| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? | No | 402 | 85¢ | 77¢ | $310 | −$32 | $0 | |
| Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31? | No | 636 | 67¢ | 46.5¢ | $296 | −$130 | $0 | |
| Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by December 31, 2026? | No | 303 | 85¢ | 72.5¢ | $220 | −$38 | −$5.60 | |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 236 | 79¢ | 66.5¢ | $157 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 202 | 68¢ | 63.5¢ | $129 | −$9.11 | −$12 | |
| Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31? | Yes | 700 | 20¢ | 17.5¢ | $123 | −$18 | −$1.05 | |
| Will brawk have the most kills for NRG at VALORANT Champions 2026? | No | 196 | 84¢ | 60.5¢ | $119 | −$46 | $0 | |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | Yes | 166 | 80¢ | 70.5¢ | $117 | −$16 | −$12 | |
| Will Ivory Coast win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group C? | Yes | 138 | 89¢ | 81.5¢ | $112 | −$10 | −$0.51 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-05 House election by 60%-65%? | No | 138 | 78¢ | 71¢ | $98 | −$9.68 | −$5.91 | |
| Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher? | Yes | 110 | 94¢ | 88.5¢ | $98 | −$6.08 | −$34 | |
| Will Susan Stevenson win the 2026 London mayoral election? | No | 112 | 92¢ | 82.5¢ | $92 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will CNN fly with Trump by October 31? | No | 91 | 91¢ | 87.5¢ | $80 | −$3.19 | $0 | |
| Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%? | No | 119 | 71¢ | 66.5¢ | $79 | −$5.36 | −$0.62 | |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? | No | 606 | 17¢ | 12¢ | $73 | −$30 | −$7.67 | |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? | Yes | 297 | 32¢ | 23¢ | $68 | −$27 | −$3.15 | |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027? | Yes | 114 | 79¢ | 53.5¢ | $61 | −$29 | $0 | |
| Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30? | No | 77 | 77¢ | 70.5¢ | $54 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | Yes | 240 | 25¢ | 22.5¢ | $54 | −$6.00 | −$31 | |
| Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0030 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 192 | 34¢ | 28¢ | $54 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD? | No | 60 | 94.5¢ | 84.9¢ | $51 | −$5.76 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? | Yes | 406 | 16¢ | 12.5¢ | $51 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? | Yes | 68 | 76¢ | 74.5¢ | $51 | −$1.02 | −$4.65 | |
| Will the peak severe (S2+) drought coverage in Minas Gerais be 5% to 19.99%? | No | 64 | 77¢ | 77¢ | $49 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Ella Langley win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 82 | 63¢ | 59.5¢ | $49 | −$2.88 | −$4.81 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-11 House election by 20%-25%? | No | 72 | 72¢ | 68¢ | $49 | −$2.92 | −$0.17 | |
| Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026? | No | 215 | 43¢ | 22.5¢ | $48 | −$44 | −$32 | |
| Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? | No | 700 | 11.8¢ | 6.7¢ | $47 | −$36 | −$2.97 | |
| Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2028? | Yes | 88 | 66¢ | 52.5¢ | $46 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will Angola win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group B? | No | 61 | 78¢ | 75¢ | $46 | −$1.83 | $0 | |
| Will GTE launch a token by September 30, 2027? | No | 110 | 66¢ | 41¢ | $45 | −$28 | $0 | |
| Ethereum tapered issuance burn implemented by December 31, 2027? | No | 60 | 80¢ | 73.5¢ | $44 | −$3.90 | $0 | |
| Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? | No | 100 | 55.2¢ | 43¢ | $43 | −$12 | −$105 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 40%-45%? | No | 60 | 82¢ | 71.6¢ | $43 | −$6.27 | $0 | |
| Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 87 | 55¢ | 48.5¢ | $42 | −$5.66 | −$1.21 | |
| Will the New Economic Party / The Reservists be in the next Israeli government? | No | 61 | 74¢ | 68.5¢ | $42 | −$3.35 | $0 | |
| Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 141 | 24¢ | 28¢ | $39 | +$5.64 | −$3.20 | |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31? | Yes | 202 | 21¢ | 18.5¢ | $37 | −$5.05 | −$1.05 | |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026? | No | 45 | 88¢ | 82.5¢ | $37 | −$2.48 | $0 | |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 39 | 92.5¢ | 85.7¢ | $33 | −$2.67 | $0 | |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? | Yes | 46 | 83¢ | 70.5¢ | $32 | −$5.75 | −$0.13 | |
| Will Meta's Watermelon model debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | Yes | 47 | 81¢ | 68.5¢ | $32 | −$5.88 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-05 House election by 20%-25%? | No | 45 | 76¢ | 71.5¢ | $32 | −$2.02 | −$17 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-03 House election by 30%-35%? | No | 42 | 76.6¢ | 72.3¢ | $30 | −$1.83 | −$1.15 | |
| Will the peak severe (S2+) drought coverage in Minas Gerais be under 5%? | No | 49 | 90¢ | 61.5¢ | $30 | −$14 | −$0.54 | |
| Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? | Yes | 63 | 55¢ | 47.5¢ | $30 | −$4.72 | −$0.65 | |
| Will Control Resonant win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards? | No | 40 | 82.1¢ | 74.8¢ | $30 | −$2.94 | −$0.44 | |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $70 by December 31, 2026? | No | 73 | 53¢ | 39.5¢ | $29 | −$9.86 | −$1.43 | |
| Critical Discord Incident by November 30? | No | 60 | 55¢ | 47.5¢ | $29 | −$4.50 | $0 | |
