| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on October 17? | No | 41 | 70¢ | 61.5¢ | $25 | −$3.50 | −$52 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on October 17? | No | 39 | 47¢ | 34.5¢ | $13 | −$4.81 | +$7.84 | |
| First Round Outright Winner in the GA-11 House Election? | No | 20 | 50¢ | 38.1¢ | $7.62 | −$2.38 | $0 | |
| First Round Outright Winner in the GA-03 House Election? | No | 20 | 50¢ | 37.4¢ | $7.48 | −$2.52 | $0 | |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 30 million views on day 2? | No | 4 | 50¢ | 100¢ | $4.00 | +$2.00 | $0 | |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | No | 4 | 93¢ | 95¢ | $3.80 | +$0.08 | −$18 | |
| Will Arsenal finish as runner-up in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? | No | 5 | 89¢ | 80¢ | $3.78 | −$0.43 | −$5.96 | |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16? | Yes | 4 | 40¢ | 85¢ | $3.62 | +$1.91 | +$5.00 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-09 House election by 55%-60%? | No | 4 | 84¢ | 85¢ | $3.30 | +$0.04 | −$12 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on October 17? | Yes | 13 | 34¢ | 24¢ | $3.19 | −$1.33 | +$46 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 17? | No | 4 | 67¢ | 75¢ | $3.11 | +$0.33 | $0 | |
| Will the Florida Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | No | 4 | 65¢ | 76¢ | $3.04 | +$0.44 | −$10 | |
| Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026? | No | 5 | 63.1¢ | 65.5¢ | $3.04 | +$0.11 | −$14 | |
| Will "Look at Me!" by XXXTENTACION be on the radio in GTA VI at launch? | No | 4 | 79¢ | 78¢ | $2.93 | −$0.04 | −$4.71 | |
| Will Arsenal record the most clean sheets in the UCL league phase? | No | 6 | 73¢ | 51.5¢ | $2.92 | −$1.22 | −$1.86 | |
| Will "Street Fighter" score at least 30 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | Yes | 3 | 92¢ | 99.6¢ | $2.92 | +$0.22 | −$11 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 16? | No | 3 | 57¢ | 100¢ | $2.84 | +$1.22 | −$26 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Gianni Infantino by October 31, 2026? | No | 4 | 71¢ | 67¢ | $2.63 | −$0.16 | −$5.33 | |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23? | Yes | 4 | 56¢ | 72.5¢ | $2.59 | +$0.59 | −$1.20 | |
| Will Sabah finish last in UCL league phase? | No | 3 | 66¢ | 85¢ | $2.58 | +$0.58 | −$3.42 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on October 17? | No | 5 | 52¢ | 52¢ | $2.47 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026? | No | 4 | 54¢ | 66.5¢ | $2.46 | +$0.46 | −$1.05 | |
| Will Slavia Prague finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase? | No | 3 | 72¢ | 88.5¢ | $2.46 | +$0.46 | −$4.60 | |
| Will Manchester United reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal? | No | 3 | 69¢ | 84¢ | $2.43 | +$0.43 | −$4.01 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Pennsylvania Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 4 | 46¢ | 56¢ | $2.43 | +$0.43 | +$0.60 | |
| Will Minnesota Timberwolves advance to the Western Conference Finals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | Yes | 4 | 24¢ | 59.5¢ | $2.43 | +$1.45 | +$5.02 | |
| Will Team Europe win the 2027 Ryder Cup? | Yes | 5 | 52¢ | 51.5¢ | $2.42 | −$0.02 | −$0.31 | |
| Will Bad Bunny be featured on GTA VI: The Album? | No | 5 | 38¢ | 51¢ | $2.42 | +$0.62 | +$2.16 | |
| Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in October? | No | 3 | 80¢ | 95.1¢ | $2.38 | +$0.38 | −$6.16 | |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 4 | 49¢ | 58¢ | $2.37 | +$0.37 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-02 House election by 20%-25%? | No | 3 | 72¢ | 84.5¢ | $2.35 | +$0.35 | −$4.56 | |
| Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 3 | 66¢ | 76.5¢ | $2.32 | +$0.32 | −$3.20 | |
| Will Real Madrid finish top 8 in UCL league phase? | Yes | 3 | 75¢ | 86.7¢ | $2.31 | +$0.31 | −$5.19 | |
