Traders/Rank #2,691

SDODNDPD

0x345…b5a7

SportPolitics

Polymarket

PnL all-time+$8,995vol $1.15M

PnL 30d−$2,011gains $8,444 · losses $47.9k

PnL 7d+$52win rate 7d 100.0%

Win rate30.4%adj 31.2% · 30d 19.5%

Open value$13.2kcash n/a

Positions110 / 3,328open / all-time

Max drawdown−65.5%of equity peak

Account age11molast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$8,559below peak −$9,754Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

48/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale56

Adjusted win rateraw 30.4% · shrunk toward 50%0

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity35

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Houston Astros vs. Athletics · Athleticsclosed+$2,796 Colts vs. Chiefs · Chiefsclosed+$763 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Noopen+$645 LSU vs. Ole Miss · Ole Missclosed+$517 Texas vs. Tennessee · Texasclosed+$507

Worst markets

Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees · New York Yankeesclosed−$3,210 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Noclosed−$3,200 Jaguars vs. Broncos · Jaguarsclosed−$3,000 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? · Yesclosed−$1,400 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Noopen−$1,324

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	2,794	89.5¢	42.1¢	$1,176	−$1,324	$0	ended
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	1,282	31.2¢	81.5¢	$1,045	+$645	$0	3mo
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	1,234	81¢	80.2¢	$989	−$11	$0	25mo
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	1,505	66.4¢	65.5¢	$986	−$14	$0	3mo
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	536	93.3¢	96.6¢	$517	+$17	$0	25d 17h
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	1,167	42.8¢	42.5¢	$496	−$3.84	$0	37d 17h
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	297	67.4¢	85.5¢	$254	+$54	$0	3mo
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	257	77.7¢	94.5¢	$243	+$43	$0	3mo
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	250	79.9¢	96¢	$240	+$40	$0	25d 17h
Will BP be acquired before 2027?	No	239	83.7¢	96.6¢	$231	+$31	$0	3mo
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	No	226	88.4¢	98.3¢	$222	+$22	$0	3mo
GTA VI released by November 30?	Yes	213	94.1¢	95.3¢	$203	+$2.55	$0	52d 17h
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	441	68¢	41.5¢	$183	−$117	$0	ended
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	200	58¢	90.5¢	$181	+$65	$0	3mo
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	299	67¢	58.5¢	$175	−$25	$0	51d 17h
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	169	70.8¢	90.5¢	$153	+$33	$0	25d 17h
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	192	52¢	79.5¢	$153	+$53	$0	22d 17h
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	530	37.7¢	28.7¢	$152	−$48	$0	3mo
Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	154	65¢	97.8¢	$150	+$50	$0	3mo
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	No	166	60.2¢	89.5¢	$149	+$49	$0	3mo
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	159	63¢	93.5¢	$148	+$48	$0	3mo
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	896	45.8¢	16.5¢	$148	−$262	$0	3mo
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?	No	153	65.5¢	96.7¢	$148	+$48	$0	3mo
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	No	147	68¢	97.8¢	$144	+$44	$0	3mo
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	146	82.2¢	97.2¢	$142	+$22	$0	3mo
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	216	46.2¢	62.5¢	$135	+$35	$0	25d 17h
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	157	63.8¢	82¢	$129	+$29	$0	3mo
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	192	52¢	62.5¢	$120	+$20	$0	25d 17h
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?	Yes	123	81.3¢	96.8¢	$119	+$19	$0	3mo
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	189	53¢	62.5¢	$118	+$18	$0	3mo
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?	No	125	80¢	94.3¢	$118	+$18	$0	3mo
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	130	77¢	90.5¢	$118	+$18	$0	52d 17h
Amazon matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	No	122	82¢	95.9¢	$117	+$17	$0	22d 17h
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?	No	119	84.3¢	98¢	$116	+$16	$0	3mo
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	116	86¢	98.4¢	$114	+$14	$0	22d 17h
Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	116	86.4¢	98.5¢	$114	+$14	$0	3mo
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?	No	115	87¢	96¢	$110	+$10	$0	3mo
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	111	90.1¢	98.6¢	$109	+$9.46	$0	3mo
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	114	87.7¢	95.6¢	$109	+$8.95	$0	3mo
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	115	86.9¢	94.5¢	$109	+$8.78	$0	3mo
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	111	89.9¢	97.2¢	$108	+$8.12	$0	3mo
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	No	114	87.5¢	94¢	$107	+$7.37	$0	3mo
Meta matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	No	128	78¢	82¢	$105	+$5.13	$0	22d 17h
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	106	94.3¢	99¢	$105	+$4.96	$0	3mo
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	108	92.7¢	97.3¢	$105	+$4.96	$0	3mo
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?	No	106	94.2¢	97.1¢	$103	+$3.05	$0	3mo
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	No	105	95¢	97.7¢	$103	+$2.84	$0	3mo
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	106	94¢	96¢	$102	+$2.07	$0	3mo
Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	104	96.1¢	96.9¢	$101	+$0.81	$0	3mo
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	270	37¢	36.5¢	$99	−$1.35	$0	18d 17h
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	106	94¢	92.7¢	$99	−$1.38	$0	3mo
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	417	24¢	23.5¢	$98	−$2.08	$0	21d 17h
Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31?	No	110	91.3¢	88¢	$96	−$3.62	$0	3mo
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	117	85.6¢	82.1¢	$96	−$4.15	$0	25mo
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	164	61¢	57.5¢	$94	−$5.74	$0	25d 17h
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	1,250	8¢	7.5¢	$94	−$6.25	$0	6d 17h
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	107	93.5¢	85¢	$91	−$9.14	$0	25mo
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	112	89¢	76.5¢	$86	−$14	$0	3mo
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	673	44.6¢	12.5¢	$84	−$216	$0	3mo
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	Yes	118	85¢	68¢	$80	−$20	$0	6mo
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	333	30¢	21.5¢	$72	−$28	$0	3mo
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	588	68¢	11.5¢	$68	−$332	$0	3mo
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	832	12¢	7.5¢	$62	−$38	$0	6mo
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	385	26¢	15.5¢	$60	−$40	$0	3mo
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	1,111	18¢	5.3¢	$58	−$142	$0	3mo
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	52	96.2¢	98.8¢	$51	+$1.33	$0	3mo
Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?	Yes	113	88.7¢	45.5¢	$51	−$49	$0	3mo
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	183	66.2¢	25.5¢	$47	−$74	$0	3mo
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	Yes	196	51¢	18.5¢	$36	−$64	$0	21d 17h
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	129	77.8¢	19.5¢	$25	−$75	$0	3mo
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	522	45.6¢	4.5¢	$23	−$215	$0	3mo
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	990	10.1¢	2.4¢	$23	−$77	$0	3mo
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	No	22	92¢	98.9¢	$21	+$1.49	$0	3mo
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	25	40.8¢	85.8¢	$21	+$11	+$11	ended
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	417	24¢	5¢	$21	−$79	$0	3mo
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	1,031	9.7¢	1.8¢	$18	−$82	$0	3mo
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	137	73.3¢	12.8¢	$17	−$83	$0	3mo
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	36	28¢	42.5¢	$15	+$5.18	$0	21d 17h
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?	Yes	111	9¢	12.5¢	$14	+$3.89	$0	3mo
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	27	36.8¢	48.4¢	$13	+$3.17	$0	25mo
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	20	50¢	62.5¢	$13	+$2.50	$0	25d 17h
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	No	18	57¢	70.5¢	$12	+$2.37	$0	10mo
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?	No	11	90.6¢	98.2¢	$11	+$0.83	$0	3mo
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	11	93.4¢	99.9¢	$11	+$0.69	$0	57d 17h
Weed rescheduled by December 31?	Yes	225	44.5¢	4.6¢	$10	−$90	$0	3mo
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	10	95.4¢	96.9¢	$10	+$0.15	$0	25mo
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?	Yes	11	92¢	70¢	$7.61	−$2.39	$0	3mo
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	67	15¢	10.5¢	$7.00	−$3.00	$0	3mo
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Yes	77	13¢	5.5¢	$4.23	−$5.77	$0	3mo
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	15	65¢	17¢	$2.62	−$7.38	$0	3mo
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	67	15¢	3.6¢	$2.40	−$7.60	$0	3mo
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	15	68.8¢	16.5¢	$2.40	−$7.60	$0	3mo
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1,429	0.7¢	0.2¢	$2.14	−$7.86	$0	25mo
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	Yes	20	49¢	6.5¢	$1.33	−$8.67	$0	3mo
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	23	44¢	0.9¢	$0.19	−$9.81	$0	57d 17h
Texas Rangers vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	820	61¢	0¢	$0	−$500	−$9.75	ended
Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels	Minnesota Twins	220	90.9¢	0¢	$0	−$200	−$0.90	ended
Ravens vs. Cowboys	Cowboys	185	54¢	0¢	$0	−$100	$0	ended
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	175	57¢	0¢	$0	−$100	$0	3mo
Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights	Maple Leafs	135	74¢	0¢	$0	−$100	−$1.30	ended

