sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,208

HuntersMethDealer

0x398…27b1@insertthesis
PnL 10k+1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$32.0kvol $2.25M
PnL 30d+$1,272gains $4,693 · losses $1,145
PnL 7d−$591win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate35.4%adj 36.0% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$24.1kcash n/a
Positions225 / 1,688open / all-time
Max drawdown−35.8%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 4h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$33.6kbelow peak −$16.3kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

55/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale64
Adjusted win rateraw 35.4% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity64

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes30.0k14¢14.5¢$4,350+$150$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes7,06152¢59.2¢$4,180+$507−$178
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes30.0k15¢12.5¢$3,750−$750$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes6,00043.7¢48.4¢$2,907+$284$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes9,16921.3¢19.7¢$1,802−$157$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes15.0k9.3¢10.1¢$1,505+$114$0
Will Carnell Tate have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No2,12058¢67.5¢$1,431+$201$0
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes6,54115.6¢12.5¢$818−$203$0
Will Miami Hurricanes Win the 2026 ACC Championship?Yes1,00061¢79.5¢$795+$185$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes4,35913.9¢15.1¢$656+$48$0
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes7,64021.6¢8.5¢$649−$1,001$0
Will Denver Broncos win the 2026 AFC West?Yes2,47531.8¢20.5¢$507−$280$0
Will New Orleans Saints win the 2026 NFC South?Yes1,66027¢21¢$349−$100$0
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes1,50412¢13.5¢$203+$23$0
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes78610¢6.5¢$51−$28$0
Will North Carolina have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes7535¢53.5¢$40+$14$0
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?Yes1,0156.8¢3.4¢$35−$34$0
Will Cincinnati (CFB) have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes10023¢22¢$22−$1.00$0
Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes3,3948.8¢0.6¢$20−$280$0
Will Los Angeles Chargers win the 2026 AFC West?Yes1,04633.5¢1.5¢$16−$335$0
Will Mike Washington Jr. win the 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes4154.2¢3.1¢$13−$4.37$0
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes9294.9¢0.5¢$4.18−$41$0
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes1,35510¢0.1¢$0.68−$135$0
Will Kevin De Bruyne (Napoli) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season?Yes392¢0.2¢$0.06−$0.72$0
Will Santiago Giménez (Milan) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season?Yes302¢0.2¢$0.04−$0.56$0
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes10.9k34.5¢0¢$0−$3,763−$47
Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 U.S. Open?Yes10.8k1.1¢0¢$0−$118−$3.50
Will Jackson Koivun win the 2026 U.S. Open?Yes10.1k0.8¢0¢$0−$80−$2.39
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes10.0k0.9¢0¢$0−$90−$2.68
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes10.0k1.8¢0¢$0−$180−$5.30
Will J.J. Spaun win the 2026 U.S. Open?Yes10.0k1.9¢0¢$0−$190−$5.58
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?Yes9,5143.1¢0¢$0−$298+$280
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes7,7622.3¢0¢$0−$179−$5.23
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes7,13011¢0¢$0−$784−$18
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No7,0006¢0¢$0−$420$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No7,0007¢0¢$0−$490$0
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes6,99245.9¢0¢$0−$3,207−$38
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes6,0857¢0¢$0−$426−$12
Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 U.S. Open?Yes5,5671.3¢0¢$0−$72−$2.15
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes5,2268.2¢0¢$0−$428−$13
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes5,18718¢0¢$0−$933−$31
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5,0186.9¢0¢$0−$346$0
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?Yes5,0005.7¢0¢$0−$285−$13
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes4,37124.8¢0¢$0−$1,085$0
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes3,9687.4¢0¢$0−$292+$964
Will Kawhi play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?Yes3,61327.2¢0¢$0−$984−$27
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes3,42435.6¢0¢$0−$1,221+$10
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia by September 30, 2026?Yes3,0610.4¢0¢$0−$13$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes3,0004.3¢0¢$0−$130$0
Will Alex Fitzpatrick win the 2026 PGA Championship?Yes2,6751¢0¢$0−$26−$0.77
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes2,50043¢0¢$0−$1,075−$31
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Yes2,47124.1¢0¢$0−$594$0
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes2,3643.9¢0¢$0−$91$0
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,3112.9¢0¢$0−$67−$1.95
