sharpside
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peivon98

0x2e6…6898@fpinvestments98
PoliticsSportOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$630vol $327k
PnL 30d−$12gains $36 · losses $31
PnL 7d+$2.10win rate 7d 44.6%
Win rate52.2%adj 52.1% · 30d 51.5%
Open value$1,415cash n/a
Positions23 / 1,779open / all-time
Max drawdown−65.1%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$655below peak −$649Oct 11

SharpScore inputs

40/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 52.2% · shrunk toward 50%30
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity35

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 23

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes49561¢63.5¢$314+$12$0
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes49540¢34.5¢$171−$27$0
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No11299.3¢99.2¢$111−$0.22−$3.28
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?No10499.3¢99.4¢$103+$0.05−$0.90
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No10199.2¢98.7¢$99−$0.50$0
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No9994¢86.5¢$86−$7.42$0
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No9396.3¢84.7¢$79−$11$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No9991¢57.5¢$57−$33$0
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.02 by December 31, 2026?No5498.8¢97.3¢$53−$0.86+$0.03
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?No5197.5¢98¢$50+$0.23$0
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?No5197.8¢97.4¢$50−$0.23−$2.26
Epic Games IPO before 2027?No5198.1¢97.4¢$50−$0.38−$0.58
Celonis IPO before 2027?No5198.2¢97.1¢$49−$0.56$0
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?No5099.1¢96.6¢$49−$1.26$0
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?No5099.3¢96.8¢$49−$1.28$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No2386¢83.5¢$19−$0.58$0
Will Andy Warhol be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?No1099.7¢99.2¢$9.95−$0.05$0
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Yes3429¢22.5¢$7.76−$2.24$0
Human moon landing in 2026?No596.8¢98.5¢$5.09+$0.09−$0.07
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No260¢92.5¢$1.54+$0.54$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes2638¢5.1¢$1.33−$8.67$0
Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?Yes179¢35.5¢$0.45−$0.55$0
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?Yes245¢16.5¢$0.37−$0.63$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on October 11?99.7¢26$2652%40
BUY NoEpic Games IPO before 2027?98.1¢51$5052%40
BUY NoRipple Labs IPO before 2027?97.8¢51$5052%40
BUY NoFannie Mae IPO before 2027?97.5¢51$5052%40
BUY NoWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?99.3¢104$10352%40
BUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10? AND Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-10?79.5¢6$4.9552%40
BUYWill Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-10? AND Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-10?55.1¢4$1.9652%40
BUYWill Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-10? AND Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-10?69.4¢4$2.9552%40
BUY NoWill Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?98.7¢100$9952%40
BUY NoPlague pandemic in 2026?97.5¢105$10252%40
SELL NoEpic Games IPO before 2027?97.2¢43$4252%40
BUY NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?97¢103$10052%40
BUY NoWill António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?98.8¢47$4652%40
BUY NoWill Philadelphia Eagles win the 2026 NFC East?68¢15$1052%40
BUYWill Barranquilla FC win on 2026-10-07? AND Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-10-07?61.6¢3$1.9652%40
BUYWill Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-10-07? AND Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-10-07?70.8¢4$2.9652%40
BUYCounter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs BORRACHEIROS (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs largadosypelados (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs74.4¢3$1.9752%40
BUY NoCelonis IPO before 2027?98.2¢51$5052%40
BUY NoApplied Intuition IPO before 2027?99.3¢50$5052%40
BUY NoFreddie Mac IPO before 2027?99.1¢50$5052%40