Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?

ends 3mo · Jan 1 ’27 04:59 UTCid 0xb6abfbc4…Trade on Polymarket Live trades

Δ 24h+1.6¢+8.5%

Volume 24h$332 trades

Volume total$1.38M

Open interest$6,359

Liquidity$8,630

Spread9.0¢bid–ask

Traders 24h10 sharp

Whales 24h0 / 0$0 / $0

Price · Yes

Yes21.3¢−1.6¢ rangeOct 10 17:24

net $ by window

Winsell ◂ net ▸ buyNetB / S

30m$00/0

1h$00/0

6h$00/0

12h$00/0

24h$00/0

Net USD bought minus sold on Yes by wallets with SharpScore ≥ 70. B / S = distinct sharp buyers / sellers.

WhalesBuysSellsBuy $Sell $30m00——1h00——6h00——12h00——24h00——

hourly · last 24h

Oct 10 17:00 UTC vol $0 traders 0trades 024h total $33

Oct 9 18:0006:00now

No flags in this marketNo position here combines a new account, outsized size, low entry and late timing strongly enough to flag.

Whale	Side		Entry	Z
0xa5e…2966	No	$18.8k	0¢	12.9σ

#	Trader	SharpScore	Outcome	Shares	Avg price	PnL
1	0xa5e…2966	16	No	24.2k	0¢	+$18.2k
2	CDAP1	39	Yes	3,785	2.9¢	+$730
3	ratehikes	38	Yes	4,774	18.1¢	+$216
4	Bikesarethebest	61	Yes	167	5.2¢	+$112
5	donthackme	60	Yes	332	0¢	+$74
6	hippoka	46	Yes	500	7.9¢	+$74
7	melonmanm	75	Yes	0	8.4¢	+$64
8	2B9S	60	Yes	251	0.3¢	+$63
9	0xd71…3b85	45	Yes	26	6.7¢	+$20
10	fed26	33	Yes	99	7.9¢	+$14