PnL all-time−$1,779vol $120k
PnL 30d−$537gains $79 · losses $44
PnL 7d+$19win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate69.8%adj 68.1% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$4,049cash n/a
Positions36 / 249open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.7ylast trade 17d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$1,991below peak −$2,121Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
36/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 69.8% · shrunk toward 50%70
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable80
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d40
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Noopen+$231Fed rate hike in 2025? · Noclosed+$150Will Trump's inaugural address be 20 minutes or more? · Yesclosed+$131Will Union win the most seats in the next German election? · Yesclosed+$130Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election? · Yesclosed+$126
Worst markets
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesopen−$322Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yesopen−$295Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? · Yesopen−$220Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesopen−$202Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yesopen−$196
Open positions · 36
Recent trades
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