sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,303

StudyPrediction

0x33b…37dc@StudyPrediction
PnL 10k+WR 60+1y+Sport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$29.1kvol $31.8M
PnL 30d+$24.4kgains $232k · losses $132k
PnL 7d−$5,819win rate 7d 91.5%
Win rate66.7%adj 66.1% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$93.7kcash n/a
Positions252 / 19,585open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2.1ylast trade 30m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$41.7kbelow peak −$64.3kOct 10

SharpScore inputs

54/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale64
Adjusted win rateraw 66.7% · shrunk toward 50%65
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?No12.4k76.8¢77.5¢$9,604+$85+$1.08
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?No10.0k50¢88.5¢$8,850+$3,850$0
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?No10.0k50¢81.5¢$8,150+$3,150$0
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?No10.0k50¢77.5¢$7,750+$2,750$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No5,00084¢84.5¢$4,225+$25$0
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?No12.6k27¢26.5¢$3,349−$69$0
Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP?No3,27588.2¢99¢$3,241+$351+$76
Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?No2,82783.1¢85¢$2,403+$55$0
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Yes10.0k50¢22.5¢$2,250−$2,750$0
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No4,00070.5¢53¢$2,120−$700$0
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No2,00087¢100¢$1,999+$259$0
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes2,00074¢96.6¢$1,931+$451+$20
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsTeam Spirit4,57037.3¢40.5¢$1,851+$146$0
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Yes9,80050¢18.5¢$1,813−$3,087−$64
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?No2,00079.4¢78.8¢$1,575−$13$0
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?Yes5,87927.1¢26.5¢$1,558−$37$0
Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?No1,61288¢93.9¢$1,514+$95+$5.76
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?No2,00074.9¢74.5¢$1,489−$9.00$0
Will Sweden win 2026-27 Nations League Group B4?Yes2,00074.5¢73.5¢$1,470−$20$0
Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?No1,52189¢94¢$1,429+$75+$5.93
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5Over2,00067¢65.5¢$1,310−$30$0
Will Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?No1,40090¢92.5¢$1,295+$35$0
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5Over2,00064¢64.5¢$1,290+$10$0
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?No1,29194.4¢96.2¢$1,242+$22$0
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC2,00057¢59.5¢$1,190+$50$0
Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5Over2,00064¢59.5¢$1,190−$90$0
1. FC Union Berlin vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 2.5Over2,00063¢59.5¢$1,190−$70$0
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Yes9,80050¢11.5¢$1,127−$3,773−$76
Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo2,00054¢53.5¢$1,070−$10.00$0
Will New Orleans Saints win the 2026 NFC South?No1,26672.8¢80¢$1,013+$91$0
Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?No2,00075¢49¢$980−$520$0
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?No1,00093¢97¢$970+$40$0
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under2,00048¢48¢$960$0$0
Will Denver Broncos win the 2026 AFC West?No1,09967.9¢78.5¢$863+$116$0
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2026 AFC North?No1,00066¢73.5¢$735+$75$0
Will David Bailey win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?No73282¢93.5¢$684+$84$0
No one announced as next James Bond?No95075¢69.7¢$662−$50+$3.50
Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2026 NFC South?No74562¢88.5¢$659+$197$0
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East?No1,00069¢61.5¢$615−$75$0
FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5Over63476¢76.5¢$485+$3.17$0
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?No60287.1¢80.5¢$485−$40+$59
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No40050¢97.3¢$389+$189$0
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?No39392¢92¢$362−$0.20+$2.54
Will Ja'Marr Chase finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving yards?No37586¢95.9¢$360+$37$0
Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27?No49561.8¢69.5¢$344+$38$0
Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2026 NFC East?Yes95738¢34.5¢$330−$34+$0.85
Will Team Yandex win BLAST Slam VIII?No43074.8¢63.5¢$273−$49$0
Will Myles Garrett win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?No25278¢95.4¢$240+$44$0
Will Will Anderson Jr. win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?No33384¢71.5¢$238−$42$0
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No20090.2¢97.5¢$195+$14+$11
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No20087¢96.9¢$194+$20$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes20068¢90.5¢$181+$45$0
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?No18198¢98.5¢$178+$0.81+$32
Will Joe Burrow win the 2026 NFL MVP?No18491¢94.4¢$173+$6.15+$0.59
