sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,827

0x39a…583c

0x39a…583c
WhalePnL 50k+PnL 10k+CryptoPoliticsSportOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$63.1kvol $18.7M
PnL 30d+$13.7kgains $70.2k · losses $60.8k
PnL 7d+$5,130win rate 7d 39.1%
Win rate51.4%adj 51.3% · 30d 48.1%
Open value$116kcash n/a
Positions121 / 17,358open / all-time
Max drawdown−21.0%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 50m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$83.2kbelow peak $0Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

65/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale69
Adjusted win rateraw 51.4% · shrunk toward 50%28
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity79

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseNo22.9k99.2¢99.1¢$22.7k−$13−$235
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo20.5k92.1¢91.5¢$18.7k−$114−$656
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No12.1k95¢95.6¢$11.6k+$73$0
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No6,04795¢94.5¢$5,715−$30$0
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?No5,20498.3¢98.4¢$5,118+$0.11−$510
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes6,44981.7¢76.5¢$4,934−$332−$630
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes5,32384.6¢88.9¢$4,735+$230−$8,800
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?No4,71881.7¢87.5¢$4,126+$273−$124
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No2,73495¢94.5¢$2,583−$14$0
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes2,91281.2¢81.5¢$2,373+$9.47−$32
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes3,26865.8¢62.5¢$2,042−$109−$68
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?Yes2,82449.6¢69.7¢$1,968+$569$0
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No1,97587.4¢97.5¢$1,926+$200−$181
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?No2,78673.6¢66.4¢$1,849−$202−$285
Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026?No1,74498.6¢98.7¢$1,721+$2.04$0
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?No5,20435.1¢32.7¢$1,699−$130+$123
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?No1,74497.7¢97.4¢$1,698−$6.16$0
Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026?No1,74495.5¢95.9¢$1,672+$5.50$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No16.0k8.1¢9.5¢$1,522+$222+$263
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?No1,74481.8¢82.5¢$1,439+$12$0
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No2,05654.6¢63.5¢$1,305+$184−$1.94
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes3,26833.2¢37.5¢$1,225+$141+$68
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?No2,78625.8¢33.5¢$933+$215+$275
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes93367.9¢79.5¢$742+$109$0
Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?No89560¢75.3¢$673+$137−$5.37
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes2,19531.5¢28.5¢$625−$66+$162
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes5,32311.7¢10.5¢$559−$63+$8,931
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes2,91218.4¢18.5¢$539+$2.57+$33
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes84059¢60.3¢$506+$11−$0.45
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2026?No48595¢96.5¢$468+$7.27$0
Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win LoL Worlds 2026?No45699.9¢99.9¢$455−$0.23$0
Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026?No45698.6¢98.4¢$448−$0.91$0
Will LOS Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2Yes80051.1¢55.4¢$443+$34$0
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?Yes1,74424.3¢25¢$436+$11$0
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?No45694.2¢94¢$428−$1.09$0
No one announced as next James Bond?No62571.7¢67.6¢$422−$26$0
Anthropic IPO before 2027?No1,74116.2¢23¢$400+$118+$1,149
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes3,6648.1¢9.5¢$348+$50+$3,386
LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL PlayoffsFURIA Esports76344.9¢45.5¢$347+$4.86$0
Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?Yes47965¢70¢$335+$24$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes84039.8¢39.5¢$332−$2.77+$0.50
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes48662.6¢67.5¢$328+$24−$102
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?Yes38369.9¢72.5¢$277+$9.77−$70
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes28563¢95.4¢$272+$92$0
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs madlikewizards (BO1) - ANZC Locals Brisbane: Group Bmadlikewizards2,61511.3¢9¢$235−$61$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes37265.7¢62.5¢$233−$12−$13
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No40052.9¢57.5¢$230+$18$0
Next James Bond announced by December 31, 2026?No62525.2¢32¢$200+$42$0
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes93331.2¢18.5¢$173−$119$0
Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?Yes47933¢32.1¢$154−$4.07$0
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes40051¢37.5¢$150−$54$0
Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?Yes2,5235.2¢5.9¢$148+$17$0
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Yes26654.6¢55¢$146+$1.06−$0.20
Will Waymo launch in San Diego, CA by December 31 2026?Yes14975¢78.5¢$117+$5.22$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Yes26643.8¢43.5¢$116−$0.86+$0.20
