30d+$994gains $1,990 · losses $823
PnL 7d+$477win rate 7d 40.0%
Win rate47.1%adj 47.6% · 30d 45.6%
Open value$13.5kcash n/a
Positions188 / 273open / all-time
Max drawdown−28.2%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 3d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$994below peak $0Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

46/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale24
Adjusted win rateraw 47.1% · shrunk toward 50%19
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable81
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d90
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity72

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Las Vegas Raiders win the 2026 AFC West?No4,09088.9¢92.8¢$3,793+$159−$0.04
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes22.9k3.1¢3.8¢$858+$149−$0.86
Will Sam Rockwell win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No80384.6¢87.8¢$705+$25−$0.01
Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes75954.1¢62.5¢$474+$64−$0.85
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes2,12511.2¢18.5¢$393+$155−$1.47
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?Yes44573.7¢77.6¢$345+$17−$0.02
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes72144.4¢44.5¢$321+$0.80+$0.23
Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No40850.2¢72.5¢$296+$91−$4.76
Will Denis Villeneuve win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?No32878.5¢81.5¢$267+$9.90$0
Will Kodak Black be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Yes22777¢83¢$188+$14$0
Will Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2026 AFC North?No19086¢90¢$171+$7.60$0
Will Discord IPO by December 31, 2026?No18078.4¢93.5¢$168+$27$0
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes1,04821.8¢15.5¢$162−$66−$2.58
Will Amber Glenn win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?No17886.5¢90¢$160+$6.18$0
Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No32145¢49.5¢$159+$14−$1.15
Will Drake be featured on GTA VI: The Album?No19771.1¢75.5¢$149+$8.58−$2.57
Will Jackson Olson win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?No15091.1¢97.4¢$146+$9.43$0
Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No37330.1¢39¢$145+$33$0
Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2026 AFC North?Yes24453.7¢59¢$144+$13$0
Will Bad Bunny be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Yes24545.6¢58.5¢$143+$32−$2.82
Will "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No15388.8¢93¢$142+$6.36−$0.03
Will John Turturro be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes34721¢41¢$142+$69$0
Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Yes19780.8¢71.5¢$141−$18$0
Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No15680.7¢82¢$128+$2.02−$0.01
Will Michael B. Jordan be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?No12592.7¢98.3¢$123+$6.96$0
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes65720¢18.5¢$122−$9.86−$0.31
Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes22748.6¢50.5¢$115+$4.27−$1.08
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?No41233.2¢27.5¢$113−$23$0
Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2026 NFC South?No13075.8¢86.5¢$112+$14$0
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes1,2737.6¢8.6¢$110+$13−$0.17
Will "All of a Sudden" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No17857.8¢61¢$109+$5.73−$0.72
Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?No3658.2¢28.5¢$104+$74$0
Will Dante Moore win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?No10096.8¢99.2¢$99+$2.35$0
Will Maura Higgins win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?No10584.2¢86.5¢$91+$2.43$0
Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?No20260.1¢44.5¢$90−$32−$3.66
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Yes10079¢87.5¢$88+$8.50$0
Will Tao Okamoto win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?No8889.2¢95.5¢$84+$5.57−$1.21
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?No8192¢97.4¢$79+$4.33$0
Will Don Toliver be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Yes9075¢87.5¢$79+$11$0
Will "The Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No9075.9¢79.5¢$72+$3.25$0
Will Alex de Minaur Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?No11076.1¢64¢$70−$13$0
Will Brendan Sorsby win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?No7093.6¢99.5¢$70+$4.08$0
Will Carolina Panthers win the 2026 NFC South?Yes17923.5¢38.5¢$69+$27−$0.45
Will Denver Broncos win the 2026 AFC West?Yes30226.9¢21.5¢$65−$16$0
Will "The Drama" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No6588.1¢93.5¢$61+$3.48$0
Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No10863.4¢56¢$60−$7.97−$0.01
Will Will Hammond win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?No5693.6¢99.1¢$55+$3.03$0
Will New Orleans Saints win the 2026 NFC South?Yes32641.1¢17¢$55−$79−$3.09
Will Josh Hokit be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes18930.4¢29.3¢$55−$2.04−$1.24
Will Penélope Cruz win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?No7071¢78¢$55+$4.90$0
Will Sexyy Red be featured on GTA VI: The Album?No8348.3¢63.5¢$53+$13−$0.45
Will Bad Bunny be featured on GTA VI: The Album?No12049¢41.5¢$50−$9.00$0
Will "Doing Life" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No5060¢99¢$49+$19$0
Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes27514¢15.5¢$43+$4.13$0