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico VerhoevenRico2,06615.3¢0¢$0−$315+$511
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes2,06037.8¢0¢$0−$779−$4.52
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Japan?Yes2,0009¢0¢$0−$180−$4.91
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Yes2,00027¢0¢$0−$540−$16
Will Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?Yes1,89625.7¢0¢$0−$488−$14
US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos AlcarazRoman Safiullin1,77919¢0¢$0−$338−$14
Spread: Real Madrid (-1.5)Real Madrid1,50459¢0¢$0−$887−$18
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Over1,50051¢0¢$0−$765−$19
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes1,5008.6¢0¢$0−$129−$3.54
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue JaysNew York Yankees1,50058¢0¢$0−$870−$18
Hawaii vs. StanfordHawaii1,40036¢0¢$0−$504−$16
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31?Yes1,3939¢0¢$0−$126−$4.58
Will J.J. Spaun win the 2026 PGA Championship?Yes1,3761.6¢0¢$0−$21−$0.63
Will Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?Yes1,28023.8¢0¢$0−$304−$6.96
ARI vs. LV: O/U 41.5Over1,21950.8¢0¢$0−$619−$15
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?Yes1,20023¢0¢$0−$276−$6.38
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?Yes1,20017¢0¢$0−$204−$5.08
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,20014¢0¢$0−$168−$4.33
Spread: Real Madrid (-1.5)Real Madrid1,12145¢0¢$0−$504−$14
US Open ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zsombor PirosZsombor Piros1,10035¢0¢$0−$385−$13
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No1,06524.9¢0¢$0−$266$0
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)Tatsuro Taira1,04046.3¢0¢$0−$482−$6.81
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes1,03925.5¢0¢$0−$265+$162
Athletics vs. Boston Red SoxAthletics1,0000¢0¢$0$0$0
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Japan?Yes1,00015¢0¢$0−$150−$3.83
O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder1,00035.4¢0¢$0−$354−$11
Spread: Northwestern (-13.5)South Dakota State1,00052¢0¢$0−$520−$12
Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1 - 0 Qatar?Yes1,00012¢0¢$0−$120−$3.17
Nolan McLean: Strikeouts O/U 5.5Over1,00058.8¢0¢$0−$588−$12
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees1,00059¢0¢$0−$590−$12
Liverpool FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5Over1,00040¢0¢$0−$400−$12
Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2 - 0 Qatar?Yes1,00013¢0¢$0−$130−$3.39
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles DodgersColorado Rockies1,00022¢0¢$0−$220−$5.15
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5Over1,00023¢0¢$0−$230−$5.31
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 4.5Over1,00018¢0¢$0−$180−$4.43
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 5.5Over1,0008¢0¢$0−$80−$2.21
UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card)Serghei Spivac1,00042¢0¢$0−$420−$12
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Yes1,00024¢0¢$0−$240−$5.47
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)Marco Tulio1,00064¢0¢$0−$640−$6.91
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)Kyle Daukaus1,00025¢0¢$0−$250−$5.63
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles DodgersPittsburgh Pirates1,00019¢0¢$0−$190−$7.70
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5Over1,00049¢0¢$0−$490−$7.50
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?Yes1,00014¢0¢$0−$140−$3.61
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-08-23?Yes95050.2¢0¢$0−$477−$12
Will Nithya Raman finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes9262.8¢0¢$0−$26−$0.99
Drew Rasmussen: Strikeouts O/U 5.5Over92046.8¢0¢$0−$430−$11

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?60¢1,248$74935%55
BUY YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?60.1¢1,757$1,05535%55
BUY YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?59.9¢1,264$75735%55
BUY OverUtah vs. Bruins: O/U 5.555¢800$44035%55
SELL YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?15¢2,000$30035%55
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?14.5¢2,000$29035%55
BUY NoWill Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?42.4¢29$1235%55
BUY NoWill Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?42.9¢89$3835%55
BUY NoWill Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?41.3¢228$9435%55
BUY Ole MissOle Miss vs. Florida19¢404$7735%55
BUY YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?46.8¢898$42035%55
BUY Joshua VanUFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)59¢2,000$1,18035%55
BUY YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?36.5¢1,894$69235%55
SELL NoU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?49¢55$2735%55
SELL NoWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?20¢4,682$93635%55
SELL YesWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?57.3¢4,819$2,76135%55
SELL YesWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?57¢2,732$1,55735%55
SELL YesWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?56¢706$39635%55
BUY OverChicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.552¢1,000$52035%55
BUY YesAny Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?6.8¢1,015$6935%55