| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 200 | 87¢ | 97.9¢ | $196 | +$22 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 170 | 87.1¢ | 100¢ | $170 | +$22 | $0 | |
| Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30? | No | 150 | 87.3¢ | 100¢ | $150 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? | No | 103 | 79.7¢ | 100¢ | $103 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? | No | 100 | 90¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 76¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | No | 100 | 86¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day? | No | 100 | 90¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | No | 100 | 87¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | No | 100 | 94¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$6.00 | $0 | |
| Vanta IPO before 2027? | No | 100 | 69.5¢ | 99¢ | $99 | +$30 | $0 | |
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 100 | 88¢ | 97.2¢ | $97 | +$9.20 | $0 | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 100 | 89¢ | 97.2¢ | $97 | +$8.15 | $0 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 84¢ | 97.2¢ | $97 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 100 | 88¢ | 97¢ | $97 | +$8.95 | $0 | |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 100 | 79¢ | 95.2¢ | $95 | +$16 | $0 | |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | No | 100 | 75¢ | 91.5¢ | $92 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026? | No | 50 | 95¢ | 100¢ | $50 | +$2.50 | $0 | |
| Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026? | No | 50 | 95¢ | 100¢ | $50 | +$2.50 | $0 | |
| Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026? | No | 50 | 95.5¢ | 100¢ | $50 | +$2.25 | $0 | |
| Mistral AI IPO before 2027? | No | 50 | 79¢ | 98.1¢ | $49 | +$9.53 | $0 | |
| Anduril IPO before 2027? | No | 50 | 70¢ | 97.6¢ | $49 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? | No | 50 | 85¢ | 97.4¢ | $49 | +$6.20 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 50 | 60¢ | 95.6¢ | $48 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Another Elon baby by June 30? | No | 20 | 72¢ | 100¢ | $20 | +$5.60 | $0 | |
| Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 20 | 73¢ | 68¢ | $14 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B? | No | 10 | 43¢ | 92.5¢ | $9.25 | +$4.95 | $0 | |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes | 100 | 14.5¢ | 6.1¢ | $6.05 | −$8.45 | $0 | |
| Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? | Yes | 20 | 30¢ | 6.5¢ | $1.29 | −$4.71 | $0 | |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | No | 600 | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.00 | $0 | |
| 2025 September third hottest on record? | Yes | 342 | 29.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026? | No | 330 | 79.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$261 | $0 | |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | No | 250 | 89.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$223 | $0 | |
| Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy | Yes | 230 | 86¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$198 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026? | No | 200 | 79¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$158 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? | No | 170 | 81.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$138 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 14? | No | 160 | 96.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$154 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026? | No | 130 | 86.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$112 | −$60 | |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.00 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 2? | No | 100 | 86.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$87 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January? | No | 100 | 81¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$81 | $0 | |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 19 - January 25 be less than 14,250,000? | No | 100 | 86¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$86 | $0 | |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January? | No | 100 | 93.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$93 | $0 | |
| Will 120 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026? | Yes | 100 | 1.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.10 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026? | Yes | 85 | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.02 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026? | Yes | 80 | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.04 | $0 | |
| Will Ryanair say "Weather" during earnings call? | Yes | 50 | 53.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$27 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026? | Yes | 50 | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026? | Yes | 50 | 52.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$26 | $0 | |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January? | No | 50 | 96.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$48 | $0 | |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference? | Yes | 50 | 85¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$43 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Greenland" during the State of the Union address? | Yes | 40 | 74¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026? | Yes | 34 | 2.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.85 | +$0.98 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026? | Yes | 33 | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.02 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 7+ times during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister? | Yes | 30 | 46¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister? | Yes | 30 | 54¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "NATO" during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister? | Yes | 30 | 50¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 12 - January 18 be between 15,000,000 and 15,250,000? | No | 30 | 81¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January? | No | 30 | 63¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Will Google say "Quantum" during earnings call? | Yes | 30 | 50¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Venezuela" or "Machado" during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister? | Yes | 30 | 45¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "EU" or "European Union" during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister? | Yes | 30 | 56¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Greenland" during Iowa speech? | Yes | 30 | 70¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Leader" or "Leadership" during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister? | Yes | 30 | 46¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Will Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during January press conference? | Yes | 30 | 67¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026? | Yes | 29 | 3.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.01 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026? | Yes | 25 | 4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | Yes | 25 | 42¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025? | No | 20 | 5.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.06 | +$9.87 | |
| Will Trump say "Davos" or "World Economic Forum" during Iowa speech? | Yes | 20 | 40¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8.00 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "2026" this week? (January 18) | Yes | 20 | 62¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | Yes | 20 | 64¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in January? | Yes | 20 | 27¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.40 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Middle East" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | Yes | 20 | 76¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will Coinbase say "Blockchain" during earnings call? | Yes | 20 | 67¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will "Zelenskyy" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | Yes | 20 | 20¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.00 | $0 | |
| Will crypto payment cards volume hit $1.5B by March 31? | No | 20 | 77¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will GE Vernova say "China" during earnings call? | Yes | 20 | 60¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Killing" or "Execution" during NewsNation interview? | Yes | 20 | 50¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 11¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.20 | $0 | |
| Will Google say "Wiz" during earnings call? | Yes | 20 | 31¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6.20 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 20 | 24¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.80 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address? | Yes | 20 | 58¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 5.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.04 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Denmark" during NewsNation interview? | Yes | 20 | 70¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Will PayPal say "Bank" during earnings call? | Yes | 20 | 55¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will PayPal say "Stablecoin" or "Stable Coin" during earnings call? | Yes | 20 | 59¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | Yes | 13 | 7.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.01 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026? | Yes | 12 | 9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.08 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026? | Yes | 10 | 13.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.33 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026? | Yes | 10 | 10¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will "Scott" or "Bessent" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | Yes | 10 | 46¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.60 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026? | Yes | 10 | 10¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will Powell say "Median" during January press conference? | Yes | 10 | 40.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.05 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Zelenskyy" during the State of the Union address? | Yes | 10 | 20¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.00 | $0 | |
| Will Netflix say "Subscriber" during earnings call? | Yes | 10 | 56¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.60 | $0 | |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 16 be greater than 2,500,000? | No | 10 | 50¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 10 | 41¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.10 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | 28¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.80 | $0 | |