sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,046

KjerstinDellert

0x2d1…5adb
WR 60+1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$8,401vol $366k
PnL 30d+$857gains $1,990 · losses $163
PnL 7d−$462win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate66.0%adj 64.9% · 30d 91.3%
Open value$16.1kcash n/a
Positions89 / 354open / all-time
Max drawdown−68.0%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 5h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$6,623below peak −$9,373Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

61/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale56
Adjusted win rateraw 66.0% · shrunk toward 50%62
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable85
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity32

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 89

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes6,90057.4¢62.5¢$4,313+$355$0
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No4,12799.2¢100¢$4,125+$33$0
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,50040¢67.5¢$1,688+$688$0
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes1,69579.8¢69¢$1,169−$182$0
Will Declan Rice finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,89632.3¢18.5¢$536−$401$0
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No50080¢94.5¢$473+$73$0
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes2,95014¢14.5¢$428+$15$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes1,00031.3¢41.5¢$415+$102$0
No one announced as next James Bond?No50077.7¢73.2¢$366−$23$0
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes50078¢72.5¢$363−$28$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1,95014.4¢15.5¢$301+$21$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No36372¢68.5¢$248−$13$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes50040¢46.5¢$233+$33$0
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes7,46232¢2.9¢$216−$2,173$0
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes13572.5¢96.1¢$130+$32$0
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes11.1k0.9¢1¢$106+$5.57$0
Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by February 28, 2027?Yes14551.9¢67¢$97+$22$0
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?Yes19065.2¢50.5¢$96−$28$0
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No3,1706.4¢2.9¢$94−$109$0
GTA 6 launch postponed again?No9387.6¢96.1¢$90+$7.88$0
Will Declan Rice finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,2535.8¢3.8¢$86−$45$0
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No43019¢19.5¢$84+$2.15$0
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?Yes3,0008¢2.5¢$75−$165$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes1,5007¢4.6¢$68−$37$0
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No8040¢82.5¢$66+$34$0
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes5,9001.7¢1¢$56−$44$0
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes60017¢9¢$54−$48$0
Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026?Yes6055.7¢54.5¢$33−$0.70$0
Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?No3093.7¢97.4¢$29+$1.10$0
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes58.1k0.2¢0.1¢$29−$87$0
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?Yes4263¢49¢$21−$5.91$0
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Yes15815.6¢9¢$14−$10$0
Will Declan Rice finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes7796.1¢0.9¢$6.62−$41$0
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?Yes4325.8¢15¢$6.39−$4.60$0
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?Yes8752.3¢5.5¢$4.74−$41$0
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes7,1500.7¢0¢$0−$50+$101
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?No4,8250.6¢0¢$0−$30−$1.18
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes4,38190.4¢0¢$0−$3,962−$9.79
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,93017.1¢0¢$0−$501−$12
Will LGD Gaming Win The International 2026?Yes2,5004¢0¢$0−$100−$4.80
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,33716.6¢0¢$0−$387−$0.13
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes2,2005.8¢0¢$0−$128$0
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Yes2,0794.7¢0¢$0−$98−$3.72
Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,7647¢0¢$0−$123$0
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes1,55110.6¢0¢$0−$165−$4.41
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?Yes1,50020¢0¢$0−$300−$7.20
Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,44921.5¢0¢$0−$311−$7.33
Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No1,42341.4¢0¢$0−$589−$9.84
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?Yes1,36022¢0¢$0−$299−$7.00
Will Emiliano Martínez win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,35012.4¢0¢$0−$167+$152
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?Yes1,20026¢0¢$0−$312−$6.93
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?Down1,1893.6¢0¢$0−$42−$0.93
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?Yes1,12912.4¢0¢$0−$140−$3.69
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group BTeam Nemesis1,07914¢0¢$0−$151−$6.49
Will Ecuador reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,03120¢0¢$0−$206−$2.54
Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,00050¢0¢$0−$500−$7.50
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes8703¢0¢$0−$26−$1.01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?Yes8354.5¢0¢$0−$38$0
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes83030¢0¢$0−$249−$5.23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes80021.3¢0¢$0−$170$0
Will Colombia be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?Yes78726.4¢0¢$0−$208−$4.43
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 16?Up57156.7¢0¢$0−$323−$5.60
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No56030.3¢0¢$0−$170−$4.73
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes55567.8¢0¢$0−$376$0
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No54037¢0¢$0−$200−$3.78
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - The International Group StageLGD Gaming50020¢0¢$0−$100−$4.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No50040¢0¢$0−$200−$6.00
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?Down50033¢0¢$0−$165−$4.42
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? Yes41945¢0¢$0−$189−$27
Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes40074.5¢0¢$0−$298−$2.28
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group BTeam Nemesis40028¢0¢$0−$112$0
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $13B by September 30?Yes37012.2¢0¢$0−$45−$1.53
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group COG35026¢0¢$0−$91+$227
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit30033.3¢0¢$0−$100−$3.33
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 29?Up3003¢0¢$0−$9.00−$0.35
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No30068¢0¢$0−$204$0
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by September 30?Yes22712.2¢0¢$0−$28−$0.97
Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)Team Nemesis20554.5¢0¢$0−$112−$1.24
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex20049¢0¢$0−$98−$2.50
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsLGD Gaming20030¢0¢$0−$60−$2.10
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLGD Gaming20018¢0¢$0−$36−$1.48
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Yes19025¢0¢$0−$48$0
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $11B by September 30?Yes18922¢0¢$0−$42−$1.30
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Yes15528¢0¢$0−$43$0
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes14874¢0¢$0−$110$0
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12B by September 30?Yes12122.7¢0¢$0−$27−$0.66
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?Yes4153¢0¢$0−$22−$0.31
Will Ecuador reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes136.8¢0¢$0−$0.88$0
Will OG win BLAST Slam VIII?Yes100.1¢0¢$0−$0.01$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?19.1¢6,998$1,33766%61
BUY NoWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?19.9¢6,998$1,39066%61
BUY NoWill Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?93.7¢30$2866%61
BUY Team SpiritDota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner33.3¢300$10066%61
BUY Team SpiritDota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner59¢339$20066%61
BUY Team SpiritDota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs66¢303$20066%61
BUY LGD GamingDota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs30¢200$6066%61
BUY Team YandexDota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner49¢200$9866%61
BUY LGD GamingDota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner18¢200$3666%61
BUY NoWill John Kasianowicz win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?99.4¢300$29866%61
BUY NoWill Jens Nørskov win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?99¢50$5066%61
BUY NoWill Harry Gray win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?96.4¢59$5766%61
BUY NoWill David Liu win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?95.6¢523$50066%61
BUY NoWill Charles Kane win the Nobel Prize in Physics in 2026?96¢123$11966%61
BUY NoWill Peter Shor win the Nobel Prize in Physics in 2026?98.8¢92$9166%61
BUY NoWill John Preskill win the Nobel Prize in Physics in 2026?99¢88$8866%61
BUY NoWill Yakir Aharonov win the Nobel Prize in Physics in 2026?99¢83$8366%61
BUY NoWill Eugene Mele win the Nobel Prize in Physics in 2026?98.9¢83$8366%61
BUY NoWill Ewine van Dishoeck win the Nobel Prize in Physics in 2026?98.9¢83$8366%61
BUY NoWill John Pendry win the Nobel Prize in Physics in 2026?99¢88$8866%61