Will Team Spirit win BLAST Slam VIII?Yes43312.5¢34.9¢$151+$97$0
Will Kosovo win 2026-27 Nations League Group B3?No12992¢96.4¢$124+$5.69$0
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North?No17677¢67¢$118−$18$0
Will Fernando Alonso finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No11798¢95¢$111−$3.51$0
EU dissolves before 2027?No10095¢98.8¢$99+$3.75+$0.20
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?No10098¢96.4¢$96−$1.60$0
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?No10757.9¢90¢$96+$34$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No10032¢95.1¢$95+$63$0
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?No8098¢98.2¢$79+$0.12$0
Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No8873¢85.5¢$75+$11$0
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes20044¢34.5¢$69−$19+$4.00
Will Travis Etienne Jr. have 774.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No10042¢67.5¢$68+$26$0
Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No5753¢98¢$56+$26$0
FC Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia vs. PFC Levski Sofia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver5699¢99.5¢$56+$0.28$0
Will PARIVISION win BLAST Slam VIII?Yes20034¢23¢$46−$22$0
Will Karen Khachanov Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankingsNo4395¢97.5¢$42+$1.05$0
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?No6364¢64.5¢$40+$0.31$0
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes9869.8¢37.5¢$37−$32+$0.89
Will Aurora Gaming win BLAST Slam VIII?Yes7283¢4¢$29+$6.92−$0.21
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC6240¢40.5¢$25+$0.31$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes20051¢11.5¢$23−$79$0
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?Under4646¢50¢$23+$1.84$0
Will Germany win 2026-27 Nations League Group A2?No2679¢79.5¢$21+$0.13$0
Will Chapecoense be relegated from the 2026 Brazil Série A?Yes2095¢97¢$19+$0.39$0
Will Emiliano Martínez (Aston Villa) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Premier League season?No2095¢96.9¢$19+$0.38$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes20031¢9.5¢$19−$43$0
Over $200B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?No2057¢75¢$15+$3.60$0
Will Joe Burrow finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns?No1382¢86.5¢$11+$0.56$0
Will PARIVISION win BLAST Slam VIII?No1359¢77¢$10+$2.42$0
Will Terry McLaurin have 949.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No1150¢72.5¢$7.79+$2.42$0
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No1257¢62.5¢$7.27+$0.64$0
Will Nik Bonitto win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes1894¢2.9¢$5.39−$2.17$0
Will Parker Washington have 749.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No1843¢30¢$5.26−$2.28$0
Will Atlético Mineiro be relegated from the 2026 Brazil Série A?No395¢98.1¢$2.94+$0.09$0
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No1035¢26.5¢$2.58−$0.83$0
Fujieda MYFC vs. Iwaki FC: Team to Take First CornerFujieda MYFC599.9¢50.1¢$2.50−$2.49$0
Over $140B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?No312¢29.4¢$1.00+$0.59$0
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?No194¢98.7¢$1.00+$0.05$0
Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No82973¢0.1¢$0.41−$605$0
Will Christian McCaffrey finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing touchdowns?Yes55¢3.9¢$0.19−$0.06$0
Will Los Angeles Chargers win the 2026 AFC West?Yes630¢1.5¢$0.09−$1.68$0
Lions vs. Panthers: O/U 51.5Under6,00048¢0¢$0−$2,880$0
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsAurora5,00021¢0¢$0−$1,050$0
Will Belgium vs. Türkiye end in a draw?Yes5,00020¢0¢$0−$1,000$0
Will Portugal win on 2026-09-24?No5,00017¢0¢$0−$850$0
Panthers Team Total: O/U 23.5Under4,19147.4¢0¢$0−$1,988$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?0.2¢15$0.0367%54
SELL NoWill Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?94.2¢95$8967%54
SELL NoWill Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?94.1¢120$11367%54
SELL NoWill Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?93¢391$36367%54
SELL NoWill Drake Maye win the 2026 NFL MVP?99.3¢813$80767%54
SELL NoWill Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP?99.1¢705$69867%54
BUY NoWill Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?64¢48$3067%54
BUY NoWill Kosovo win 2026-27 Nations League Group B3?92¢129$11867%54
BUY YesWill Austria win 2026-27 Nations League Group B3?84¢168$14167%54
BUYBuccaneers vs. Cowboys: O/U 47.5 AND Buccaneers vs. Cowboys10.6¢9$0.9667%54
SELL NoWill Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?73.5¢20$1567%54
BUY NoWill Ronaldo post about Messi by October 7?95¢40$3867%54
BUY NoWill Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?93.7¢594$55767%54
BUY OverGames Total: O/U 2.547¢20$9.4067%54
BUY OverGames Total: O/U 2.546¢6$2.5567%54
BUY Anthony WintUFC 332: Anthony Wint vs. Lucas Armand (Heavyweight, Early Prelims)81¢2,000$1,62067%54
SELL YesWill there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?0.1¢361$0.5067%54
BUY TexansSpread: Texans (-3.5)44¢92$4067%54
SELL YesWill Finland vs. Albania end in a draw?35¢2,000$70067%54
BUY OverGames Total: O/U 2.537¢153$5767%54