sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,299

linsen

0x2be…8ae5
WhalePoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$489vol $61.0k
PnL 30d+$1,056gains $662 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$253win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 58.3% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$33.6kcash n/a
Positions15 / 19open / all-time
Max drawdown−15.4%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$2,955below peak −$51Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

30/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale38
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%46
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable43
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d91
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity85

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? · Noclosed+$836Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? · Noclosed+$662China x Japan military clash before 2027? · Noopen+$521Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Noopen+$409Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? · Noopen+$277

Worst markets

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? · Yesopen−$750Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? · Yesopen−$310

Open positions · 15

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No10.8k90.7¢95.5¢$10.3k+$521$0
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No4,00088¢94.8¢$3,792+$272$0
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No3,70091.2¢95.5¢$3,534+$160$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No3,14493.3¢97.7¢$3,070+$137$0
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No3,30088¢92.5¢$3,053+$149$0
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No2,50089.7¢96.1¢$2,401+$159$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No2,20076.4¢95¢$2,090+$409$0
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?No2,47244.3¢55.5¢$1,372+$277$0
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes4,30826.6¢27.6¢$1,187+$39$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No1,10094.2¢97.8¢$1,075+$39$0
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No1,07965.4¢85.5¢$922+$217$0
US x China Military clash before 2027?No49995¢97.5¢$486+$12$0
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?No66933.2¢44.5¢$298+$75$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes9,5007.9¢0¢$0−$750$0
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes44954¢0¢$0−$242−$68

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?27.7¢966$268100%30
BUY YesWill Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?27.1¢208$56100%30
BUY YesWill Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?26.2¢306$80100%30
BUY NoTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?34¢544$185100%30
BUY NoWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?94.1¢100$94100%30
BUY NoTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?44¢200$88100%30
BUY NoWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?92¢805$741100%30
BUY NoTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?79¢305$241100%30
BUY NoTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?30¢13$3.96100%30
BUY NoTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?29¢11$3.17100%30
BUY NoChina x Japan military clash before 2027?92¢514$473100%30
BUY NoChina x Japan military clash before 2027?92¢2,200$2,024100%30
BUY NoWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?90¢944$849100%30
SELL YesWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?43¢619$266100%30
BUY YesWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?54¢1,068$577100%30
BUY NoWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?94.2¢30$28100%30
BUY Yes Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?15¢2,000$300100%30
SELL No Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?95¢455$432100%30
SELL No Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?72.4¢505$366100%30
SELL No Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?73.8¢933$689100%30