sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #11,053

0x351…0ebe

0x351…0ebe
WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$139vol $33.3k
PnL 30d+$53gains $4.63 · losses $2.41
PnL 7d+$7.83win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate65.3%adj 63.9% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$6,700cash n/a
Positions74 / 270open / all-time
Max drawdown−35.1%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 1mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$246below peak −$175Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

42/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 65.3% · shrunk toward 50%60
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable81
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity65

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 74

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No2,22289.6¢97.3¢$2,161+$171$0
US x China Military clash before 2027?No44490.1¢97.5¢$433+$33$0
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No42587.1¢95.3¢$405+$35$0
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No36981.3¢89.5¢$330+$30$0
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No33489.9¢97.4¢$325+$25$0
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?No26893.4¢96.5¢$258+$8.26$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No25088¢97.9¢$245+$25$0
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No25486.6¢92.5¢$235+$15$0
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?No22192.9¢98.8¢$218+$13$0
Iran Nuke before 2027?No19288.4¢96.8¢$186+$16$0
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No19182.7¢97.1¢$186+$28$0
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No16882.5¢94.5¢$159+$20−$53
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No13570.7¢94.5¢$127+$32+$0.23
Trump out as President before 2027?No13084.9¢96.2¢$125+$15$0
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?No12094.9¢97.1¢$117+$2.62$0
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No11785.3¢97.2¢$114+$14$0
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?No11785.5¢96¢$112+$12$0
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No10992¢97.4¢$106+$5.82$0
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?No10595¢97.4¢$103+$2.53$0
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No9486.5¢96.2¢$91+$9.16−$1.35
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No6676¢95.4¢$63+$13$0
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No6083¢96.8¢$58+$8.28$0
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No5886¢97.6¢$57+$6.74$0
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No5886¢96.8¢$56+$6.25$0
China coup attempt before 2027?No5492.1¢96.2¢$52+$2.24$0
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No5493.2¢97.1¢$52+$2.07$0
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No4686.1¢95.2¢$44+$4.25$0
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No4682.8¢95.5¢$44+$5.81−$0.57
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?No4982.2¢88.9¢$43+$3.31$0
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?No3585.9¢97.4¢$34+$3.98$0
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No3682.1¢93¢$33+$3.89−$0.42
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No2987¢94¢$27+$2.01$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes17274¢14.5¢$25−$102$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No2483¢95.4¢$23+$2.99$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No6083¢23.5¢$14−$36$0
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?No3360¢28.5¢$9.50−$11$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?No958¢89.5¢$7.72+$2.72$0
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes5541.8¢8.5¢$4.67−$18$0
Will Trump and Putin not meet?No537¢82¢$4.43+$2.43$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes639.6¢40¢$2.58+$0.03+$8.44
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes3925.6¢5.5¢$2.14−$7.86$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes1243.4¢14.5¢$1.67−$3.33$0
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes3033¢5.5¢$1.67−$8.33$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes728¢17.5¢$1.25−$0.75$0
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes933¢13.5¢$1.23−$1.77$0
Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026?Yes205¢4.8¢$0.96−$0.04$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes836.5¢11.5¢$0.94−$2.06$0
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes642¢14¢$0.83−$1.67−$0.24
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes339¢20.5¢$0.53−$0.47$0
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?No1020¢4¢$0.40−$1.60$0
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes424¢3.4¢$0.14−$0.86$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes21454.7¢0¢$0−$117$0
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2002.5¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes11640.9¢0¢$0−$47$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes11227.7¢0¢$0−$31$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes4418.2¢0¢$0−$8.00$0
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes3619.2¢0¢$0−$7.00−$0.27
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes336¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.06
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?Yes2917¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes2832¢0¢$0−$9.00$0
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?Yes2443.4¢0¢$0−$10−$6.31
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBelgium1925.7¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.19
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1339.4¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.15
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?Yes812¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.06
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes813¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?Yes813¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.06
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Yes813¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes727¢0¢$0−$2.00$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes617¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes519¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes520¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.02
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes426¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes329¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.02
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?Yes246¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.04

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?32¢6$2.0065%42
BUY YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?11¢9$1.0065%42
BUY YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?26¢4$1.0065%42
BUY YesWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in July?76.8¢7$5.0065%42
BUY YesWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?32.7¢6$2.0065%42
BUY YesWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?12¢8$1.0065%42
SELL YesWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?5.2¢19$1.0065%42
BUY ArgentinaEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance46.2¢11$5.0065%42
BUY YesWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?19.7¢25$5.0065%42
BUY YesWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?39.4¢13$5.0065%42
BUY YesWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?17.4¢6$1.0065%42
BUY FranceFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance59.7¢8$5.0065%42
BUY BelgiumSpain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance25.7¢19$5.0065%42
BUY YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?18¢6$1.0065%42
BUY YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?18¢6$1.0065%42
BUY YesWill any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?33¢9$3.0065%42
BUY NoWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?91.8¢54$5065%42
BUY YesUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?13¢8$1.0065%42
BUY YesUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?19¢5$1.0065%42
BUY YesUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?38¢5$2.0065%42