sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,582

Lihong62

0x398…7a45
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$6,333vol $205k
PnL 30d+$62gains $53 · losses $3.36
PnL 7d+$5.00win rate 7d 66.7%
Win rate82.5%adj 79.0% · 30d 69.2%
Open value$33cash n/a
Positions23 / 189open / all-time
Max drawdown−78.5%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$6,466below peak −$96Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

63/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale54
Adjusted win rateraw 82.5% · shrunk toward 50%98
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable76
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity22

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 23

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?No1192.7¢98.5¢$10+$0.61$0
AI bubble burst in 2026?No1092.2¢93.9¢$9.33+$0.16$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No1662.2¢46.2¢$7.17−$2.49$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No768¢89¢$6.50+$1.53$0
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Yes1450¢0¢$0$0$0
Rockets vs. LakersRockets13157.7¢0¢$0−$76$0
Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes8483.1¢0¢$0−$70−$0.47
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?Yes5923¢0¢$0−$13$0
Will Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?Yes5518.1¢0¢$0−$9.96−$0.24
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes4854.9¢0¢$0−$26$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No2872¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes2512¢0¢$0−$3.00−$0.11
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?No198¢0¢$0−$1.50$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes1145¢0¢$0−$4.98−$0.14
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes840¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No760.5¢0¢$0−$4.50$0
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes770.1¢0¢$0−$4.98$0
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?No70¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No681¢0¢$0−$4.98−$0.04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes581¢0¢$0−$4.02$0
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?No561¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No359¢0¢$0−$1.50$0
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No295¢0¢$0−$1.50$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?81¢95$7783%63
SELL NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?87¢168$14683%63
SELL No2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House90¢37$3483%63
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House93¢5$4.9883%63
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House93¢5$4.9883%63
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House93¢5$4.9883%63
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House93¢5$4.9883%63
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House93¢5$4.9883%63
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House93¢5$4.9883%63
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House93¢5$4.9883%63
BUY NoWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?99.9¢5$4.9883%63
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?83¢6$4.6183%63
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?83¢6$4.9883%63
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?83¢6$4.9883%63
BUY NoWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?95¢4$3.9883%63
BUY NoWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?95¢5$4.9883%63
BUY NoWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?95¢5$4.9883%63
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?86¢6$4.9883%63
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?86¢6$4.9883%63
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?86¢6$4.9883%63