sharpside
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Traders/Rank #7,216

Redpacket

0x2ba…6bc1
WhaleWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+CryptoPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$39.4kvol $2.94M
PnL 30d+$2,871gains $659 · losses $21.0k
PnL 7d−$927win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate85.9%adj 81.8% · 30d 62.5%
Open value$59.5kcash n/a
Positions27 / 184open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 24d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$37.5kbelow peak −$39.6kOct 11

SharpScore inputs

37/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 85.9% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable75
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d17
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 27

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?$3,00019.9k48.4¢73¢$14.5k+$4,893$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No10,00089.9¢97.9¢$9,790+$800$0
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No10,00091.6¢97.2¢$9,715+$555$0
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No9,97191.6¢97¢$9,667+$538−$15
Trump out as President before 2027?No10,00083¢96.3¢$9,630+$1,330$0
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?No3,90082.8¢79.5¢$3,100−$130$0
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,55476.1¢55.5¢$863−$320+$90
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?No50090¢95.5¢$478+$28$0
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes270k1.2¢0.2¢$405−$2,784−$298
China coup attempt before 2027?No30094.7¢96.2¢$289+$4.40$0
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?No20094.2¢97¢$194+$5.50$0
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81No20039.5¢95¢$190+$111$0
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes232k1.3¢0.1¢$116−$2,960+$200
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No10093¢98.2¢$98+$5.20$0
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?No10097.9¢96.7¢$97−$1.25$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No10073¢95.5¢$96+$23$0
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?No10097.7¢92.6¢$93−$5.15$0
OKX IPO in 2026?No7190¢95¢$68+$3.57$0
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes83.7k1.1¢0.1¢$42−$879−$431
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Yes10026¢19¢$19−$7.00$0
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?No1095.9¢97¢$9.70+$0.10$0
USD1 depeg by December 31?No1070¢94¢$9.53+$2.43$0
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?No1083¢84¢$8.40+$0.10$0
APYX FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes1087¢63¢$6.30−$2.40$0
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?No996.7¢69.4¢$6.24−$2.46$0
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes8037.9¢5.9¢$4.76−$26$0
USDC depeg by December 31?Yes933.8¢1.5¢$1.40−$2.14$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoChina coup attempt before 2027?94.7¢4$4.2586%37
BUY NoBase FDV above $12B one day after launch?83¢10$8.3086%37
BUY NoWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?95.9¢10$9.5986%37
BUY $3,000Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?43¢5$2.1586%37
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?87¢5$4.3586%37
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?82¢5$4.1086%37
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?95¢86$8286%37
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?95¢100$9586%37
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 24?98.8¢100$9986%37
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?96.4¢300$28986%37
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?93.9¢400$37686%37
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?98.1¢200$19686%37
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?94¢100$9486%37
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?88.7¢4$3.4586%37
BUY YesAPYX FDV above $100M one day after launch?87¢1$0.6986%37
BUY NoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?91¢72$6686%37
BUY NoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?97.6¢100$9886%37
BUY NoMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?74.9¢3,500$2,62286%37
BUY NoMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?74.8¢1,000$74886%37
BUY NoMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?74¢491$36386%37