sharpside
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Traders/Rank #592

MisTKy

0x35b…009b@MiSTkyGo
SharpWhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$339kvol $74.4M
PnL 30d+$46.9kgains $185k · losses $120k
PnL 7d+$15.6kwin rate 7d 60.4%
Win rate64.9%adj 64.3% · 30d 54.0%
Open value$271kcash n/a
Positions52 / 931open / all-time
Max drawdown−14.3%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$340kbelow peak −$11.6kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

76/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale79
Adjusted win rateraw 64.9% · shrunk toward 50%61
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable99
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity86

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 52

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No40.0k99.3¢99.6¢$39.8k+$100$0
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No25.0k94.9¢95.5¢$23.8k+$158+$14
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?No22.3k85.6¢91.5¢$20.4k+$1,314−$4,986
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo21.5k92¢91.5¢$19.7k−$108$0
Plague pandemic in 2026?No20.1k94.6¢96.1¢$19.3k+$292+$138
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?No20.0k92¢90.5¢$18.1k−$300$0
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?No16.3k81.6¢88.5¢$14.4k+$1,118+$1,922
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No15.8k89.2¢88.5¢$14.0k−$113−$158
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No15.1k91¢90.5¢$13.6k−$75−$21
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?No13.1k86.5¢87.5¢$11.4k+$135+$469
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes12.8k85.4¢85.6¢$10.9k+$21+$4,261
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No9,97090¢90.5¢$9,023+$50$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes65.0k12¢13.5¢$8,780+$976−$5,826
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?No7,21693¢95¢$6,856+$144+$14
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Yes60.5k13.3¢10.5¢$6,352−$1,706−$13.8k
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes7,45280¢83.5¢$6,222+$259−$3,421
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No4,61486¢98¢$4,522+$554$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No5,00064¢63.5¢$3,175−$25+$250
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?No3,21487.4¢92.5¢$2,973+$163$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No3,03686.1¢90.5¢$2,748+$135+$31
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?No2,50093¢96.5¢$2,411+$86$0
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?No2,50075¢95.5¢$2,388+$513+$400
Plague case in US by December 31?No1,81185¢86.5¢$1,567+$27$0
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No1,62783.5¢85.5¢$1,391+$33+$406
Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch?No1,43474¢94.5¢$1,355+$294+$19
Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?No98672.7¢81.5¢$804+$87+$97
Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026?No73092.1¢91.6¢$669−$3.51+$0.05
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes3,92417.6¢16.3¢$638−$54$0
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?No70080¢87.5¢$612+$53$0
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No60982¢94¢$572+$73$0
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?No50569.7¢95.5¢$483+$130+$59
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?No50084¢94¢$470+$50$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes9,3757.7¢4.9¢$459−$263−$2,108
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No2,14016.8¢20.5¢$439+$79+$217
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No34084¢91.5¢$311+$26$0
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No25087¢95.5¢$239+$21$0
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No2296.2¢98.2¢$21+$0.43+$873
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No2072¢89.5¢$18+$3.50$0
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?No1065¢80.5¢$8.05+$1.55$0
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?No887¢96.8¢$7.44+$0.75$0
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?No570¢90.5¢$4.52+$1.02$0
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?No369¢86¢$2.77+$0.55$0
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?No1267¢17.5¢$2.12−$5.99$0
Will Jimmy Lai win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No133¢98.7¢$1.47+$0.98$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes562¢11.5¢$0.58−$2.53+$4.00
Trump renames AI by December 31?No1,0161.5¢0¢$0−$15$0
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes79744.7¢0¢$0−$357+$125
Trump renames AI by October 31?No6631.7¢0¢$0−$11$0
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?No3788.3¢0¢$0−$32$0
Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by September 30, 2026?Yes10923.3¢0¢$0−$25$0
Will Russia invade a NATO country by September 30, 2026?Yes390.2¢0¢$0−$0.08$0
Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 23, 2026? (copy) (copy)No159.9¢0¢$0−$0.81+$35

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?88¢6,784$5,97065%76Sharp
SELL YesWill Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?25¢598$15065%76Sharp
BUY YesWill Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?25¢598$15065%76Sharp
SELL YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?14¢15$2.1065%76Sharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85.7¢8,000$6,85665%76Sharp
SELL NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?88¢7,403$6,51565%76Sharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85.2¢9,000$7,66865%76Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?88¢2,886$2,54065%76Sharp
SELL NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?88¢7,623$6,70865%76Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?88¢5,009$4,40865%76Sharp
SELL YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?21¢7,439$1,56265%76Sharp
SELL YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?22¢2,221$48965%76Sharp
SELL YesPakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?24.1¢430$10465%76Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?90¢17.4k$15.7k65%76WhaleSharp
SELL YesWill Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?11.1¢89.1k$9,84665%76Sharp
BUY YesWill Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?15¢10$1.5065%76Sharp
BUY YesWill Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?15¢10$1.5065%76Sharp
BUY YesWill Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?15¢206$3165%76Sharp
BUY YesWill Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?14¢200$2865%76Sharp
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?22¢3,969$87365%76Sharp