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Yes1,2137.6¢9.2¢$112+$20+$180
Will BC.Game Esports qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026?Yes11059.5¢99.2¢$110+$44$0
Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?Yes13879.3¢78.5¢$108−$1.08$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?Yes38328¢26.5¢$101−$5.72+$70
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes10092.5¢95.6¢$96+$3.00$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Yes39434.3¢24¢$95−$41$0
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?No1,0507.1¢9¢$95+$20+$194
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo23437¢37.5¢$88+$1.17+$10
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes5874.3¢94¢$55+$11$0
Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?No7868.5¢67.9¢$53−$0.47$0
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?No60616.1¢8.5¢$51−$46$0
Will a Western team win Worlds 2026?Yes4567¢6.5¢$30−$2.28$0
Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?No7831¢30¢$23−$0.78$0
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?No3072¢73.5¢$22+$0.45$0
Will FURIA Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2Yes4544¢44¢$20$0$0
Will Erick Visconde win by KO or TKO?No2579¢81¢$20+$0.49$0
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes2472¢66.5¢$16−$1.30−$305
Will Ilias Bulaid win by KO or TKO?No2565¢62.5¢$15−$0.61$0
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes2553¢56.5¢$14+$0.86$0
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes1088.5¢89.5¢$8.95+$0.10$0
Will 5star eSports qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026?Yes2033¢44.5¢$8.90+$2.30$0
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Yes1048¢8.5¢$8.88+$0.52+$23
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes2426.1¢33.7¢$7.95+$1.78+$302
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?No3029¢26.5¢$7.95−$0.75$0
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes1077¢77¢$7.70$0−$1,135
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes20016.7¢3.3¢$6.50−$27+$44
Next James Bond announced by December 31, 2026?Yes877¢68¢$5.73−$0.76$0
Will FaZe Clan qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026?Yes2032¢26.5¢$5.30−$1.10$0
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.9% and 2.1%?No593¢99.5¢$4.97+$0.32$0
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.6% and 1.8%?No598.2¢99.3¢$4.96+$0.06$0
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.3% and 1.5%?No599.7¢98.9¢$4.95−$0.04$0
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 1.0%?No599.8¢98.9¢$4.95−$0.04$0
Will KC be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?No598.6¢98¢$4.90−$0.03$0
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4%?No599.3¢97.6¢$4.88−$0.09$0
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.0% and 1.2%?No599.8¢97.2¢$4.86−$0.13$0
Will Waymo operate in 20-23 cities on December 31 2026?Yes1,2021.1¢0.4¢$4.21−$9.32$0
Will NEXVOID qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026?Yes405.5¢8.3¢$3.30+$1.08$0
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes2856.1¢1.1¢$2.99−$14$0
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Yes3810¢7.9¢$2.98−$0.79$0
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes1003.1¢2.9¢$2.85−$0.25$0
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Yes5819.1¢4.9¢$2.85−$8.27$0
No one announced as next James Bond?Yes819.2¢32.4¢$2.73+$1.11$0
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7%?No282¢98.3¢$2.42+$0.40$0
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes2858.1¢0.5¢$1.57−$22$0
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes2856.3¢0.5¢$1.28−$17$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesNo one announced as next James Bond?33¢20$6.6051%65
BUY YesNext James Bond announced by December 31, 2026?47¢20$9.4051%65
BUY NoWill Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?34¢17$5.7351%65
BUY madlikewizardsCounter-Strike: FlyQuest vs madlikewizards (BO1) - ANZC Locals Brisbane: Group B10¢105$1151%65
BUY NoWill Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?98.8¢30$3051%65
BUY YesWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?77¢30$2351%65
BUY NoWill Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?33.3¢30$9.9951%65
BUY madlikewizardsCounter-Strike: FlyQuest vs madlikewizards (BO1) - ANZC Locals Brisbane: Group B13¢268$3551%65
BUY NoWill Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?32¢100$3251%65
BUY NoWill Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?98.9¢166$16451%65
BUY NoWill Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?31.2¢166$5251%65
BUY YesWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?76¢166$12651%65
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?44¢18$7.8451%65
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?44¢9$3.9851%65
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?44¢7$2.8751%65
BUY NoNo one announced as next James Bond?68.6¢95$6551%65
BUY YesWill Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?72¢24$1751%65
BUY NoWill a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win LoL Worlds 2026?99.9¢440$44051%65
BUY NoWill a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026?98.6¢440$43451%65
BUY NoWill a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?94.2¢440$41451%65