PnL all-time−$5,791vol $101k
PnL 30d−$1,601gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$693win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate25.0%adj 45.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$6,433cash n/a
Positions13 / 17open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$6,593below peak −$6,617Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
12/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 25.0% · shrunk toward 50%14
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable41
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d94
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will Biden pardon SBF? · Yesopen−$1,077Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesopen−$1,039Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesopen−$1,031No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? · Yesopen−$999Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesopen−$519
Open positions · 13
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 15.1k | 39.7¢ | 36.5¢ | $5,523 | −$477 | $0 | |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 3,908 | 7.7¢ | 11.5¢ | $449 | +$149 | $0 | |
| Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 7,021 | 2.8¢ | 3.3¢ | $228 | +$28 | $0 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 6,410 | 7.8¢ | 2.3¢ | $144 | −$356 | $0 | |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | Yes | 2,507 | 8¢ | 3.5¢ | $88 | −$112 | $0 | |
| Will Biden pardon SBF? | Yes | 16.0k | 6.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,077 | $0 | |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | Yes | 12.4k | 4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$500 | $0 | |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10.9k | 3.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$400 | −$12 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 4,545 | 22¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,000 | −$39 | |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | 4,355 | 22.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$999 | $0 | |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,775 | 18¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$500 | −$16 | |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,667 | 37.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,000 | −$31 | |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,191 | 22.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$500 | −$19 |
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