sharpside
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wtrader2580

0x38a…3154
Weather
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$4,795vol $610k
PnL 30d+$2,403gains $3,533 · losses $2,985
PnL 7d+$585win rate 7d 42.6%
Win rate43.1%adj 43.4% · 30d 43.1%
Open value$2,126cash n/a
Positions108 / 12,230open / all-time
Max drawdown−14.1%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 4m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$6,821below peak −$238Oct 11

SharpScore inputs

59/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale53
Adjusted win rateraw 43.1% · shrunk toward 50%8
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity86

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 11?No14070¢100¢$140+$42$0
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 12?No13075¢76.5¢$99+$1.95$0
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 11?No9471.6¢99.8¢$94+$26$0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 11?No8678.4¢99.9¢$86+$18$0
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 11?No8471¢99.9¢$84+$24$0
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 12?No10872.5¢76.5¢$83+$4.32$0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 11?No8274.6¢99.8¢$82+$21$0
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 11?No8080.3¢100¢$80+$16$0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 11?No7579.3¢97.5¢$73+$14$0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 12?No7974.9¢88.5¢$70+$11$0
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 11?No8073.6¢84.5¢$68+$8.69$0
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 11?No6690¢100¢$66+$6.57$0
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on October 11?No6676.3¢100¢$66+$15$0
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 11?No5985.5¢100¢$59+$8.53$0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on October 11?No5982.7¢100¢$59+$10$0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 11?No5993.7¢100¢$59+$3.66$0
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 11?No5773¢94.7¢$54+$12$0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 12?No8372.5¢63.5¢$53−$7.49$0
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 11?No4874¢100¢$48+$12$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 12?No5974.5¢80¢$47+$3.26$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 12?No5473¢75.5¢$41+$1.35$0
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 12?No5670¢71¢$40+$0.56$0
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 12?No5374¢74.5¢$39+$0.28$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 12?No4488¢86.5¢$38−$0.66$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 13?No4074¢73.5¢$29−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on October 11?No2870¢100¢$28+$8.39$0
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?No2774¢100¢$27+$7.01$0
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 11?No4671.5¢55.5¢$25−$7.30$0
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 11?No5527¢41.5¢$23+$7.97$0
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 12?No2482¢86.5¢$21+$1.08$0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12?No2871¢70¢$20−$0.28$0
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 11?No2075.9¢97.3¢$19+$4.27$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 12?No2772¢71¢$19−$0.27$0
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 12?No2870¢66.5¢$19−$0.98$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 11?No2870¢66¢$18−$1.12$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 12?No2870¢63.5¢$18−$1.82$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on October 12?No2870¢61.5¢$17−$2.38$0
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 11?No5328¢31¢$16+$1.59$0
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on October 11?No1570.7¢100¢$15+$4.39$0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 12?No2077¢75.5¢$15−$0.30$0
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 11?No2870¢52.5¢$15−$4.90$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 12?No2072¢73¢$15+$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 12?No2072¢73.5¢$14+$0.30$0
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 11?No4629¢28¢$13−$0.46$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 11?No1577.3¢86¢$13+$1.27$0
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 11?No1275.4¢100¢$12+$2.92$0
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 11?No1570¢74¢$11+$0.60$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 12?No1178¢90¢$10+$1.36$0
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on October 11?No794¢92.7¢$6.49−$0.09$0
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 11?No593¢99.2¢$5.14+$0.32−$6.85
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 12?No772¢73.5¢$5.12+$0.10$0
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 12?Yes905.2¢5.6¢$5.00+$0.28$0
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 11?No877¢66¢$4.95−$0.82$0
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 11?No1072¢49¢$4.93−$2.31$0
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 12?Yes965.9¢5.1¢$4.91−$0.73$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 12?No581¢91.5¢$4.58+$0.53$0
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on October 12?Yes2052¢2.2¢$4.41+$0.31$0
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 11?No472¢87¢$3.14+$0.54$0
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 11?No729¢38.5¢$2.69+$0.66$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 12?Yes575¢3.8¢$2.16−$0.72$0
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 11?Yes702.7¢2.9¢$2.06+$0.17$0
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 11?Yes211.3¢8.2¢$1.71+$1.44$0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 12?Yes1221.7¢0.9¢$1.04−$1.01$0
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 11?Yes265.2¢3.9¢$1.03−$0.33$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 12?Yes642.9¢1.6¢$1.00−$0.89$0
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 12?Yes96¢9.5¢$0.90+$0.33$0
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 12?Yes402¢2.2¢$0.86+$0.05$0
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 12?Yes272.6¢2.8¢$0.74+$0.06$0
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 12?Yes194¢3.4¢$0.66−$0.12$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 11?Yes936¢0.7¢$0.60−$4.98$0
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on October 11?Yes1171.4¢0.4¢$0.47−$1.22$0
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 11?Yes1430.8¢0.3¢$0.43−$0.72$0
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on October 11?Yes571.4¢0.6¢$0.34−$0.46$0
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 11?Yes95¢3.6¢$0.33−$0.13$0
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on October 11?Yes941.5¢0.3¢$0.24−$1.15$0
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 12?Yes83.3¢2.8¢$0.23−$0.04$0
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 11?Yes234¢0.8¢$0.17−$0.73$0
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 11?No6973.2¢0.2¢$0.14−$50$0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on October 11?Yes2722¢0.1¢$0.14−$5.28$0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 11?No9272.4¢0.1¢$0.09−$66$0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on October 11?Yes336¢0.2¢$0.07−$1.91$0
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 11?Yes1302¢0.1¢$0.07−$2.47$0
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 11?Yes1223.9¢0.1¢$0.06−$4.66$0
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on October 11?Yes1101.7¢0.1¢$0.06−$1.81$0
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 78°F or higher on October 11?Yes121.2¢0.5¢$0.05−$0.09$0
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 11?No8870.4¢0.1¢$0.04−$62$0
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on October 11?Yes873.1¢0.1¢$0.04−$2.67$0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 11?Yes782.7¢0.1¢$0.04−$2.09$0
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 11?Yes781.6¢0.1¢$0.04−$1.21$0
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 11?No6881.1¢0.1¢$0.03−$55$0
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 11?Yes501.1¢0.1¢$0.03−$0.52$0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 11?Yes52.4¢0.5¢$0.03−$0.10$0
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 11?Yes296¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.70$0
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 11?Yes241.7¢0.1¢$0.01−$0.40$0
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on October 11?Yes231.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$0.24$0
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on October 11?Yes215¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.03$0
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 11?No2029¢0.1¢$0.01−$5.79$0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 11?Yes201.4¢0.1¢$0.01−$0.27$0
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 11?Yes161.8¢0.1¢$0.01−$0.28$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on October 11?Yes153.7¢0.1¢$0.01−$0.55$0

Recent trades

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TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 12?75¢26$2043%59
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 12?2.8¢15$0.4243%59
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 13?74¢20$1543%59
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 12?2.5¢7$0.1643%59
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 11?2.7¢70$1.8943%59
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 13?74¢20$1543%59
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12?71¢28$2043%59
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 12?72¢27$1943%59
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 12?73¢27$2043%59
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 12?5.5¢20$1.1043%59
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 12?72¢20$1443%59
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 12?2.1¢35$0.7343%59
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on October 11?1.5¢23$0.3543%59
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 12?73¢27$2043%59
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 11?75¢15$1143%59
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on October 11?1.4¢15$0.2143%59
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 11?1.3¢21$0.2743%59
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on October 11?1.3¢19$0.2543%59
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 11?73¢27$2043%59
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 12?5.2¢35$1.8243%59