| Will Steve Rogers die in Avengers: Doomsday? | Yes | 4 | 57¢ | 57.5¢ | $2.27 | +$0.02 | −$13 | |
| Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026? | Yes | 3 | 27.9¢ | 68¢ | $2.25 | +$1.33 | +$9.01 | |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 3 | 76¢ | 85.5¢ | $2.25 | +$0.25 | −$8.13 | |
| Will Tomáš Chovanec be the next Mayor of České Budějovice? | Yes | 104 | 24¢ | 2.2¢ | $2.24 | −$23 | −$6.42 | |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 4 | 57¢ | 63.5¢ | $2.23 | +$0.23 | −$1.60 | |
| Will Gabriel Fernández (Cruz Azul) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Liga MX season? | Yes | 111 | 5¢ | 2¢ | $2.23 | −$3.35 | +$47 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-03 House election by 35%-40%? | No | 3 | 72¢ | 80¢ | $2.22 | +$0.22 | −$4.56 | |
| Will Kruger United be relegated from the 2026-27 South Africa Premiership? | No | 3 | 74.9¢ | 83¢ | $2.22 | +$0.22 | −$5.17 | |
| Will Bournemouth finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | No | 3 | 80¢ | 88¢ | $2.20 | +$0.20 | −$6.16 | |
| Will the Democrats win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 4 | 44¢ | 50¢ | $2.19 | +$0.26 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-13 House election by 30%-35%? | No | 3 | 72¢ | 78.5¢ | $2.18 | +$0.18 | −$4.56 | |
| Will a UK social media ban take effect by December 31, 2026? | No | 2 | 81¢ | 88¢ | $2.17 | +$0.17 | −$6.32 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or below on October 17? | Yes | 5 | 41¢ | 45.5¢ | $2.17 | +$0.21 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 17? | No | 3 | 68¢ | 67.5¢ | $2.16 | −$0.02 | −$42 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-03 House election by 40%-45%? | No | 2 | 82.5¢ | 90.6¢ | $2.15 | +$0.19 | −$6.62 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 3 | 80¢ | 85¢ | $2.13 | +$0.13 | −$6.13 | |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting? | No | 3 | 74¢ | 78.5¢ | $2.12 | +$0.12 | −$4.99 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ND-AL House election by 25%-30%? | No | 3 | 67¢ | 70.5¢ | $2.10 | +$0.10 | −$3.58 | |
| Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections? | Yes | 3 | 70¢ | 73.5¢ | $2.10 | +$0.10 | −$4.17 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-03 House election by 15%-20%? | No | 3 | 66¢ | 76.5¢ | $2.09 | +$0.29 | −$3.38 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 4 | 43¢ | 49.5¢ | $2.07 | +$0.27 | +$1.20 | |
| Will the Carolina Panthers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | Yes | 5 | 47¢ | 45.5¢ | $2.07 | −$0.07 | +$0.46 | |
| Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat? | Yes | 3 | 59¢ | 60.5¢ | $2.05 | +$0.05 | −$1.99 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 3 | 68¢ | 69.5¢ | $2.04 | +$0.04 | −$3.77 | |
| Will SK Artis Brno be relegated from the 2026-27 Chance Liga (Czechia)? | No | 3 | 78¢ | 79.5¢ | $2.04 | +$0.04 | −$5.77 | |
| Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3 | 49¢ | 66.5¢ | $2.04 | +$0.54 | +$0.50 | |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 3 | 58¢ | 65.5¢ | $2.03 | +$0.23 | −$5.24 | |
| Will DN SOOPers make a roster change by December? | Yes | 2 | 89¢ | 90¢ | $2.02 | +$0.02 | −$7.90 | |
| Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader? | Yes | 4 | 46¢ | 46.5¢ | $2.02 | +$0.02 | +$0.60 | |
| Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? | No | 3 | 64.1¢ | 65¢ | $2.01 | +$0.03 | −$3.00 | |
| Will VfB Stuttgart qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League? | No | 3 | 73¢ | 73.5¢ | $2.01 | +$0.01 | −$4.80 | |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026? | No | 2 | 88.6¢ | 94.5¢ | $2.01 | +$0.13 | −$7.79 | |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026? | No | 3 | 69¢ | 69¢ | $2.00 | $0 | −$3.97 | |
| Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27? | No | 3 | 70¢ | 70¢ | $2.00 | $0 | −$4.21 | |
