sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,873

Hazaswine

0x32b…2f9f
WR 60+1y+PoliticsCryptoSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$3,287vol $487k
PnL 30d+$281gains $519 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$3,218win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate68.7%adj 67.6% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$31.4kcash n/a
Positions187 / 513open / all-time
Max drawdown−80.6%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 23h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$9,963below peak −$7,104Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

58/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale50
Adjusted win rateraw 68.7% · shrunk toward 50%69
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable90
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity19

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No8,00054¢95.1¢$7,608+$3,288$0
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?No15.8k39.4¢41¢$6,478+$245$0
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?No5,29052¢60.5¢$3,200+$448$0
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No4,15050.1¢73.5¢$3,050+$970$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes2,53827.6¢85.7¢$2,174+$1,474$0
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,70070¢88.5¢$1,505+$314$0
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,40046¢92.5¢$1,295+$651$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes1,00067.2¢71.5¢$715+$43$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes4,49930.8¢15.5¢$697−$690$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes1,17749.2¢40.5¢$477−$102$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes4,7008.6¢7.4¢$345−$59$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No63946.9¢51.5¢$329+$29$0
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No30632.7¢89¢$272+$172$0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No1,50035.1¢17.5¢$262−$264$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No26462.5¢94.5¢$249+$84$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes37648¢63.5¢$239+$58$0
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?No20087¢95.6¢$191+$17$0
Will "Mask Off" by Future be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?Yes30419.2¢44.5¢$135+$77$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No14171¢80.2¢$113+$13$0
Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No13972¢79.5¢$110+$10$0
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?No11686.5¢88.9¢$103+$2.83$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No17656.8¢58.2¢$102+$2.38$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No10093¢96.8¢$97+$3.80$0
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No10084¢96.6¢$97+$13$0
Will the Philadelphia 76ers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?No12679.5¢75.8¢$95−$4.71$0
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?No10083¢93.8¢$94+$11$0
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?No10058.9¢92.5¢$93+$34$0
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes10066.9¢92.5¢$93+$26$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes10079¢90.5¢$91+$12$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No10065¢89¢$89+$24$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5009.7¢15.2¢$76+$27$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?No16760¢43.5¢$72−$28$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes11052.5¢63.5¢$70+$12$0
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?No20051.1¢33.4¢$67−$35$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes10048¢63.5¢$64+$16$0
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?No10036.9¢60.5¢$61+$24$0
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes60013¢10¢$60−$18$0
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes20043¢28.5¢$57−$29$0
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes10049¢55.5¢$56+$6.50$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes50023¢11¢$55−$60$0
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?Yes18554¢28.5¢$53−$47$0
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No10059.1¢46.8¢$47−$12$0
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes1,00017¢4.1¢$41−$130$0
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5005¢5.1¢$25+$0.25$0
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes6,5002¢0.4¢$23−$108$0
Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1,0412.9¢2¢$20−$9.70$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes2945¢5.4¢$16+$1.13$0
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?No1587¢99.6¢$15+$1.89$0
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes2,2220.9¢0.7¢$14−$5.55$0
Will "Bad and Boujee" by Migos, Lil Uzi Vert be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?Yes4516.3¢28¢$13+$5.26$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No4255.1¢28.7¢$12−$11−$2.60
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?No1086¢100¢$9.99+$1.40$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes1058¢84.5¢$8.45+$2.65$0
AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes12023.4¢6.2¢$7.38−$21$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No1055¢63.5¢$6.35+$0.85$0
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes9171.1¢0.7¢$5.96−$4.04$0
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?Yes20017.1¢2.5¢$5.00−$29$0
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes10044.7¢2.6¢$2.60−$42$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Yes1020.3¢21.3¢$2.13+$0.10$0
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes10010¢1.8¢$1.75−$8.25$0
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?No255.9¢4.3¢$1.07−$0.40$0
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1,0000.2¢0.1¢$0.50−$1.50$0
Will Alex Pretti be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Yes304.8¢1.5¢$0.45−$1.00$0
Will Renée Good be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Yes103.8¢2.8¢$0.28−$0.10$0
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes100.9¢0.7¢$0.07−$0.03$0
Will Zendaya be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes60.3¢0.6¢$0.03+$0.02$0
US strikes Yemen by December 31?No10.0k0.2¢0¢$0−$20$0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETDown10.0k1¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?Yes9,0850.2¢0¢$0−$18+$16
Will the U.S. collect between $1t and $2t in revenue in 2025?Yes7,6000.2¢0¢$0−$15+$19
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes6,3544¢0¢$0−$256$0
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes5,00036¢0¢$0−$1,800$0
Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5,0000.1¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.25
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?No4,84220.4¢0¢$0−$986−$53
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes3,9004.4¢0¢$0−$173−$0.56
Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?Yes3,8019.7¢0¢$0−$369−$17
76ers vs. Pistons76ers3,00011¢0¢$0−$330$0
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,6508.2¢0¢$0−$135−$0.38
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?Yes1,6011¢0¢$0−$16−$1.97
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes1,50951.2¢0¢$0−$773−$11
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out in 2025?Yes1,3131.2¢0¢$0−$16$0
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes1,28511.8¢0¢$0−$152+$11
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No1,00017¢0¢$0−$170$0
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?Yes1,0007.9¢0¢$0−$79−$5.11
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No1,00083¢0¢$0−$830$0
Will Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain?Yes1,0001.4¢0¢$0−$14−$0.01
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?No97723.8¢0¢$0−$232−$5.90
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?No93736.9¢0¢$0−$346$0
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes79719.4¢0¢$0−$155$0
Will the fight be ruled a No Contest or end in any other result?Yes7500.6¢0¢$0−$4.50$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in August?Yes5995.2¢0¢$0−$31−$2.07
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?Yes5534.7¢0¢$0−$26−$15
TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?Yes54039.3¢0¢$0−$212+$26
Warriors vs. ThunderWarriors52619¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No5234.1¢0¢$0−$21$0
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes5009.8¢0¢$0−$49−$1.77
Will Jimmy Kimmel rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No50063¢0¢$0−$315$0
Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?No5004¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Jimmy Kimmel be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes46012.4¢0¢$0−$57$0
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?No44651.6¢0¢$0−$230$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?20.3¢10$2.0369%58
BUY NoWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?56.8¢176$10069%58
BUY YesWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?0.9¢2,222$2069%58
BUY YesWill Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?1.1¢917$1069%58
BUY YesWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?54¢185$10069%58
BUY YesWill Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?2.9¢1,041$3069%58
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?83.3¢120$10069%58
BUY YesWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0.6¢1,000$6.0069%58
BUY YesWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0.6¢5,000$3069%58
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?47¢250$11869%58
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?73¢500$36569%58
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?45.9¢500$23069%58
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?68¢10$6.8069%58
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?58¢10$5.8069%58
BUY NoWill Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?36.9¢100$3769%58
BUY YesWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?5¢500$2569%58
BUY YesWill "Bad and Boujee" by Migos, Lil Uzi Vert be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?16.3¢45$7.3469%58
BUY YesWill "Mask Off" by Future be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?19.5¢104$2069%58
BUY YesWill "Mask Off" by Future be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?19¢200$3869%58
BUY YesTrump renames AI by September 30?33¢303$10069%58