PnL all-time+$232vol $12.3k
PnL 30d+$26gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$17win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate98.6%adj 87.6% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,250cash n/a
Positions12 / 81open / all-time
Max drawdown−21.6%of equity peak
Account age3.3ylast trade 2d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$275below peak −$80Oct 11
SharpScore inputs
64/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale34
Adjusted win rateraw 98.6% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable64
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d90
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity78
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 12
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 322 | 94.2¢ | 99.1¢ | $319 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 327 | 92.8¢ | 97.1¢ | $317 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | No | 139 | 71.9¢ | 81¢ | $113 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 109 | 94¢ | 97¢ | $105 | +$3.20 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 110 | 91¢ | 94.5¢ | $104 | +$3.85 | $0 | |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 106 | 94¢ | 93.5¢ | $99 | −$0.53 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 118 | 85¢ | 83.5¢ | $98 | −$1.76 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 114 | 88¢ | 83.5¢ | $95 | −$5.11 | $0 | |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | 131 | 78¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$102 | $0 | |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28? | No | 129 | 78¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$101 | $0 | |
| Megaquake by August 31? | No | 110 | 91¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | No | 42 | 33.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14 | $0 |
Recent trades
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