| Will the Democrats win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026? | Yes | 3 | 64¢ | 64¢ | $2.00 | $0 | −$2.98 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York gubernatorial election by 5%-10%? | No | 2 | 84¢ | 84¢ | $2.00 | $0 | −$6.91 | |
| Will the median home value in Miami be between $809,000 and $830,000 on December 31? | No | 3 | 77¢ | 77¢ | $2.00 | $0 | −$5.58 | |
| Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 3 | 71¢ | 70.5¢ | $1.99 | −$0.01 | −$4.36 | |
| Will Alexi Giannoulias win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election? | Yes | 3 | 67¢ | 66.5¢ | $1.99 | −$0.01 | −$3.58 | |
| Will the Carolina Panthers win more than 7.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? | U 7.5 | 4 | 46¢ | 45.5¢ | $1.98 | −$0.02 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 21% or more? | Yes | 5 | 43¢ | 42.5¢ | $1.98 | −$0.02 | +$1.20 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-11 House election by 15%-20%? | No | 3 | 72¢ | 71¢ | $1.97 | −$0.03 | −$4.56 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 0%-5%? | No | 3 | 74¢ | 72.5¢ | $1.96 | −$0.04 | −$4.95 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-02 House election by 25%-30%? | No | 2 | 82.4¢ | 80.4¢ | $1.95 | −$0.05 | −$6.60 | |
| Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 2 | 89¢ | 96.5¢ | $1.95 | +$0.15 | −$7.80 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026? | No | 2 | 81¢ | 78.5¢ | $1.94 | −$0.06 | −$6.32 | |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,900,000 and 3,050,000? | No | 3 | 78¢ | 75.5¢ | $1.94 | −$0.06 | −$5.74 | |
| Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026? | No | 3 | 78¢ | 75.5¢ | $1.94 | −$0.06 | −$14 | |
| Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026? | No | 3 | 69.2¢ | 76.5¢ | $1.93 | +$0.18 | −$3.85 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 5% or more? | No | 2 | 90¢ | 96.6¢ | $1.93 | +$0.13 | −$8.07 | |
| Will Republicans win the Georgia Governor election and Democrats win the Georgia Senate election? | Yes | 4 | 53¢ | 51¢ | $1.92 | −$0.08 | −$1.80 | |
| Will Jay Z release an album in 2026? | No | 3 | 77¢ | 74¢ | $1.92 | −$0.08 | −$5.40 | |
| Will TSG Hoffenheim finish top 8 in UEL league phase? | No | 2 | 77.4¢ | 97.1¢ | $1.92 | +$0.39 | −$5.65 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 17? | No | 3 | 54¢ | 60.5¢ | $1.91 | +$0.20 | $0 | |
| Will Coventry City finish in last place in the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | No | 3 | 72¢ | 76¢ | $1.90 | +$0.10 | −$5.80 | |
| Will Steven Kwan lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in runs scored? | No | 2 | 88¢ | 83.5¢ | $1.90 | −$0.10 | −$7.71 | |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | No | 3 | 61¢ | 63.5¢ | $1.89 | +$0.07 | −$1.87 | |
| Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 2 | 63¢ | 84.5¢ | $1.87 | +$0.48 | −$2.84 | |
| Will SpaceXAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? | No | 2 | 90¢ | 91.5¢ | $1.83 | +$0.03 | −$8.07 | |
| Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31? | No | 2 | 77.2¢ | 80.5¢ | $1.83 | +$0.07 | −$5.59 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 17? | Yes | 4 | 45¢ | 47¢ | $1.82 | +$0.08 | +$11 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 2 | 89¢ | 89.5¢ | $1.81 | +$0.01 | −$7.88 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 45% or more? | No | 3 | 57¢ | 58¢ | $1.80 | +$0.03 | $0 | |
| Will Brest qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League? | Yes | 20 | 49¢ | 9¢ | $1.80 | −$8.00 | $0 | |
| Will Racing Santander qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League? | Yes | 20 | 49¢ | 9¢ | $1.80 | −$8.00 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? | No | 2 | 76¢ | 76¢ | $1.80 | $0 | −$5.35 | |
| Will Jagrup Brar win the next Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? | No | 3 | 64¢ | 57.5¢ | $1.80 | −$0.20 | −$2.98 | |