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
3h ago	BUY No	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	66.4¢	1,505	$1,000	30%	48
3h ago	BUY No	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	42.8¢	1,167	$500	30%	48
3h ago	BUY No	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	24¢	417	$100	30%	48
3h ago	BUY No	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	8¢	1,250	$100	30%	48
3h ago	BUY Maple Leafs	Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights	74¢	135	$100	30%	48
3h ago	BUY South Alabama	South Alabama vs. Arkansas State	91¢	110	$100	30%	48
3h ago	BUY Buccaneers	Buccaneers vs. Cowboys	97¢	103	$100	30%	48
5d ago	BUY Wofford	Wofford vs. Furman	87¢	115	$100	30%	48
5d ago	BUY Villanova	Morgan State vs. Villanova	85¢	15	$13	30%	48
5d ago	BUY Syracuse	Syracuse vs. UConn	98¢	102	$100	30%	48
6d ago	BUY Ducks	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	96¢	625	$600	30%	48
6d ago	BUY Ducks	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	95¢	421	$400	30%	48
6d ago	BUY Blues	Blues vs. Stars	85¢	235	$200	30%	48
6d ago	BUY Montana State	Montana State vs. Idaho	80¢	125	$100	30%	48
11d ago	BUY Broncos	Rams vs. Broncos	50¢	200	$100	30%	48
11d ago	BUY Cowboys	Ravens vs. Cowboys	54¢	185	$100	30%	48
11d ago	BUY Vikings	Vikings vs. Buccaneers	96¢	104	$100	30%	48
11d ago	BUY Bills	Chargers vs. Bills	76¢	263	$200	30%	48
11d ago	BUY Lions	Jets vs. Lions	74¢	135	$100	30%	48
11d ago	BUY Julia Grabher	Tolentino: Guiomar Maristany vs Julia Grabher	95¢	105	$100	30%	48