sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,298

podairpod

0x2ed…93d4
PnL 10k+1y+OtherPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$29.7kvol $1.14M
PnL 30d+$3,739gains $11.6k · losses $6,181
PnL 7d+$1,101win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate56.0%adj 55.8% · 30d 62.0%
Open value$29.4kcash n/a
Positions43 / 775open / all-time
Max drawdown−10.5%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 23h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$34.8kbelow peak $0Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

70/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale64
Adjusted win rateraw 56.0% · shrunk toward 50%39
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable96
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity90

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$4,291Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yesopen+$2,498Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$1,932Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026? · Yesclosed+$1,759Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in January? · Yesclosed+$1,528

Worst markets

Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · Yesclosed−$1,391Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? · Yesclosed−$979Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting? · Yesclosed−$862Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in September? · Yesclosed−$794Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in January? · Yesclosed−$790

Open positions · 43

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?No6,13468¢87¢$5,336+$1,167−$4.80
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes4,44170.5¢95.6¢$4,243+$1,114+$1,384
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Yes3,19784.1¢82.6¢$2,641−$49$0
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?Yes3,93942¢43.5¢$1,713+$58$0
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?Yes3,89627.4¢36.5¢$1,422+$355$0
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?Yes2,57846.4¢46¢$1,186−$10$0
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Yes1,82543.5¢63.5¢$1,159+$365+$26
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in September?Yes2,88631.3¢35¢$1,010+$105$0
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No1,14649.6¢86¢$986+$417+$144
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?Yes2,37730.4¢36.5¢$868+$145$0
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?Yes2,77943.8¢30.5¢$848−$370−$34
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?Yes2,41432.8¢34.5¢$833+$42$0
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?Yes2,23137.9¢33.5¢$747−$98$0
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?Yes1,46439¢50¢$732+$162$0
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Yes87475.4¢83.5¢$730+$70$0
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?No73471.9¢95.1¢$698+$171+$31
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes1,00059¢66.5¢$665+$75$0
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?Yes99246.4¢49¢$486+$25+$22
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Yes1,57230.7¢22.5¢$353−$129+$54
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in September?Yes2,61915.8¢13¢$340−$75−$18
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?Yes3,87322.9¢7.5¢$290−$597$0
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes40354.8¢69¢$278+$57$0
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in September?Yes2,02815.6¢13¢$264−$52$0
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?Yes28557.4¢68¢$194+$30$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes1,00025¢17.5¢$175−$75$0
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in September?Yes1,14412¢14.5¢$166+$29+$9.38
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes73527.4¢21.5¢$158−$43$0
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?Yes1,90518.2¢8¢$152−$193$0
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?Yes20060¢75.5¢$151+$31$0
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?No60127.9¢23.5¢$141−$27$0
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Yes23333¢38¢$89+$12$0
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?Yes28532¢24.5¢$70−$21$0
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in September?Yes2,1935.9¢2.1¢$46−$83$0
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?No4486¢94¢$41+$3.49$0
Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?Yes20023.5¢19.5¢$39−$8.00$0
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?Yes14526¢26.5¢$38+$0.72$0
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?Yes12123.8¢27.5¢$33+$4.41$0
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in September?Yes4564¢5.7¢$26+$7.67$0
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?Yes3072¢85¢$26+$3.90$0
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in September?Yes7281.3¢0.4¢$2.55−$6.58$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in September?Yes36135.4¢0¢$0−$128−$4.10
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in September?No21682.2¢0¢$0−$178−$294
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.24% in September?Yes4958¢0¢$0−$28$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?35.4¢151$5356%70
BUY YesWill Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?42.8¢369$15856%70
BUY YesWill Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?33.7¢387$13056%70
SELL YesWill Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in September?12¢70$8.4056%70
BUY YesWill Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in September?19¢40$7.6056%70
BUY YesWill Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in September?14.8¢231$3456%70
BUY YesWill Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in September?13.6¢210$2956%70
SELL YesWill Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in September?12¢297$3656%70
SELL YesWill Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?33¢265$8756%70
SELL YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?83¢12.2k$10.1k56%70Whale
BUY YesWill Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in September?19¢95$1856%70
BUY YesWill Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?41.7¢75$3156%70
BUY YesWill Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in September?19¢100$1956%70
BUY YesWill Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?41¢214$8856%70
BUY YesWill Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?33¢18$5.9456%70
BUY YesWill Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?33¢74$2456%70
BUY YesWill Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in September?19¢346$6656%70
BUY YesReserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?32¢285$9156%70
BUY YesNo change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?57.4¢285$16456%70
BUY YesWill the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?26¢145$3856%70