| Will XRP dip to $1.20 by December 31, 2026? | No | 69 | 49¢ | 41¢ | $28 | −$5.52 | −$10 | |
| Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual? | No | 131 | 55¢ | 21¢ | $28 | −$45 | −$11 | |
| New pandemic before 2028? | Yes | 181 | 18¢ | 15¢ | $27 | −$5.43 | −$28 | |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? | No | 39 | 66¢ | 68.5¢ | $27 | +$0.98 | −$9.34 | |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? | Yes | 40 | 67¢ | 66¢ | $26 | −$0.40 | −$3.68 | |
| Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | Yes | 54 | 51¢ | 48¢ | $26 | −$1.62 | $0 | |
| Will UNI reach $14.00 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 94 | 39.5¢ | 27.1¢ | $25 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will Hasbro (HAS) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 125 | 22¢ | 20¢ | $25 | −$2.50 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MN-03 House seat? | No | 700 | 7¢ | 3.6¢ | $25 | −$24 | −$8.33 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028? | Yes | 50 | 52¢ | 49.5¢ | $25 | −$1.25 | $0 | |
| Will Koguma peak as a Very strong typhoon? | Yes | 43 | 57¢ | 57.5¢ | $25 | +$0.21 | −$0.33 | |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 159 | 18¢ | 15.5¢ | $25 | −$3.97 | −$1.54 | |
| North Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 107 | 34¢ | 23¢ | $25 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will Rafael Fiziev fight Benoit Saint-Denis next? | Yes | 100 | 32¢ | 24.5¢ | $25 | −$7.50 | $0 | |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 50 | 55¢ | 46.5¢ | $23 | −$4.25 | $0 | |
| Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election? | No | 43 | 61¢ | 53.5¢ | $23 | −$3.23 | −$3.28 | |
| Will Aaron Rodgers have 18.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 30 | 78¢ | 75¢ | $22 | −$0.90 | −$1.88 | |
| Will Morocco win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group A? | Yes | 26 | 92¢ | 86.5¢ | $22 | −$1.42 | −$7.94 | |
| Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October? | No | 30 | 79¢ | 74¢ | $22 | −$1.50 | $0 | |
| Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award? | No | 50 | 57¢ | 42¢ | $21 | −$7.50 | $0 | |
| Will Betmoar launch a token by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 102 | 24¢ | 20.5¢ | $21 | −$3.55 | −$2.64 | |
| Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m? | No | 48 | 78¢ | 42.5¢ | $20 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat? | No | 648 | 5.7¢ | 3.1¢ | $20 | −$17 | −$1.26 | |
| Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50 | 46¢ | 39.5¢ | $20 | −$3.25 | $0 | |
| Will Jay Z release an album in 2026? | Yes | 74 | 37¢ | 26¢ | $19 | −$8.10 | −$4.48 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-06 House election by 30%-35%? | No | 27 | 76¢ | 70.5¢ | $19 | −$1.49 | $0 | |
| New COVID variant of concern before 2027? | Yes | 144 | 15¢ | 13¢ | $19 | −$2.88 | $0 | |
| Will PPI YoY be 5.8% in September? | Yes | 248 | 16¢ | 7.5¢ | $19 | −$21 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-06 House election by 15%-20%? | No | 25 | 78.6¢ | 72.4¢ | $18 | −$1.55 | $0 | |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in October? | No | 30 | 48¢ | 60¢ | $18 | +$3.60 | −$1.80 | |
| Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 83 | 30¢ | 21.5¢ | $18 | −$7.10 | −$43 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 35%-40%? | Yes | 76 | 29¢ | 23.5¢ | $18 | −$4.18 | −$0.34 | |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? | No | 47 | 43¢ | 37.7¢ | $18 | −$2.49 | −$248 | |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 98 | 26¢ | 18¢ | $18 | −$7.84 | $0 | |
| Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record? | No | 103 | 23¢ | 17¢ | $18 | −$6.18 | −$2.56 | |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 825,000 and 900,000? | No | 20 | 88¢ | 86.5¢ | $17 | −$0.30 | $0 | |
| Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? | No | 50 | 42¢ | 34¢ | $17 | −$4.00 | −$45 | |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50 | 39¢ | 33.5¢ | $17 | −$2.75 | $0 | |
| Will Jim Lee win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election? | Yes | 148 | 24¢ | 11¢ | $16 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elizabeth Warren by October 31, 2026? | No | 60 | 44¢ | 27¢ | $16 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.46% in October? | Yes | 51 | 34¢ | 30.5¢ | $16 | −$1.78 | $0 | |
| 0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by December 31? | Yes | 114 | 17¢ | 13.5¢ | $15 | −$3.99 | $0 | |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31? | No | 33 | 61¢ | 46¢ | $15 | −$4.95 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 40%-45%? | Yes | 182 | 17.3¢ | 8.3¢ | $15 | −$16 | −$4.58 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-05 House election by 15%-18%? | Yes | 130 | 19¢ | 11.5¢ | $15 | −$9.75 | $0 | |
| Senate control favorite on November 2? | Republican Party | 404 | 9¢ | 3.7¢ | $15 | −$21 | −$11 | |
| Will Ohio be the closest Governor's race in 2026? | Yes | 109 | 25.9¢ | 13.4¢ | $15 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election by 5%-10%? | Yes | 58 | 29¢ | 25¢ | $15 | −$2.32 | −$0.56 | |
| Will Tyler Cameron be eliminated in week 5 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35? | No | 22 | 78¢ | 62¢ | $14 | −$3.52 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-18 House election by 20%-25%? | No | 20 | 76¢ | 68¢ | $14 | −$1.60 | −$1.09 | |
| Will the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win the 2026 Japan Series? | No | 22 | 58¢ | 59.5¢ | $13 | +$0.33 | $0 | |