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West?No12743¢33.5¢$43−$12−$3.02
Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No21915¢18¢$39+$6.60−$4.43
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,6002.2¢2.5¢$39+$4.00$0
Will Christina Koch be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No4090.6¢95.8¢$38+$2.08$0
Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Yes7943¢48¢$38+$3.94$0
Will Lost Weekend (Phoebe Bridgers) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No4093.3¢94.4¢$38+$0.44$0
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes5069.6¢70.5¢$35+$0.45$0
Will John Turturro be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No5968.7¢59¢$35−$5.71$0
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,0002.8¢3.4¢$34+$5.50$0
Will Lux (Rosalía) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No4180¢79.5¢$33−$0.22−$0.88
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the #2 song for 2026?No3971¢82.5¢$32+$4.49$0
Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes21311.4¢14.5¢$31+$6.53$0
Will Saros win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?No3196.8¢97.3¢$30+$0.14$0
Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?Yes5134.6¢55.5¢$28+$11$0
Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel?Yes4058.7¢70.5¢$28+$4.70$0
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?No12023.8¢21.5¢$26−$2.77−$6.99
Will Los Angeles Chargers win the 2026 AFC West?No2589¢98.8¢$25+$2.45$0
Will Raphinha (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?Yes5041.3¢49.1¢$25+$3.88$0
Will Morocco win AFCON 2027?No3757.6¢66¢$24+$3.10$0
Will Drake be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Yes9928.4¢24.5¢$24−$3.81−$0.49
Halle Berry as Storm?Yes14815.9¢16¢$24+$0.20$0
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1527.8¢14¢$21+$9.39−$0.01
Tom Holland as Spider-Man?Yes4242¢48.5¢$20+$2.73$0
Will Jaafar Jackson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes14511¢14¢$20+$4.35$0
Will Lux (Rosalía) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes9915¢20.5¢$20+$5.45$0
Will Demond Williams Jr. win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?No2095.2¢100¢$20+$0.95$0
Will Victor Glover be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No2191.4¢94.9¢$20+$0.74$0
Will Rocco Becht win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?No2096.4¢99.4¢$20+$0.59$0
Will Austin Mack win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?No2096.7¢99.2¢$20+$0.49−$0.01
Will Kewan Lacy win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?No2096.8¢97.7¢$20+$0.18$0
Will ChatGPT be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No2092.4¢96.9¢$19+$0.89$0
Discord IPO before 2027?No2071.3¢93.1¢$19+$4.35$0
Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?No2092¢91¢$18−$0.20$0
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Yes2274.9¢8¢$18+$7.12−$0.06
Will Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?No2090.3¢88.7¢$18−$0.32$0
Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau?Yes2273.3¢78.5¢$17+$1.14$0
Will Kendrick Lamar be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Yes6125¢27.5¢$17+$1.53$0
Will Sexyy Red be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Yes4243.6¢36.5¢$15−$2.97−$2.67
Will Robert Pattinson win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No1777¢89.6¢$15+$2.16$0
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?No5250.3¢28.5¢$15−$11$0
Will Kendrick Lamar be featured on GTA VI: The Album?No2061¢72.5¢$15+$2.30$0
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No5024¢28.5¢$14+$2.25−$1.41
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West?Yes2050¢66.5¢$13+$3.30$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No1588.1¢87¢$13−$0.18$0
Discord IPO before 2027?Yes18017.9¢7¢$13−$20$0
Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?No2060¢60.5¢$12+$0.10$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?3.8¢12$0.4447%46
BUY NoWill "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?6¢12$0.6947%46
BUY NoWill "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?12¢33$3.9047%46
SELL NoWill "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?3¢1$0.0247%46
SELL NoWill "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?7¢0$0.0347%46
BUY NoWill "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?22¢0$0.1047%46
BUY YesWill François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?2.8¢1,000$2847%46
BUY NoWill "Doing Life" be the top US Netflix movie this week?60¢50$3047%46
BUY NoWill "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?57¢8$4.5647%46
SELL NoWill "Below: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week?5¢1$0.0347%46
BUY NoWill "Below: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week?17¢1$0.1047%46
SELL NoWill "Below: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week?5¢2$0.0847%46
BUY NoWill "Below: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week?15¢26$3.8447%46
BUY YesWill Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?1¢100$1.0047%46
BUY YesWill OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?12¢47$5.6447%46
BUY NoWill "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?25¢8$2.0047%46
SELL YesWill "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?47.8¢39$1847%46
BUY YesWill "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?60¢39$2347%46
SELL YesWill "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?6¢0$0.0247%46
BUY YesWill "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?33¢10$3.4047%46